Precession modulates the poleward expansion of atmospheric circulation to the Arctic Ocean

Abstract Under sustained global warming, Arctic climate is projected to become more responsive to changes in North Pacific meridional heat transport as a result of teleconnections between low and high latitudes, but the underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. Here, we reconstruct subarctic h...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Yi Zhong, Zhengyao Lu, Stefanie Kaboth-Bahr, Jimin Yu, Keiji Horikawa, Mark J. Dekkers, Juan C. Larrasoaña, Peter D. Clift, Michael E. Weber, Flor Vermassen, Sev Kender, Chijun Sun, Hu Yang, Xianfeng Wang, Camilla S. Andresen, Yanguang Liu, Haiwei Zhang, Zhengyang Dai, Lu Niu, Jingyu Zhang, Xuguang Feng, Debo Zhao, Wenyue Xia, Sheng Yang, Hai Li, Qingsong Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-01-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56542-1
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832571510849536000
author Yi Zhong
Zhengyao Lu
Stefanie Kaboth-Bahr
Jimin Yu
Keiji Horikawa
Mark J. Dekkers
Juan C. Larrasoaña
Peter D. Clift
Michael E. Weber
Flor Vermassen
Sev Kender
Chijun Sun
Hu Yang
Xianfeng Wang
Camilla S. Andresen
Yanguang Liu
Haiwei Zhang
Zhengyang Dai
Lu Niu
Jingyu Zhang
Xuguang Feng
Debo Zhao
Wenyue Xia
Sheng Yang
Hai Li
Qingsong Liu
author_facet Yi Zhong
Zhengyao Lu
Stefanie Kaboth-Bahr
Jimin Yu
Keiji Horikawa
Mark J. Dekkers
Juan C. Larrasoaña
Peter D. Clift
Michael E. Weber
Flor Vermassen
Sev Kender
Chijun Sun
Hu Yang
Xianfeng Wang
Camilla S. Andresen
Yanguang Liu
Haiwei Zhang
Zhengyang Dai
Lu Niu
Jingyu Zhang
Xuguang Feng
Debo Zhao
Wenyue Xia
Sheng Yang
Hai Li
Qingsong Liu
author_sort Yi Zhong
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Under sustained global warming, Arctic climate is projected to become more responsive to changes in North Pacific meridional heat transport as a result of teleconnections between low and high latitudes, but the underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. Here, we reconstruct subarctic humidity changes over the past 400 kyr to investigate the role of low-to-high latitude interactions in regulating Arctic hydroclimate. Our reconstruction is based on precipitation-driven sediment input variations in the Subarctic North Pacific (SANP), which reveal a strong precessional cycle in subarctic humidity under the relatively low eccentricity variations that dominated the past four glacial-interglacial cycles. Combined with climate model simulations, we highlight that precession drives meridional shifts in the northern rim of the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre (NPSG) and modulates the efficiency of heat and water vapor transfer to the SANP and Arctic regions. Our findings suggest that projections of a northward shift of the NPSG in response to future global warming will lead to wetter conditions in the Arctic Ocean and enhanced sea-ice loss.
