Research on Risk Identification System Based on Random Forest Algorithm-High-Order Moment Model

With the continuous development of the stock market, designing a reasonable risk identification tool will help to solve the irrational problem of investors. This paper first selects the stocks with the most valuable investment value in the future through the random forest algorithm in the nine-facto...

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Main Authors: Li-Jun Liu, Wei-Kang Shen, Jia-Ming Zhu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5588018
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author Li-Jun Liu
Wei-Kang Shen
Jia-Ming Zhu
author_facet Li-Jun Liu
Wei-Kang Shen
Jia-Ming Zhu
author_sort Li-Jun Liu
collection DOAJ
description With the continuous development of the stock market, designing a reasonable risk identification tool will help to solve the irrational problem of investors. This paper first selects the stocks with the most valuable investment value in the future through the random forest algorithm in the nine-factor model and then analyzes them by using the higher-order moment model to find that different investors’ preferences will make the weight of the portfolio change accordingly, which will eventually make the optimal return and risk set of the composition of the portfolio change. The risk identification system designed in this paper can provide an effective risk identification tool for investors and help them make rational judgments.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-4907dc381ff1479488bdcb752310dd952025-08-20T03:36:47ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/55880185588018Research on Risk Identification System Based on Random Forest Algorithm-High-Order Moment ModelLi-Jun Liu0Wei-Kang Shen1Jia-Ming Zhu2School of Economics, Hebei GEO University, Shijiazhuang 050031, ChinaSchool of Economics, Hebei GEO University, Shijiazhuang 050031, ChinaInstitute of Quantitative Economics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233030, ChinaWith the continuous development of the stock market, designing a reasonable risk identification tool will help to solve the irrational problem of investors. This paper first selects the stocks with the most valuable investment value in the future through the random forest algorithm in the nine-factor model and then analyzes them by using the higher-order moment model to find that different investors’ preferences will make the weight of the portfolio change accordingly, which will eventually make the optimal return and risk set of the composition of the portfolio change. The risk identification system designed in this paper can provide an effective risk identification tool for investors and help them make rational judgments.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5588018
spellingShingle Li-Jun Liu
Wei-Kang Shen
Jia-Ming Zhu
Research on Risk Identification System Based on Random Forest Algorithm-High-Order Moment Model
Complexity
title Research on Risk Identification System Based on Random Forest Algorithm-High-Order Moment Model
title_full Research on Risk Identification System Based on Random Forest Algorithm-High-Order Moment Model
title_fullStr Research on Risk Identification System Based on Random Forest Algorithm-High-Order Moment Model
title_full_unstemmed Research on Risk Identification System Based on Random Forest Algorithm-High-Order Moment Model
title_short Research on Risk Identification System Based on Random Forest Algorithm-High-Order Moment Model
title_sort research on risk identification system based on random forest algorithm high order moment model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5588018
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AT weikangshen researchonriskidentificationsystembasedonrandomforestalgorithmhighordermomentmodel
AT jiamingzhu researchonriskidentificationsystembasedonrandomforestalgorithmhighordermomentmodel