Statistical Geochemical Constraints on Present-day Water Outgassing as a Source of Secondary Atmospheres on the TRAPPIST-1 Exoplanets

The TRAPPIST-1 planetary system is observationally favorable for studying if planets orbiting M stars can retain atmospheres and host habitable conditions. Recent JWST secondary eclipse observations of TRAPPIST-1 c rule out a thick CO _2 atmosphere but do not rule out atmospheric water vapor or its...

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Main Authors: Trent B. Thomas, Victoria S. Meadows, Joshua Krissansen-Totton, Megan T. Gialluca, Nicholas F. Wogan, David C. Catling
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:The Planetary Science Journal
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3847/PSJ/add261
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author Trent B. Thomas
Victoria S. Meadows
Joshua Krissansen-Totton
Megan T. Gialluca
Nicholas F. Wogan
David C. Catling
author_facet Trent B. Thomas
Victoria S. Meadows
Joshua Krissansen-Totton
Megan T. Gialluca
Nicholas F. Wogan
David C. Catling
author_sort Trent B. Thomas
collection DOAJ
description The TRAPPIST-1 planetary system is observationally favorable for studying if planets orbiting M stars can retain atmospheres and host habitable conditions. Recent JWST secondary eclipse observations of TRAPPIST-1 c rule out a thick CO _2 atmosphere but do not rule out atmospheric water vapor or its photochemical product, oxygen. Given the high expected escape rate, maintenance of atmospheric water vapor would require a present-day water source, such as volcanic outgassing. Here, we simulate water outgassing on the TRAPPIST-1 planets over a broad phase space that is based on solar system terrestrial bodies. We then apply two filters based on observation and geochemistry that narrow this phase space and constrain the plausible outgassing scenarios. For all seven TRAPPIST-1 planets, we find that the water outgassing rate is most likely ∼0.03x Earth’s but has upper limits of ∼8x Earth’s. The allowed range also implies low, Mars-like magma emplacement rates and relatively dry, Earth-like mantles, although mantle water mass fractions up to 1 wt% are possible. We also present scenarios with magma emplacement rates similar to Mars, Earth, and Io, resulting in different preferred mantle water content and outgassing rates. We find that water outgassing rates are potentially high enough to balance water escape rates, providing a theoretical pathway for the TRAPPIST-1 planets to maintain surface water or water-vapor-containing atmospheres over long timescales. The bounds on outgassing rates and interior properties can be used in atmospheric chemistry and escape models to contextualize future observations of the TRAPPIST-1 planets, and may be applicable to other terrestrial exoplanets.
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spelling doaj-art-4b9bfe01b9314878a2e91c750dea165c2025-08-20T02:34:42ZengIOP PublishingThe Planetary Science Journal2632-33382025-01-016512610.3847/PSJ/add261Statistical Geochemical Constraints on Present-day Water Outgassing as a Source of Secondary Atmospheres on the TRAPPIST-1 ExoplanetsTrent B. Thomas0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2457-2890Victoria S. Meadows1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1386-1710Joshua Krissansen-Totton2Megan T. Gialluca3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2587-0841Nicholas F. Wogan4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0413-3308David C. Catling5https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5646-120XDepartment of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; Astrobiology Program, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; NASA Nexus for Exoplanet System Science, Virtual Planetary Laboratory, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USAAstrobiology Program, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; NASA Nexus for Exoplanet System Science, Virtual Planetary Laboratory, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; Department of Astronomy, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USADepartment of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; Astrobiology Program, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; NASA Nexus for Exoplanet System Science, Virtual Planetary Laboratory, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USAAstrobiology Program, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; NASA Nexus for Exoplanet System Science, Virtual Planetary Laboratory, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; Department of Astronomy, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USANASA Nexus for Exoplanet System Science, Virtual Planetary Laboratory, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; NASA Ames Research Center , Moffett Field, CA 94035, USADepartment of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; Astrobiology Program, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USA; NASA Nexus for Exoplanet System Science, Virtual Planetary Laboratory, University of Washington , Seattle, WA, USAThe TRAPPIST-1 planetary system is observationally favorable for studying if planets orbiting M stars can retain atmospheres and host habitable conditions. Recent JWST secondary eclipse observations of TRAPPIST-1 c rule out a thick CO _2 atmosphere but do not rule out atmospheric water vapor or its photochemical product, oxygen. Given the high expected escape rate, maintenance of atmospheric water vapor would require a present-day water source, such as volcanic outgassing. Here, we simulate water outgassing on the TRAPPIST-1 planets over a broad phase space that is based on solar system terrestrial bodies. We then apply two filters based on observation and geochemistry that narrow this phase space and constrain the plausible outgassing scenarios. For all seven TRAPPIST-1 planets, we find that the water outgassing rate is most likely ∼0.03x Earth’s but has upper limits of ∼8x Earth’s. The allowed range also implies low, Mars-like magma emplacement rates and relatively dry, Earth-like mantles, although mantle water mass fractions up to 1 wt% are possible. We also present scenarios with magma emplacement rates similar to Mars, Earth, and Io, resulting in different preferred mantle water content and outgassing rates. We find that water outgassing rates are potentially high enough to balance water escape rates, providing a theoretical pathway for the TRAPPIST-1 planets to maintain surface water or water-vapor-containing atmospheres over long timescales. The bounds on outgassing rates and interior properties can be used in atmospheric chemistry and escape models to contextualize future observations of the TRAPPIST-1 planets, and may be applicable to other terrestrial exoplanets.https://doi.org/10.3847/PSJ/add261ExoplanetsExoplanet atmospheresPlanetary atmospheresPlanetary geologyPlanetary interiorPlanetary system evolution
spellingShingle Trent B. Thomas
Victoria S. Meadows
Joshua Krissansen-Totton
Megan T. Gialluca
Nicholas F. Wogan
David C. Catling
Statistical Geochemical Constraints on Present-day Water Outgassing as a Source of Secondary Atmospheres on the TRAPPIST-1 Exoplanets
The Planetary Science Journal
Exoplanets
Exoplanet atmospheres
Planetary atmospheres
Planetary geology
Planetary interior
Planetary system evolution
title Statistical Geochemical Constraints on Present-day Water Outgassing as a Source of Secondary Atmospheres on the TRAPPIST-1 Exoplanets
title_full Statistical Geochemical Constraints on Present-day Water Outgassing as a Source of Secondary Atmospheres on the TRAPPIST-1 Exoplanets
title_fullStr Statistical Geochemical Constraints on Present-day Water Outgassing as a Source of Secondary Atmospheres on the TRAPPIST-1 Exoplanets
title_full_unstemmed Statistical Geochemical Constraints on Present-day Water Outgassing as a Source of Secondary Atmospheres on the TRAPPIST-1 Exoplanets
title_short Statistical Geochemical Constraints on Present-day Water Outgassing as a Source of Secondary Atmospheres on the TRAPPIST-1 Exoplanets
title_sort statistical geochemical constraints on present day water outgassing as a source of secondary atmospheres on the trappist 1 exoplanets
topic Exoplanets
Exoplanet atmospheres
Planetary atmospheres
Planetary geology
Planetary interior
Planetary system evolution
url https://doi.org/10.3847/PSJ/add261
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