Trends in women’s education and fertility in Japan and China: a comparative analysis

Abstract East Asian countries have undergone significant demographic shifts characterized by declining fertility rates and the expansion of higher education opportunities for women. Adopting a comparative perspective, this study examines cohort-based changes in the relationship between women’s educa...

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Main Author: Jiajie Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2025-07-01
Series:The Journal of Chinese Sociology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40711-025-00236-0
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author Jiajie Zhang
author_facet Jiajie Zhang
author_sort Jiajie Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract East Asian countries have undergone significant demographic shifts characterized by declining fertility rates and the expansion of higher education opportunities for women. Adopting a comparative perspective, this study examines cohort-based changes in the relationship between women’s educational attainment and fertility behaviors in China and Japan via discrete-time event history models and difference-in-differences analysis. The results reveal divergent trends: Japan shows a weakening negative association between higher education and fertility over time, whereas China demonstrates a persistent trend influenced by historical population control policies. These findings underscore the crucial roles played by sociocultural contexts and policy environments in shaping women’s fertility behaviors. Although China can draw lessons from Japan, the unique features of the Chinese socioeconomic landscape call for more targeted policies to address low fertility. This study further illustrates that ultralow fertility can emerge even in societies where traditional family values remain strong, contributing to broader discussions on the second demographic transition in East Asia.
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publishDate 2025-07-01
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series The Journal of Chinese Sociology
spelling doaj-art-47c84a29b95f4b2b9a124eb47222b8082025-08-20T04:01:34ZengSpringerOpenThe Journal of Chinese Sociology2198-26352025-07-0112112710.1186/s40711-025-00236-0Trends in women’s education and fertility in Japan and China: a comparative analysisJiajie Zhang0Graduate School of Interdisciplinary Information Studies, The University of TokyoAbstract East Asian countries have undergone significant demographic shifts characterized by declining fertility rates and the expansion of higher education opportunities for women. Adopting a comparative perspective, this study examines cohort-based changes in the relationship between women’s educational attainment and fertility behaviors in China and Japan via discrete-time event history models and difference-in-differences analysis. The results reveal divergent trends: Japan shows a weakening negative association between higher education and fertility over time, whereas China demonstrates a persistent trend influenced by historical population control policies. These findings underscore the crucial roles played by sociocultural contexts and policy environments in shaping women’s fertility behaviors. Although China can draw lessons from Japan, the unique features of the Chinese socioeconomic landscape call for more targeted policies to address low fertility. This study further illustrates that ultralow fertility can emerge even in societies where traditional family values remain strong, contributing to broader discussions on the second demographic transition in East Asia.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40711-025-00236-0Fertility behaviorEducational attainmentCohort changesJapan and China
spellingShingle Jiajie Zhang
Trends in women’s education and fertility in Japan and China: a comparative analysis
The Journal of Chinese Sociology
Fertility behavior
Educational attainment
Cohort changes
Japan and China
title Trends in women’s education and fertility in Japan and China: a comparative analysis
title_full Trends in women’s education and fertility in Japan and China: a comparative analysis
title_fullStr Trends in women’s education and fertility in Japan and China: a comparative analysis
title_full_unstemmed Trends in women’s education and fertility in Japan and China: a comparative analysis
title_short Trends in women’s education and fertility in Japan and China: a comparative analysis
title_sort trends in women s education and fertility in japan and china a comparative analysis
topic Fertility behavior
Educational attainment
Cohort changes
Japan and China
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40711-025-00236-0
work_keys_str_mv AT jiajiezhang trendsinwomenseducationandfertilityinjapanandchinaacomparativeanalysis