Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting for the Korean Peninsula: A Case Study on the Applicability of the Typhoon-Ready System
Climate change has significantly increased multi-hazard disasters caused by typhoons, exposing the limitations of conventional forecasting systems that often neglect regional socio-economic vulnerabilities. This study develops and validates the Typhoon-Ready System (TRS) as an effective disaster-man...
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MDPI AG
2025-01-01
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| author | Hana Na Woo-Sik Jung |
| author_facet | Hana Na Woo-Sik Jung |
| author_sort | Hana Na |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Climate change has significantly increased multi-hazard disasters caused by typhoons, exposing the limitations of conventional forecasting systems that often neglect regional socio-economic vulnerabilities. This study develops and validates the Typhoon-Ready System (TRS) as an effective disaster-management framework for the Korean Peninsula. The TRS integrates hazard data with socio-economic and environmental vulnerability factors to produce region-specific risk indices. The analysis of four representative typhoons—Lingling (2019), Rusa (2002), Maemi (2003), and Mitak (2019)—demonstrates TRS’s applicability in identifying high-risk zones and supporting disaster preparedness strategies. The TRS framework incorporates indices, such as the Strong Wind Index (SWI), Heavy Rainfall Index (HRI), Storm Surge Index (SSI), and Air Quality Index (AQI), effectively combining meteorological modeling with vulnerability analysis. Results demonstrate that the TRS outperforms traditional systems by accurately identifying high-risk zones and correlating them with observed damage patterns. For example, the TRS successfully pinpointed high wind risks in Seoul and Incheon during Typhoon Lingling and forecasted severe flooding in Gangneung and Samcheok during Typhoon Rusa. By integrating vulnerability factors, including population density, infrastructure aging, and urbanization levels, the TRS provides a more holistic and accurate risk assessment. This research highlights the necessity of a multi-dimensional forecasting approach for enhancing disaster preparedness and resilience against climate change-induced typhoon impacts. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-4a1b3144405c4ee2b388e94c99f76b3a |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2073-4433 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Atmosphere |
| spelling | doaj-art-4a1b3144405c4ee2b388e94c99f76b3a2025-01-24T13:21:56ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332025-01-011617710.3390/atmos16010077Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting for the Korean Peninsula: A Case Study on the Applicability of the Typhoon-Ready SystemHana Na0Woo-Sik Jung1Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, ChinaDepartment of Atmospheric Environment Information Engineering, Inje University, Gimhae 50834, Republic of KoreaClimate change has significantly increased multi-hazard disasters caused by typhoons, exposing the limitations of conventional forecasting systems that often neglect regional socio-economic vulnerabilities. This study develops and validates the Typhoon-Ready System (TRS) as an effective disaster-management framework for the Korean Peninsula. The TRS integrates hazard data with socio-economic and environmental vulnerability factors to produce region-specific risk indices. The analysis of four representative typhoons—Lingling (2019), Rusa (2002), Maemi (2003), and Mitak (2019)—demonstrates TRS’s applicability in identifying high-risk zones and supporting disaster preparedness strategies. The TRS framework incorporates indices, such as the Strong Wind Index (SWI), Heavy Rainfall Index (HRI), Storm Surge Index (SSI), and Air Quality Index (AQI), effectively combining meteorological modeling with vulnerability analysis. Results demonstrate that the TRS outperforms traditional systems by accurately identifying high-risk zones and correlating them with observed damage patterns. For example, the TRS successfully pinpointed high wind risks in Seoul and Incheon during Typhoon Lingling and forecasted severe flooding in Gangneung and Samcheok during Typhoon Rusa. By integrating vulnerability factors, including population density, infrastructure aging, and urbanization levels, the TRS provides a more holistic and accurate risk assessment. This research highlights the necessity of a multi-dimensional forecasting approach for enhancing disaster preparedness and resilience against climate change-induced typhoon impacts.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/1/77climate changetyphoon forecastTyphoon-Ready Systemmulti-hazardimpact-based forecasting |
| spellingShingle | Hana Na Woo-Sik Jung Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting for the Korean Peninsula: A Case Study on the Applicability of the Typhoon-Ready System Atmosphere climate change typhoon forecast Typhoon-Ready System multi-hazard impact-based forecasting |
| title | Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting for the Korean Peninsula: A Case Study on the Applicability of the Typhoon-Ready System |
| title_full | Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting for the Korean Peninsula: A Case Study on the Applicability of the Typhoon-Ready System |
| title_fullStr | Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting for the Korean Peninsula: A Case Study on the Applicability of the Typhoon-Ready System |
| title_full_unstemmed | Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting for the Korean Peninsula: A Case Study on the Applicability of the Typhoon-Ready System |
| title_short | Paradigm Shift in Typhoon Forecasting for the Korean Peninsula: A Case Study on the Applicability of the Typhoon-Ready System |
| title_sort | paradigm shift in typhoon forecasting for the korean peninsula a case study on the applicability of the typhoon ready system |
| topic | climate change typhoon forecast Typhoon-Ready System multi-hazard impact-based forecasting |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/1/77 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT hanana paradigmshiftintyphoonforecastingforthekoreanpeninsulaacasestudyontheapplicabilityofthetyphoonreadysystem AT woosikjung paradigmshiftintyphoonforecastingforthekoreanpeninsulaacasestudyontheapplicabilityofthetyphoonreadysystem |