How does the effect of urban growth management change over time and across urban land uses? Evidence from China’s construction land quotas

While urban growth management has shown varying degrees of success in curbing urban land expansion, their effects over time and across urban land uses remain largely unexplored. We used nationwide longitudinal data and difference-in-difference models to assess the effect of construction land quotas...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zhichao He, Chunhong Zhao, Christine Fürst, Anna M. Hersperger
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Journal of Land Use Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1747423X.2024.2389889
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850127195730608128
author Zhichao He
Chunhong Zhao
Christine Fürst
Anna M. Hersperger
author_facet Zhichao He
Chunhong Zhao
Christine Fürst
Anna M. Hersperger
author_sort Zhichao He
collection DOAJ
description While urban growth management has shown varying degrees of success in curbing urban land expansion, their effects over time and across urban land uses remain largely unexplored. We used nationwide longitudinal data and difference-in-difference models to assess the effect of construction land quotas on changes in residential, industrial, commercial, public service, and aggregate land uses in 274 Chinese cities between 2010 and 2019. Results show that more stringent quotas were initially effective in containing urban land expansion but lost their effectiveness later. Over the entire period, however, the quotas had no significant effect. Such ineffective quota led to a higher percentage of residential land at the expense of industrial land, but unaffected commercial and public service land. Our findings highlight that these effects were driven by strong revenue incentives favoring profitable residential construction. This underscores the crucial importance of considering the roles various urban land uses play in local revenue and economic development when enforcing urban growth management.
format Article
id doaj-art-4622a69afbd1480cbbe9e993adbe5aa0
institution OA Journals
issn 1747-423X
1747-4248
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
record_format Article
series Journal of Land Use Science
spelling doaj-art-4622a69afbd1480cbbe9e993adbe5aa02025-08-20T02:33:44ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal of Land Use Science1747-423X1747-42482024-12-0119123925710.1080/1747423X.2024.2389889How does the effect of urban growth management change over time and across urban land uses? Evidence from China’s construction land quotasZhichao He0Chunhong Zhao1Christine Fürst2Anna M. Hersperger3Department of Urban Planning, School of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Xiamen University, Xiamen, ChinaSchool of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Jilin, ChinaDepartment of Sustainable Landscape Development, Institute for Geosciences and Geography, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle, GermanyLand Change Science Research Unit, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL, Birmensdorf, SwitzerlandWhile urban growth management has shown varying degrees of success in curbing urban land expansion, their effects over time and across urban land uses remain largely unexplored. We used nationwide longitudinal data and difference-in-difference models to assess the effect of construction land quotas on changes in residential, industrial, commercial, public service, and aggregate land uses in 274 Chinese cities between 2010 and 2019. Results show that more stringent quotas were initially effective in containing urban land expansion but lost their effectiveness later. Over the entire period, however, the quotas had no significant effect. Such ineffective quota led to a higher percentage of residential land at the expense of industrial land, but unaffected commercial and public service land. Our findings highlight that these effects were driven by strong revenue incentives favoring profitable residential construction. This underscores the crucial importance of considering the roles various urban land uses play in local revenue and economic development when enforcing urban growth management.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1747423X.2024.2389889Chinaplan evaluationconstruction land quotasurban land usesurban growth managementdifference-in-difference
spellingShingle Zhichao He
Chunhong Zhao
Christine Fürst
Anna M. Hersperger
How does the effect of urban growth management change over time and across urban land uses? Evidence from China’s construction land quotas
Journal of Land Use Science
China
plan evaluation
construction land quotas
urban land uses
urban growth management
difference-in-difference
title How does the effect of urban growth management change over time and across urban land uses? Evidence from China’s construction land quotas
title_full How does the effect of urban growth management change over time and across urban land uses? Evidence from China’s construction land quotas
title_fullStr How does the effect of urban growth management change over time and across urban land uses? Evidence from China’s construction land quotas
title_full_unstemmed How does the effect of urban growth management change over time and across urban land uses? Evidence from China’s construction land quotas
title_short How does the effect of urban growth management change over time and across urban land uses? Evidence from China’s construction land quotas
title_sort how does the effect of urban growth management change over time and across urban land uses evidence from china s construction land quotas
topic China
plan evaluation
construction land quotas
urban land uses
urban growth management
difference-in-difference
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/1747423X.2024.2389889
work_keys_str_mv AT zhichaohe howdoestheeffectofurbangrowthmanagementchangeovertimeandacrossurbanlandusesevidencefromchinasconstructionlandquotas
AT chunhongzhao howdoestheeffectofurbangrowthmanagementchangeovertimeandacrossurbanlandusesevidencefromchinasconstructionlandquotas
AT christinefurst howdoestheeffectofurbangrowthmanagementchangeovertimeandacrossurbanlandusesevidencefromchinasconstructionlandquotas
AT annamhersperger howdoestheeffectofurbangrowthmanagementchangeovertimeandacrossurbanlandusesevidencefromchinasconstructionlandquotas