format Article
id doaj-art-4b6f306df0b14ac7b790bd42f652f950
institution Kabale University
issn 2041-1723
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Nature Communications
spelling doaj-art-4b6f306df0b14ac7b790bd42f652f9502025-02-02T12:32:28ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-01-0116111010.1038/s41467-025-56542-1Precession modulates the poleward expansion of atmospheric circulation to the Arctic OceanYi Zhong0Zhengyao Lu1Stefanie Kaboth-Bahr2Jimin Yu3Keiji Horikawa4Mark J. Dekkers5Juan C. Larrasoaña6Peter D. Clift7Michael E. Weber8Flor Vermassen9Sev Kender10Chijun Sun11Hu Yang12Xianfeng Wang13Camilla S. Andresen14Yanguang Liu15Haiwei Zhang16Zhengyang Dai17Lu Niu18Jingyu Zhang19Xuguang Feng20Debo Zhao21Wenyue Xia22Sheng Yang23Hai Li24Qingsong Liu25Centre for Marine Magnetism (CM2, Department of Ocean Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and TechnologyDepartment of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund UniversityInstitute of Geological Sciences, Frei Universität BerlinLaoshan LaboratoryFaculty of Science, Academic Assembly, University of ToyamaPaleomagnetic Laboratory ‘Fort Hoofddijk’, Department of Earth Sciences, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht UniversityDepartamento de Ciencias, Universidad Pública de Navarra, Campus de ArrosadiaDepartment of Earth Sciences, University College LondonInstitute for Geosciences, Department of Geochemistry and Petrology, University of BonnDepartment of Geological Sciences, Stockholm UniversityCamborne School of Mines, Department of Earth and Environment Sciences, University of ExeterDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of California DavisSouthern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai)Earth Observatory of Singapore and Asian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological UniversityGeological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, Department of Glaciology and Climate, Øster Voldgade10, 1350Key Laboratory of Marine Geology and Metallogeny, First Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources (MNR)Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi’an Jiaotong UniversityCentre for Marine Magnetism (CM2, Department of Ocean Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and TechnologyAlfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und MeeresforschungCentre for Marine Magnetism (CM2, Department of Ocean Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and TechnologyKey Laboratory of Marine Geology and Metallogeny, First Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources (MNR)Key Laboratory of Marine Geology and Environment, Institute of Oceanology, Chinese Academy of SciencesCentre for Marine Magnetism (CM2, Department of Ocean Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and TechnologyCentre for Marine Magnetism (CM2, Department of Ocean Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and TechnologySouthern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou)Centre for Marine Magnetism (CM2, Department of Ocean Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and TechnologyAbstract Under sustained global warming, Arctic climate is projected to become more responsive to changes in North Pacific meridional heat transport as a result of teleconnections between low and high latitudes, but the underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. Here, we reconstruct subarctic humidity changes over the past 400 kyr to investigate the role of low-to-high latitude interactions in regulating Arctic hydroclimate. Our reconstruction is based on precipitation-driven sediment input variations in the Subarctic North Pacific (SANP), which reveal a strong precessional cycle in subarctic humidity under the relatively low eccentricity variations that dominated the past four glacial-interglacial cycles. Combined with climate model simulations, we highlight that precession drives meridional shifts in the northern rim of the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre (NPSG) and modulates the efficiency of heat and water vapor transfer to the SANP and Arctic regions. Our findings suggest that projections of a northward shift of the NPSG in response to future global warming will lead to wetter conditions in the Arctic Ocean and enhanced sea-ice loss.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56542-1
spellingShingle Yi Zhong
Zhengyao Lu
Stefanie Kaboth-Bahr
Jimin Yu
Keiji Horikawa
Mark J. Dekkers
Juan C. Larrasoaña
Peter D. Clift
Michael E. Weber
Flor Vermassen
Sev Kender
Chijun Sun
Hu Yang
Xianfeng Wang
Camilla S. Andresen
Yanguang Liu
Haiwei Zhang
Zhengyang Dai
Lu Niu
Jingyu Zhang
Xuguang Feng
Debo Zhao
Wenyue Xia
Sheng Yang
Hai Li
Qingsong Liu
Precession modulates the poleward expansion of atmospheric circulation to the Arctic Ocean
Nature Communications
title Precession modulates the poleward expansion of atmospheric circulation to the Arctic Ocean
title_full Precession modulates the poleward expansion of atmospheric circulation to the Arctic Ocean
title_fullStr Precession modulates the poleward expansion of atmospheric circulation to the Arctic Ocean
title_full_unstemmed Precession modulates the poleward expansion of atmospheric circulation to the Arctic Ocean
title_short Precession modulates the poleward expansion of atmospheric circulation to the Arctic Ocean
title_sort precession modulates the poleward expansion of atmospheric circulation to the arctic ocean
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-56542-1
work_keys_str_mv AT yizhong precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT zhengyaolu precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT stefaniekabothbahr precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT jiminyu precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT keijihorikawa precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT markjdekkers precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT juanclarrasoana precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT peterdclift precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT michaeleweber precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT florvermassen precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT sevkender precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT chijunsun precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT huyang precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT xianfengwang precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT camillasandresen precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT yanguangliu precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT haiweizhang precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT zhengyangdai precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT luniu precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT jingyuzhang precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT xuguangfeng precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT debozhao precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT wenyuexia precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT shengyang precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT haili precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean
AT qingsongliu precessionmodulatesthepolewardexpansionofatmosphericcirculationtothearcticocean