Long- and short-term variability of Arctic sea-ice cover during the Last Interglacial and Marine Isotope Stage 11c

Abstract Sea-ice-free Arctic summers are expected within the next decades due to anthropogenic warming. Studying past warm interglacials offers valuable insights into the Arctic climate system under similar conditions. Here we present a series of simulations that represent a chronological sequence o...

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Main Authors: Brian R. Crow, Matthias Prange
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-04-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02267-4
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author Brian R. Crow
Matthias Prange
author_facet Brian R. Crow
Matthias Prange
author_sort Brian R. Crow
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description Abstract Sea-ice-free Arctic summers are expected within the next decades due to anthropogenic warming. Studying past warm interglacials offers valuable insights into the Arctic climate system under similar conditions. Here we present a series of simulations that represent a chronological sequence of interglacial climate states over Marine Isotope Stages 5e and 11c using the Community Earth System Model. While previous studies attempted to explain the Arctic sea-ice evolution through changes in summer solstice insolation, we demonstrate that summer sea-ice area during both interglacial periods is primarily driven by an inverse relationship with integrated summer energy. Although proxy data yield conflicting results on Last Interglacial Arctic sea-ice cover, our simulations suggest seasonally ice-free conditions across the Arctic during the early interglacial phase. In both interglacials, climate states with intermediate levels of summer sea-ice area are characterized by maximum interannual variability in sea-ice area.
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spelling doaj-art-4c9abc5372864d4bbdcdb4f05858ce722025-08-20T02:28:07ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352025-04-016111110.1038/s43247-025-02267-4Long- and short-term variability of Arctic sea-ice cover during the Last Interglacial and Marine Isotope Stage 11cBrian R. Crow0Matthias Prange1MARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of BremenMARUM – Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of BremenAbstract Sea-ice-free Arctic summers are expected within the next decades due to anthropogenic warming. Studying past warm interglacials offers valuable insights into the Arctic climate system under similar conditions. Here we present a series of simulations that represent a chronological sequence of interglacial climate states over Marine Isotope Stages 5e and 11c using the Community Earth System Model. While previous studies attempted to explain the Arctic sea-ice evolution through changes in summer solstice insolation, we demonstrate that summer sea-ice area during both interglacial periods is primarily driven by an inverse relationship with integrated summer energy. Although proxy data yield conflicting results on Last Interglacial Arctic sea-ice cover, our simulations suggest seasonally ice-free conditions across the Arctic during the early interglacial phase. In both interglacials, climate states with intermediate levels of summer sea-ice area are characterized by maximum interannual variability in sea-ice area.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02267-4
spellingShingle Brian R. Crow
Matthias Prange
Long- and short-term variability of Arctic sea-ice cover during the Last Interglacial and Marine Isotope Stage 11c
Communications Earth & Environment
title Long- and short-term variability of Arctic sea-ice cover during the Last Interglacial and Marine Isotope Stage 11c
title_full Long- and short-term variability of Arctic sea-ice cover during the Last Interglacial and Marine Isotope Stage 11c
title_fullStr Long- and short-term variability of Arctic sea-ice cover during the Last Interglacial and Marine Isotope Stage 11c
title_full_unstemmed Long- and short-term variability of Arctic sea-ice cover during the Last Interglacial and Marine Isotope Stage 11c
title_short Long- and short-term variability of Arctic sea-ice cover during the Last Interglacial and Marine Isotope Stage 11c
title_sort long and short term variability of arctic sea ice cover during the last interglacial and marine isotope stage 11c
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02267-4
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