Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining Technology
A new methodology combining data mining technology with statistical methods is proposed for the prediction of tropical cyclones’ characteristic factors which contain latitude, longitude, the lowest center pressure, and wind speed. In the proposed method, the best track datasets in the years 1949~201...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2014-01-01
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| Series: | Advances in Meteorology |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/735491 |
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| _version_ | 1850107075162537984 |
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| author | Ruixu Zhou Wensheng Gao Bowen Zhang Xianggan Fu Qinzhu Chen Song Huang Yafeng Liang |
| author_facet | Ruixu Zhou Wensheng Gao Bowen Zhang Xianggan Fu Qinzhu Chen Song Huang Yafeng Liang |
| author_sort | Ruixu Zhou |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | A new methodology combining data mining technology with statistical methods is proposed for the prediction of tropical cyclones’ characteristic factors which contain latitude, longitude, the lowest center pressure, and wind speed. In the proposed method, the best track datasets in the years 1949~2012 are used for prediction. Using the method, effective criterions are formed to judge whether tropical cyclones land on Hainan Island or not. The highest probability of accurate judgment can reach above 79%. With regard to TCs which are judged to land on Hainan Island, related prediction equations are established to effectively predict their characteristic factors. Results show that the average distance error is improved compared with the National Meteorological Centre of China. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-4c41843e8a3c4c94b7a53cfe9790fd8b |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1687-9309 1687-9317 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2014-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Advances in Meteorology |
| spelling | doaj-art-4c41843e8a3c4c94b7a53cfe9790fd8b2025-08-20T02:38:40ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172014-01-01201410.1155/2014/735491735491Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining TechnologyRuixu Zhou0Wensheng Gao1Bowen Zhang2Xianggan Fu3Qinzhu Chen4Song Huang5Yafeng Liang6Department of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaDepartment of Electrical Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaChina Electric Power Research Institute, Beijing 100192, ChinaHainan Power Grid Corporation, Haikou, Hainan 570203, ChinaHainan Power Grid Corporation, Haikou, Hainan 570203, ChinaHainan Power Grid Corporation, Haikou, Hainan 570203, ChinaHainan Power Grid Corporation, Haikou, Hainan 570203, ChinaA new methodology combining data mining technology with statistical methods is proposed for the prediction of tropical cyclones’ characteristic factors which contain latitude, longitude, the lowest center pressure, and wind speed. In the proposed method, the best track datasets in the years 1949~2012 are used for prediction. Using the method, effective criterions are formed to judge whether tropical cyclones land on Hainan Island or not. The highest probability of accurate judgment can reach above 79%. With regard to TCs which are judged to land on Hainan Island, related prediction equations are established to effectively predict their characteristic factors. Results show that the average distance error is improved compared with the National Meteorological Centre of China.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/735491 |
| spellingShingle | Ruixu Zhou Wensheng Gao Bowen Zhang Xianggan Fu Qinzhu Chen Song Huang Yafeng Liang Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining Technology Advances in Meteorology |
| title | Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining Technology |
| title_full | Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining Technology |
| title_fullStr | Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining Technology |
| title_full_unstemmed | Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining Technology |
| title_short | Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining Technology |
| title_sort | prediction of tropical cyclones characteristic factors on hainan island using data mining technology |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/735491 |
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