Assessing future local sea level rise in the islands of the outermost regions of the European Union
The aim of this paper is to develop a methodology to calculate the sea level rise (SLR) caused by global warming in the Outermost Regions (ORs) of the European Union, mostly represented by islands. ORs are especially vulnerable to SLR since their economies are based mostly on coastal activities. Th...
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| Language: | English |
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European Association of Geographers
2018-10-01
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| Series: | European Journal of Geography |
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| Online Access: | https://eurogeojournal.eu/index.php/egj/article/view/135 |
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| author | Pablo FRAILE-JURADO |
| author_facet | Pablo FRAILE-JURADO |
| author_sort | Pablo FRAILE-JURADO |
| collection | DOAJ |
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The aim of this paper is to develop a methodology to calculate the sea level rise (SLR) caused by global warming in the Outermost Regions (ORs) of the European Union, mostly represented by islands. ORs are especially vulnerable to SLR since their economies are based mostly on coastal activities. There is a lack of studies at local scale about this phenomenon, mainly caused by the data requirements of the statistical methods used to predict future SLR. Long-term series of tide gauges located on ORs often do not meet the needs of these methods. Therefore, in this paper we proposed a methodology based on the comparison between observed local (from tide gauges of ORs) and global SLR time series. It allows to estimate SLR from short or incomplete time series for future scenarios in ORs SLR. In general, the results show that most of the ORs will suffer from a significant SLR. The differences between the predicted SLR and the expected sea level rise according to future scenarios are not minor.
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| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-4c792b235e88420582337e8c8197e1f7 |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 1792-1341 2410-7433 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2018-10-01 |
| publisher | European Association of Geographers |
| record_format | Article |
| series | European Journal of Geography |
| spelling | doaj-art-4c792b235e88420582337e8c8197e1f72025-08-20T02:58:19ZengEuropean Association of GeographersEuropean Journal of Geography1792-13412410-74332018-10-0192Assessing future local sea level rise in the islands of the outermost regions of the European UnionPablo FRAILE-JURADO The aim of this paper is to develop a methodology to calculate the sea level rise (SLR) caused by global warming in the Outermost Regions (ORs) of the European Union, mostly represented by islands. ORs are especially vulnerable to SLR since their economies are based mostly on coastal activities. There is a lack of studies at local scale about this phenomenon, mainly caused by the data requirements of the statistical methods used to predict future SLR. Long-term series of tide gauges located on ORs often do not meet the needs of these methods. Therefore, in this paper we proposed a methodology based on the comparison between observed local (from tide gauges of ORs) and global SLR time series. It allows to estimate SLR from short or incomplete time series for future scenarios in ORs SLR. In general, the results show that most of the ORs will suffer from a significant SLR. The differences between the predicted SLR and the expected sea level rise according to future scenarios are not minor. https://eurogeojournal.eu/index.php/egj/article/view/135sea level rise, ORs, trends, projections, climate change scenarios, EU |
| spellingShingle | Pablo FRAILE-JURADO Assessing future local sea level rise in the islands of the outermost regions of the European Union European Journal of Geography sea level rise, ORs, trends, projections, climate change scenarios, EU |
| title | Assessing future local sea level rise in the islands of the outermost regions of the European Union |
| title_full | Assessing future local sea level rise in the islands of the outermost regions of the European Union |
| title_fullStr | Assessing future local sea level rise in the islands of the outermost regions of the European Union |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing future local sea level rise in the islands of the outermost regions of the European Union |
| title_short | Assessing future local sea level rise in the islands of the outermost regions of the European Union |
| title_sort | assessing future local sea level rise in the islands of the outermost regions of the european union |
| topic | sea level rise, ORs, trends, projections, climate change scenarios, EU |
| url | https://eurogeojournal.eu/index.php/egj/article/view/135 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT pablofrailejurado assessingfuturelocalsealevelriseintheislandsoftheoutermostregionsoftheeuropeanunion |