The Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series Using Regression, Correlation and Cointegration

There are simple well-known conditions for the validity of regression and correlation as statistical tools. We analyse by examples the effect of nonstationarity on inference using these methods and compare them to model based inference using the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Finally we a...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Søren Johansen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: VIZJA University 2012-06-01
Series:Contemporary Economics
Online Access:http://ce.vizja.pl/en/download-pdf/id/239
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
Description
Summary:There are simple well-known conditions for the validity of regression and correlation as statistical tools. We analyse by examples the effect of nonstationarity on inference using these methods and compare them to model based inference using the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Finally we analyse some monthly data from US on interest rates as an illustration of the methods.
ISSN:2084-0845