Data-Driven Prediction Methods for Lithium-Ion Battery State of Health Based on Elbow Rule

Lithium-ion batteries are extensively utilized in diverse sectors such as automotive applications. The imprecise estimation of the State Of Health (SOH) will significantly impact safe operations and cost reduction initiatives. Addressing challenges in extracting aging features and the complexity of...

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Main Authors: Liu Zhang, Bo Xing, Yanbing Gao, Lei Yao, Dengfeng Zhao, Jinquan Ding, Yanyan Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2024-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
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Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10701285/
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author Liu Zhang
Bo Xing
Yanbing Gao
Lei Yao
Dengfeng Zhao
Jinquan Ding
Yanyan Li
author_facet Liu Zhang
Bo Xing
Yanbing Gao
Lei Yao
Dengfeng Zhao
Jinquan Ding
Yanyan Li
author_sort Liu Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Lithium-ion batteries are extensively utilized in diverse sectors such as automotive applications. The imprecise estimation of the State Of Health (SOH) will significantly impact safe operations and cost reduction initiatives. Addressing challenges in extracting aging features and the complexity of modeling, this study proposed a feature parameter identification method leveraging Incremental Capacity Analysis (ICA) technology and the elbow rule. This approach employed data-driven methodologies to predict battery health status. Initially, voltage capacity and incremental capacity curves were obtained, and data-driven principles were employed along with data cleaning to mitigate noise. Subsequently, correlation and significance analysis methods were applied for preliminary health feature selection. To eliminate data redundancy, a novel principal component analysis strategy based on the elbow optimization rule was introduced. Next, two data-driven estimation models, namely BP (Back Propagation) neural network and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), were established. These models were employed for SOH prediction. Comparative results demonstrate that feature parameters extracted using the elbow rule from both models closely approximate reality, validating the correctness and accuracy of the feature extraction method. Specifically, the GPR model exhibited higher prediction accuracy. Furthermore, the GPR model was applied to predict SOH for an additional set of three batteries. The findings reveal a relative error of approximately 4% when maintaining lithium-ion battery SOH at 80%, affirming the GPR model’s high accuracy and robust adaptability for SOH prediction.
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spelling doaj-art-4cfa6392ee2f4bf9a1840800a6144bc12025-01-16T00:01:58ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362024-01-011218358118359510.1109/ACCESS.2024.347177710701285Data-Driven Prediction Methods for Lithium-Ion Battery State of Health Based on Elbow RuleLiu Zhang0https://orcid.org/0009-0007-8413-5592Bo Xing1Yanbing Gao2Lei Yao3Dengfeng Zhao4Jinquan Ding5Yanyan Li6Mechanical and Electrical Engineering Institute, Zhengzhou University of Light Industry, Zhengzhou, Henan, ChinaNational Quality Inspection and Testing Center for Abrasives, Zhengzhou, Henan, ChinaNational Quality Inspection and Testing Center for Abrasives, Zhengzhou, Henan, ChinaNew Energy College, Zhengzhou University of Light Industry, Zhengzhou, Henan, ChinaMechanical and Electrical Engineering Institute, Zhengzhou University of Light Industry, Zhengzhou, Henan, ChinaMechanical and Electrical Engineering Institute, Zhengzhou University of Light Industry, Zhengzhou, Henan, ChinaMechanical and Electrical Engineering Institute, Zhengzhou University of Light Industry, Zhengzhou, Henan, ChinaLithium-ion batteries are extensively utilized in diverse sectors such as automotive applications. The imprecise estimation of the State Of Health (SOH) will significantly impact safe operations and cost reduction initiatives. Addressing challenges in extracting aging features and the complexity of modeling, this study proposed a feature parameter identification method leveraging Incremental Capacity Analysis (ICA) technology and the elbow rule. This approach employed data-driven methodologies to predict battery health status. Initially, voltage capacity and incremental capacity curves were obtained, and data-driven principles were employed along with data cleaning to mitigate noise. Subsequently, correlation and significance analysis methods were applied for preliminary health feature selection. To eliminate data redundancy, a novel principal component analysis strategy based on the elbow optimization rule was introduced. Next, two data-driven estimation models, namely BP (Back Propagation) neural network and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), were established. These models were employed for SOH prediction. Comparative results demonstrate that feature parameters extracted using the elbow rule from both models closely approximate reality, validating the correctness and accuracy of the feature extraction method. Specifically, the GPR model exhibited higher prediction accuracy. Furthermore, the GPR model was applied to predict SOH for an additional set of three batteries. The findings reveal a relative error of approximately 4% when maintaining lithium-ion battery SOH at 80%, affirming the GPR model’s high accuracy and robust adaptability for SOH prediction.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10701285/BP neural networkincremental capacityelbow ruleGaussian process regressionlithium-ion battery
spellingShingle Liu Zhang
Bo Xing
Yanbing Gao
Lei Yao
Dengfeng Zhao
Jinquan Ding
Yanyan Li
Data-Driven Prediction Methods for Lithium-Ion Battery State of Health Based on Elbow Rule
IEEE Access
BP neural network
incremental capacity
elbow rule
Gaussian process regression
lithium-ion battery
title Data-Driven Prediction Methods for Lithium-Ion Battery State of Health Based on Elbow Rule
title_full Data-Driven Prediction Methods for Lithium-Ion Battery State of Health Based on Elbow Rule
title_fullStr Data-Driven Prediction Methods for Lithium-Ion Battery State of Health Based on Elbow Rule
title_full_unstemmed Data-Driven Prediction Methods for Lithium-Ion Battery State of Health Based on Elbow Rule
title_short Data-Driven Prediction Methods for Lithium-Ion Battery State of Health Based on Elbow Rule
title_sort data driven prediction methods for lithium ion battery state of health based on elbow rule
topic BP neural network
incremental capacity
elbow rule
Gaussian process regression
lithium-ion battery
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10701285/
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