High resolution GDP modelling for climate risk assessments with an application to coastal flooding in Norway

An important prerequisite for accurately characterizing economic exposure from climate change at the national scale is a spatial inventory of economic activity and value creation. Current options for such inventories are limited, being either spatially precise but economically bounded sector-specifi...

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Main Authors: Francis I Barre, Evert A Bouman, Matthew James Ross Simpson, Hilde Sande Borck, Edgar G Hertwich, Daniel D Moran
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adf867
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author Francis I Barre
Evert A Bouman
Matthew James Ross Simpson
Hilde Sande Borck
Edgar G Hertwich
Daniel D Moran
author_facet Francis I Barre
Evert A Bouman
Matthew James Ross Simpson
Hilde Sande Borck
Edgar G Hertwich
Daniel D Moran
author_sort Francis I Barre
collection DOAJ
description An important prerequisite for accurately characterizing economic exposure from climate change at the national scale is a spatial inventory of economic activity and value creation. Current options for such inventories are limited, being either spatially precise but economically bounded sector-specific or owner-specific datasets, or gridded gross domestic product (GDP) products with coarse spatial resolution and inadequate sectoral resolution. To address these limitations, we develop a map of national GDP with high spatial and sectoral resolution. We stress this with meter-scale flood hazard maps to characterize GDP at risk from flooding. We further couple this to a macroeconomic input–output analysis to use the new sectoral resolution to estimate the scope of indirect economic exposure to flood at a national scale.
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institution Kabale University
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series Environmental Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-48ea98f682434a55a5c1a4ffeed7c3562025-08-20T03:44:18ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262025-01-0120909404510.1088/1748-9326/adf867High resolution GDP modelling for climate risk assessments with an application to coastal flooding in NorwayFrancis I Barre0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9845-1648Evert A Bouman1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0882-9580Matthew James Ross Simpson2https://orcid.org/0009-0000-3408-1492Hilde Sande Borck3https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3983-9070Edgar G Hertwich4https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4934-3421Daniel D Moran5https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2310-2275NILU, Environmental Impacts and Sustainability , Kjøpmannsgata 8, 7013 Trondheim, Norway; Department of Energy and Process Technology, Industrial Ecology Programme, Norwegian University of Science and Technology , Kolbjørn Hejes vei 1B, 7034 Trondheim, NorwayNILU, Environmental Impacts and Sustainability , Kjøpmannsgata 8, 7013 Trondheim, Norway; Circularity and Sustainability Impacts, TNO , Utrecht, The NetherlandsGeodetic Institute, Norwegian Mapping Authority , 3507 Hønefoss, NorwayGeodetic Institute, Norwegian Mapping Authority , 3507 Hønefoss, NorwayDepartment of Energy and Process Technology, Industrial Ecology Programme, Norwegian University of Science and Technology , Kolbjørn Hejes vei 1B, 7034 Trondheim, NorwayNILU, Environmental Impacts and Sustainability , Kjøpmannsgata 8, 7013 Trondheim, NorwayAn important prerequisite for accurately characterizing economic exposure from climate change at the national scale is a spatial inventory of economic activity and value creation. Current options for such inventories are limited, being either spatially precise but economically bounded sector-specific or owner-specific datasets, or gridded gross domestic product (GDP) products with coarse spatial resolution and inadequate sectoral resolution. To address these limitations, we develop a map of national GDP with high spatial and sectoral resolution. We stress this with meter-scale flood hazard maps to characterize GDP at risk from flooding. We further couple this to a macroeconomic input–output analysis to use the new sectoral resolution to estimate the scope of indirect economic exposure to flood at a national scale.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adf867climate adaptationnatural hazardsvalue addedinput output analysiscoastal floodinghypothetical extraction method
spellingShingle Francis I Barre
Evert A Bouman
Matthew James Ross Simpson
Hilde Sande Borck
Edgar G Hertwich
Daniel D Moran
High resolution GDP modelling for climate risk assessments with an application to coastal flooding in Norway
Environmental Research Letters
climate adaptation
natural hazards
value added
input output analysis
coastal flooding
hypothetical extraction method
title High resolution GDP modelling for climate risk assessments with an application to coastal flooding in Norway
title_full High resolution GDP modelling for climate risk assessments with an application to coastal flooding in Norway
title_fullStr High resolution GDP modelling for climate risk assessments with an application to coastal flooding in Norway
title_full_unstemmed High resolution GDP modelling for climate risk assessments with an application to coastal flooding in Norway
title_short High resolution GDP modelling for climate risk assessments with an application to coastal flooding in Norway
title_sort high resolution gdp modelling for climate risk assessments with an application to coastal flooding in norway
topic climate adaptation
natural hazards
value added
input output analysis
coastal flooding
hypothetical extraction method
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/adf867
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