THE FUTURE OF SERBIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO EGYPT: OPPORTUNITIES UNDER THE NEW FREE TRADE AGREEMENT

This study examines the potential impact of the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between Serbia and Egypt on Serbian fruit exports. It identifies fruit products with strong trade complementarity to Egypt’s import needs and projects export growth from tariff reductions. Using Revealed Comparative Advantag...

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Main Author: Nataša Stanojevic
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Naučno društvo agrarnih ekonomista Balkana, Beograd; Institut za ekonomiku poljoprivrede, Beograd i Akademija ekonomskih nauka, Bukurešt 2025-06-01
Series:Ekonomika Poljoprivrede (1979)
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.ea.bg.ac.rs/index.php/EA/article/view/2409
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author Nataša Stanojevic
author_facet Nataša Stanojevic
author_sort Nataša Stanojevic
collection DOAJ
description This study examines the potential impact of the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between Serbia and Egypt on Serbian fruit exports. It identifies fruit products with strong trade complementarity to Egypt’s import needs and projects export growth from tariff reductions. Using Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) and the Michaely Trade Complementarity Index (TCI), the analysis highlights Serbia’s globally competitive fruit products and their alignment with Egypt’s demand. A simulation model, incorporating Egypt’s demand elasticity and anticipated price reductions, predicts significant growth for products like fresh apples, plums, and dried apricots, while frozen fruits, despite high RCA, show limited prospects. The findings offer actionable recommendations for expanding production in high-demand sectors, leveraging Serbia’s comparative advantages, and diversifying exports to maximize FTA benefits. This study provides a strategic framework for enhancing Serbia’s fruit trade with Egypt, supporting informed policymaking and stakeholder decisions in an evolving global trade environment.
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publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Naučno društvo agrarnih ekonomista Balkana, Beograd; Institut za ekonomiku poljoprivrede, Beograd i Akademija ekonomskih nauka, Bukurešt
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series Ekonomika Poljoprivrede (1979)
spelling doaj-art-4aca322720b941e5a8f58457134475bb2025-08-20T02:35:47ZengNaučno društvo agrarnih ekonomista Balkana, Beograd; Institut za ekonomiku poljoprivrede, Beograd i Akademija ekonomskih nauka, BukureštEkonomika Poljoprivrede (1979)0352-34622334-84532025-06-0172210.59267/ekoPolj2502455STHE FUTURE OF SERBIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO EGYPT: OPPORTUNITIES UNDER THE NEW FREE TRADE AGREEMENTNataša Stanojevic0Institute of International Politics and Economics, 25 Makedonska St., 11103 Belgrade, Serbia This study examines the potential impact of the Free Trade Agreement (FTA) between Serbia and Egypt on Serbian fruit exports. It identifies fruit products with strong trade complementarity to Egypt’s import needs and projects export growth from tariff reductions. Using Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) and the Michaely Trade Complementarity Index (TCI), the analysis highlights Serbia’s globally competitive fruit products and their alignment with Egypt’s demand. A simulation model, incorporating Egypt’s demand elasticity and anticipated price reductions, predicts significant growth for products like fresh apples, plums, and dried apricots, while frozen fruits, despite high RCA, show limited prospects. The findings offer actionable recommendations for expanding production in high-demand sectors, leveraging Serbia’s comparative advantages, and diversifying exports to maximize FTA benefits. This study provides a strategic framework for enhancing Serbia’s fruit trade with Egypt, supporting informed policymaking and stakeholder decisions in an evolving global trade environment. https://www.ea.bg.ac.rs/index.php/EA/article/view/2409SerbiaEgyptFree trade agrrementAgri-export simulation
spellingShingle Nataša Stanojevic
THE FUTURE OF SERBIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO EGYPT: OPPORTUNITIES UNDER THE NEW FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
Ekonomika Poljoprivrede (1979)
Serbia
Egypt
Free trade agrrement
Agri-export simulation
title THE FUTURE OF SERBIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO EGYPT: OPPORTUNITIES UNDER THE NEW FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
title_full THE FUTURE OF SERBIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO EGYPT: OPPORTUNITIES UNDER THE NEW FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
title_fullStr THE FUTURE OF SERBIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO EGYPT: OPPORTUNITIES UNDER THE NEW FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
title_full_unstemmed THE FUTURE OF SERBIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO EGYPT: OPPORTUNITIES UNDER THE NEW FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
title_short THE FUTURE OF SERBIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO EGYPT: OPPORTUNITIES UNDER THE NEW FREE TRADE AGREEMENT
title_sort future of serbian fruit exports to egypt opportunities under the new free trade agreement
topic Serbia
Egypt
Free trade agrrement
Agri-export simulation
url https://www.ea.bg.ac.rs/index.php/EA/article/view/2409
work_keys_str_mv AT natasastanojevic thefutureofserbianfruitexportstoegyptopportunitiesunderthenewfreetradeagreement
AT natasastanojevic futureofserbianfruitexportstoegyptopportunitiesunderthenewfreetradeagreement