Analysis and Control of Rumor Propagation Model Considering Multiple Waiting Phases

Rumors pose serious harm to society and exhibit a certain degree of repetitiveness. Existing rumor propagation models often have simple rules and neglect the repetitiveness of rumors. Therefore, we propose a new SCWIR rumor propagation model (susceptible, commented, waited, infected, recovered) by i...

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Main Authors: Hai Wu, Xin Yan, Shengxiang Gao, Zhongying Deng, Haiyang Chi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Mathematics
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/2/312
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author Hai Wu
Xin Yan
Shengxiang Gao
Zhongying Deng
Haiyang Chi
author_facet Hai Wu
Xin Yan
Shengxiang Gao
Zhongying Deng
Haiyang Chi
author_sort Hai Wu
collection DOAJ
description Rumors pose serious harm to society and exhibit a certain degree of repetitiveness. Existing rumor propagation models often have simple rules and neglect the repetitiveness of rumors. Therefore, we propose a new SCWIR rumor propagation model (susceptible, commented, waited, infected, recovered) by introducing the user’s repeated waiting behavior to simulate the potential for rumors to lie dormant and spread opportunistically. First, we present the dynamic equations of the model, then introduce three influencing factors to improve the model. Next, by solving for the equilibrium points and the basic reproduction number, we discuss the local and global stability of the rumor-free/rumor equilibrium points. Finally, we perform numerical simulations to analyze the effects of different factors on rumor propagation. The results show that the introduction of the multiple waiting mechanism helps simulate the repetitiveness of rumor propagation. Among the rumor suppression strategies, the effectiveness, from highest to lowest, is as follows: government intervention, information dissemination and popularization, and accelerated rumor value decay, with government intervention playing a decisive role. Information dissemination can reduce the intensity of rumors at the source.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2227-7390
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publishDate 2025-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-4a703cc9dbad450b96b7c56900f16fdd2025-01-24T13:40:08ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902025-01-0113231210.3390/math13020312Analysis and Control of Rumor Propagation Model Considering Multiple Waiting PhasesHai Wu0Xin Yan1Shengxiang Gao2Zhongying Deng3Haiyang Chi4Faculty of Information Engineering and Automation, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, ChinaFaculty of Information Engineering and Automation, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, ChinaFaculty of Information Engineering and Automation, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, ChinaFaculty of Information Engineering and Automation, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, ChinaInformation Center, Kunming University, Kunming 650214, ChinaRumors pose serious harm to society and exhibit a certain degree of repetitiveness. Existing rumor propagation models often have simple rules and neglect the repetitiveness of rumors. Therefore, we propose a new SCWIR rumor propagation model (susceptible, commented, waited, infected, recovered) by introducing the user’s repeated waiting behavior to simulate the potential for rumors to lie dormant and spread opportunistically. First, we present the dynamic equations of the model, then introduce three influencing factors to improve the model. Next, by solving for the equilibrium points and the basic reproduction number, we discuss the local and global stability of the rumor-free/rumor equilibrium points. Finally, we perform numerical simulations to analyze the effects of different factors on rumor propagation. The results show that the introduction of the multiple waiting mechanism helps simulate the repetitiveness of rumor propagation. Among the rumor suppression strategies, the effectiveness, from highest to lowest, is as follows: government intervention, information dissemination and popularization, and accelerated rumor value decay, with government intervention playing a decisive role. Information dissemination can reduce the intensity of rumors at the source.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/2/312rumor propagationmultiple waiting phasesbasic regeneration numberrumor suppressioncomplex network
spellingShingle Hai Wu
Xin Yan
Shengxiang Gao
Zhongying Deng
Haiyang Chi
Analysis and Control of Rumor Propagation Model Considering Multiple Waiting Phases
Mathematics
rumor propagation
multiple waiting phases
basic regeneration number
rumor suppression
complex network
title Analysis and Control of Rumor Propagation Model Considering Multiple Waiting Phases
title_full Analysis and Control of Rumor Propagation Model Considering Multiple Waiting Phases
title_fullStr Analysis and Control of Rumor Propagation Model Considering Multiple Waiting Phases
title_full_unstemmed Analysis and Control of Rumor Propagation Model Considering Multiple Waiting Phases
title_short Analysis and Control of Rumor Propagation Model Considering Multiple Waiting Phases
title_sort analysis and control of rumor propagation model considering multiple waiting phases
topic rumor propagation
multiple waiting phases
basic regeneration number
rumor suppression
complex network
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/2/312
work_keys_str_mv AT haiwu analysisandcontrolofrumorpropagationmodelconsideringmultiplewaitingphases
AT xinyan analysisandcontrolofrumorpropagationmodelconsideringmultiplewaitingphases
AT shengxianggao analysisandcontrolofrumorpropagationmodelconsideringmultiplewaitingphases
AT zhongyingdeng analysisandcontrolofrumorpropagationmodelconsideringmultiplewaitingphases
AT haiyangchi analysisandcontrolofrumorpropagationmodelconsideringmultiplewaitingphases