Meteorological factors association with under-five children diarrhea incidence in central Gondar zone, Northwest Ethiopia. A time series study
Abstract Background Under 5 children diarrhea has been one of the major public health concerns in countries with limited resources such as Ethiopia. Understanding the association between under-5 diarrhea and meteorological factors will contribute to safeguarding children from adverse health effects...
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BMC
2025-05-01
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| Series: | BMC Research Notes |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-025-07270-8 |
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| author | Gelila Yitageasu Hailemariam Feleke Zewudu Andualem Lidetu Demoze Kidist Asrat Zemichael Gizaw |
| author_facet | Gelila Yitageasu Hailemariam Feleke Zewudu Andualem Lidetu Demoze Kidist Asrat Zemichael Gizaw |
| author_sort | Gelila Yitageasu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Background Under 5 children diarrhea has been one of the major public health concerns in countries with limited resources such as Ethiopia. Understanding the association between under-5 diarrhea and meteorological factors will contribute to safeguarding children from adverse health effects through early warning mechanisms. Thus, this study aimed to explore the association between under-5 diarrhea and meteorological factors to reduce health risks. Methods A time-series ecological study was used to explore the association between meteorological factors and under-5 diarrhea incidence. Spearman’s correlation was computed to test the correlation and a negative binomial regression model was fitted to determine the associations of meteorological factors with under-5 diarrhea incidence. The multicollinearity was checked using the variance inflation factor (VIF) before the multivariable regression analysis and the value was 5. aIRRs with 95% CIs and a significance level of 0.05 were used for all the statistical tests. Statistical analyses were conducted using STATA 14.2 software. Results The highest under-5 diarrhea incidence morbidities was 180.9 per 1000 per year for under-five children. This study revealed a positive and negative correlation between the count of under-5 diarrhea and average monthly temperature and rainfall at 0 and 2 lag months with RRs of 1.0209 (95% CI: 1.0034–1.0387), RR 1.0202(95% CI:1.0022–1.0385), RR 0.999(95% CI:0.9985–0.9996), and RR 0.9992(95% CI:0.9987–0.9997) respectively. Conclusion There was an association between under 5 diarrhea incidence and meteorological factors in the Central Gondar Zone. The mean monthly temperature and rainfall were positively and negatively related to the incidence of diarrhea in children under 5 years old. The results showed that the observed association between meteorological factors and under-5 diarrhea incidence could be used as evidence for the use of early warning systems for the prevention of childhood diarrhea. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-46bb306db91e4c418276ced4efffa861 |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1756-0500 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-05-01 |
| publisher | BMC |
| record_format | Article |
| series | BMC Research Notes |
| spelling | doaj-art-46bb306db91e4c418276ced4efffa8612025-08-20T02:15:16ZengBMCBMC Research Notes1756-05002025-05-0118111210.1186/s13104-025-07270-8Meteorological factors association with under-five children diarrhea incidence in central Gondar zone, Northwest Ethiopia. A time series studyGelila Yitageasu0Hailemariam Feleke1Zewudu Andualem2Lidetu Demoze3Kidist Asrat4Zemichael Gizaw5Department of Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of GondarDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of GondarDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of GondarDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of GondarDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of GondarDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health and Safety, Institute of Public Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of GondarAbstract Background Under 5 children diarrhea has been one of the major public health concerns in countries with limited resources such as Ethiopia. Understanding the association between under-5 diarrhea and meteorological factors will contribute to safeguarding children from adverse health effects through early warning mechanisms. Thus, this study aimed to explore the association between under-5 diarrhea and meteorological factors to reduce health risks. Methods A time-series ecological study was used to explore the association between meteorological factors and under-5 diarrhea incidence. Spearman’s correlation was computed to test the correlation and a negative binomial regression model was fitted to determine the associations of meteorological factors with under-5 diarrhea incidence. The multicollinearity was checked using the variance inflation factor (VIF) before the multivariable regression analysis and the value was 5. aIRRs with 95% CIs and a significance level of 0.05 were used for all the statistical tests. Statistical analyses were conducted using STATA 14.2 software. Results The highest under-5 diarrhea incidence morbidities was 180.9 per 1000 per year for under-five children. This study revealed a positive and negative correlation between the count of under-5 diarrhea and average monthly temperature and rainfall at 0 and 2 lag months with RRs of 1.0209 (95% CI: 1.0034–1.0387), RR 1.0202(95% CI:1.0022–1.0385), RR 0.999(95% CI:0.9985–0.9996), and RR 0.9992(95% CI:0.9987–0.9997) respectively. Conclusion There was an association between under 5 diarrhea incidence and meteorological factors in the Central Gondar Zone. The mean monthly temperature and rainfall were positively and negatively related to the incidence of diarrhea in children under 5 years old. The results showed that the observed association between meteorological factors and under-5 diarrhea incidence could be used as evidence for the use of early warning systems for the prevention of childhood diarrhea.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-025-07270-8Diarrhea incidenceUnder-5 childrenMeteorological factorsCorrelationEthiopia |
| spellingShingle | Gelila Yitageasu Hailemariam Feleke Zewudu Andualem Lidetu Demoze Kidist Asrat Zemichael Gizaw Meteorological factors association with under-five children diarrhea incidence in central Gondar zone, Northwest Ethiopia. A time series study BMC Research Notes Diarrhea incidence Under-5 children Meteorological factors Correlation Ethiopia |
| title | Meteorological factors association with under-five children diarrhea incidence in central Gondar zone, Northwest Ethiopia. A time series study |
| title_full | Meteorological factors association with under-five children diarrhea incidence in central Gondar zone, Northwest Ethiopia. A time series study |
| title_fullStr | Meteorological factors association with under-five children diarrhea incidence in central Gondar zone, Northwest Ethiopia. A time series study |
| title_full_unstemmed | Meteorological factors association with under-five children diarrhea incidence in central Gondar zone, Northwest Ethiopia. A time series study |
| title_short | Meteorological factors association with under-five children diarrhea incidence in central Gondar zone, Northwest Ethiopia. A time series study |
| title_sort | meteorological factors association with under five children diarrhea incidence in central gondar zone northwest ethiopia a time series study |
| topic | Diarrhea incidence Under-5 children Meteorological factors Correlation Ethiopia |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-025-07270-8 |
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