A machine learning-based nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of cystitis glandularis

Background: Cystitis glandularis is a chronic inflammatory disease of the urinary system characterized by high recurrence rates, the reasons for which are still unknown. Objectives: This study aims to identify potential factors contributing to recurrence and propose a simple and feasible prognostic...

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Main Authors: Xuhao Liu, Yuhang Wang, Yinzhao Wang, Pinghong Dao, Tailai Zhou, Wenhao Zhu, Chuyang Huang, Yong Li, Yuzhong Yan, Minfeng Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2024-10-01
Series:Therapeutic Advances in Urology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/17562872241290183
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author Xuhao Liu
Yuhang Wang
Yinzhao Wang
Pinghong Dao
Tailai Zhou
Wenhao Zhu
Chuyang Huang
Yong Li
Yuzhong Yan
Minfeng Chen
author_facet Xuhao Liu
Yuhang Wang
Yinzhao Wang
Pinghong Dao
Tailai Zhou
Wenhao Zhu
Chuyang Huang
Yong Li
Yuzhong Yan
Minfeng Chen
author_sort Xuhao Liu
collection DOAJ
description Background: Cystitis glandularis is a chronic inflammatory disease of the urinary system characterized by high recurrence rates, the reasons for which are still unknown. Objectives: This study aims to identify potential factors contributing to recurrence and propose a simple and feasible prognostic model through nomogram construction. Design: Patients with confirmed recurrence based on outpatient visits or readmissions were included in this study, which was subsequently divided into training and validation cohorts. Methods: Machine learning techniques were utilized to screen for the most important predictors, and these were then employed to construct the nomogram. The reliability of the nomogram was assessed through receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, decision curve analysis, and calibration curves. Results: A total of 252 patients met the screening criteria and were enrolled in this study. Over the 12-month follow-up period, the relapse rate was found to be 57.14% ( n  = 144). The five final predictors identified through machine learning were urinary infections, urinary calculi, eosinophil count, lymphocyte count, and serum magnesium. The area under curve values for all three time points assessing recurrence exceeded 0.75. Furthermore, both calibration curves and decision curve analyses indicated good performance of the nomogram. Conclusion: We have developed a reliable machine learning-based nomogram for predicting recurrence in cystitis glandularis
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spelling doaj-art-4c3c9cfe7d384d9fbe71c84b4aa5492d2025-08-20T01:47:57ZengSAGE PublishingTherapeutic Advances in Urology1756-28802024-10-011610.1177/17562872241290183A machine learning-based nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of cystitis glandularisXuhao LiuYuhang WangYinzhao WangPinghong DaoTailai ZhouWenhao ZhuChuyang HuangYong LiYuzhong YanMinfeng ChenBackground: Cystitis glandularis is a chronic inflammatory disease of the urinary system characterized by high recurrence rates, the reasons for which are still unknown. Objectives: This study aims to identify potential factors contributing to recurrence and propose a simple and feasible prognostic model through nomogram construction. Design: Patients with confirmed recurrence based on outpatient visits or readmissions were included in this study, which was subsequently divided into training and validation cohorts. Methods: Machine learning techniques were utilized to screen for the most important predictors, and these were then employed to construct the nomogram. The reliability of the nomogram was assessed through receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, decision curve analysis, and calibration curves. Results: A total of 252 patients met the screening criteria and were enrolled in this study. Over the 12-month follow-up period, the relapse rate was found to be 57.14% ( n  = 144). The five final predictors identified through machine learning were urinary infections, urinary calculi, eosinophil count, lymphocyte count, and serum magnesium. The area under curve values for all three time points assessing recurrence exceeded 0.75. Furthermore, both calibration curves and decision curve analyses indicated good performance of the nomogram. Conclusion: We have developed a reliable machine learning-based nomogram for predicting recurrence in cystitis glandularishttps://doi.org/10.1177/17562872241290183
spellingShingle Xuhao Liu
Yuhang Wang
Yinzhao Wang
Pinghong Dao
Tailai Zhou
Wenhao Zhu
Chuyang Huang
Yong Li
Yuzhong Yan
Minfeng Chen
A machine learning-based nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of cystitis glandularis
Therapeutic Advances in Urology
title A machine learning-based nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of cystitis glandularis
title_full A machine learning-based nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of cystitis glandularis
title_fullStr A machine learning-based nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of cystitis glandularis
title_full_unstemmed A machine learning-based nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of cystitis glandularis
title_short A machine learning-based nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of cystitis glandularis
title_sort machine learning based nomogram model for predicting the recurrence of cystitis glandularis
url https://doi.org/10.1177/17562872241290183
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