Does water rights trading cause economic losses from agricultural water scarcity? Evidence from 264 Chinese cities

China’s rapid economy growth has intensified the pressure on water resources, with agriculture being the largest consumer. Insufficient water in agriculture can constrain production and lead to significant economic losses. Water rights trading (WRT) is a key mechanism for reallocating water resource...

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Main Authors: Jiajia Liu, Muhammad Umer, Jun Zhao, Qiang Li, Mei Qu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Agricultural Water Management
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377424005699
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author Jiajia Liu
Muhammad Umer
Jun Zhao
Qiang Li
Mei Qu
author_facet Jiajia Liu
Muhammad Umer
Jun Zhao
Qiang Li
Mei Qu
author_sort Jiajia Liu
collection DOAJ
description China’s rapid economy growth has intensified the pressure on water resources, with agriculture being the largest consumer. Insufficient water in agriculture can constrain production and lead to significant economic losses. Water rights trading (WRT) is a key mechanism for reallocating water resources within and across water-scarce regions and industries. However, WRT often reallocates saved agricultural water to more economically productive sectors. A crucial consideration is whether this shift could lead to agricultural water scarcity, thus affecting agricultural production. This study examines whether WRT contributes to potential economic losses in agriculture. Using panel data from 264 Chinese cities from 2010 to 2020, we estimate the Agricultural Water Scarcity Risk (AWSR), which quantifies the economic loss caused by agricultural water scarcity, and analyze the impact of WRT on AWSR using the Spatial Difference-in-Differences method. Our findings reveal that: (1) WRT significantly alleviate the economic production loss due to agricultural water scarcity, with the results remaining robust after various tests; (2) WRT mitigates AWSR not only locally but also in neighboring cities; and (3) the policy’s effectiveness varies by region, being most effective in the Eastern region, followed by the Central region, and least in the Western region. This study highlights the importance of rational water resource management in agriculture and provides a foundation for developing strategies to mitigate agricultural water scarcity risk in high AWSR regions.
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issn 1873-2283
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series Agricultural Water Management
spelling doaj-art-4d1328dd2fe045c386ad16a428acfe622025-08-20T02:43:39ZengElsevierAgricultural Water Management1873-22832025-02-0130710923310.1016/j.agwat.2024.109233Does water rights trading cause economic losses from agricultural water scarcity? Evidence from 264 Chinese citiesJiajia Liu0Muhammad Umer1Jun Zhao2Qiang Li3Mei Qu4College of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, ChinaChina Aero Geophysical Survey & Remote Sensing Center for Natural Resources, Beijing 100083, ChinaCollege of Forestry, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, China; Corresponding author.China’s rapid economy growth has intensified the pressure on water resources, with agriculture being the largest consumer. Insufficient water in agriculture can constrain production and lead to significant economic losses. Water rights trading (WRT) is a key mechanism for reallocating water resources within and across water-scarce regions and industries. However, WRT often reallocates saved agricultural water to more economically productive sectors. A crucial consideration is whether this shift could lead to agricultural water scarcity, thus affecting agricultural production. This study examines whether WRT contributes to potential economic losses in agriculture. Using panel data from 264 Chinese cities from 2010 to 2020, we estimate the Agricultural Water Scarcity Risk (AWSR), which quantifies the economic loss caused by agricultural water scarcity, and analyze the impact of WRT on AWSR using the Spatial Difference-in-Differences method. Our findings reveal that: (1) WRT significantly alleviate the economic production loss due to agricultural water scarcity, with the results remaining robust after various tests; (2) WRT mitigates AWSR not only locally but also in neighboring cities; and (3) the policy’s effectiveness varies by region, being most effective in the Eastern region, followed by the Central region, and least in the Western region. This study highlights the importance of rational water resource management in agriculture and provides a foundation for developing strategies to mitigate agricultural water scarcity risk in high AWSR regions.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377424005699Sustainable agricultural water managementWater rights tradingTheoretical mechanismSpatial spillover effects
spellingShingle Jiajia Liu
Muhammad Umer
Jun Zhao
Qiang Li
Mei Qu
Does water rights trading cause economic losses from agricultural water scarcity? Evidence from 264 Chinese cities
Agricultural Water Management
Sustainable agricultural water management
Water rights trading
Theoretical mechanism
Spatial spillover effects
title Does water rights trading cause economic losses from agricultural water scarcity? Evidence from 264 Chinese cities
title_full Does water rights trading cause economic losses from agricultural water scarcity? Evidence from 264 Chinese cities
title_fullStr Does water rights trading cause economic losses from agricultural water scarcity? Evidence from 264 Chinese cities
title_full_unstemmed Does water rights trading cause economic losses from agricultural water scarcity? Evidence from 264 Chinese cities
title_short Does water rights trading cause economic losses from agricultural water scarcity? Evidence from 264 Chinese cities
title_sort does water rights trading cause economic losses from agricultural water scarcity evidence from 264 chinese cities
topic Sustainable agricultural water management
Water rights trading
Theoretical mechanism
Spatial spillover effects
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377424005699
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