Why do thin people have elevated all-cause mortality? Evidence on confounding and reverse causality in the association of adiposity and COPD from the British Women's Heart and Health Study.

Low adiposity has been linked to elevated mortality from several causes including respiratory disease. However, this could arise from confounding or reverse causality. We explore the association between two measures of adiposity (BMI and WHR) with COPD in the British Women's Heart and Health St...

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Main Authors: Caroline Dale, Eveline Nüesch, David Prieto-Merino, Minkyoung Choi, Antoinette Amuzu, Shah Ebrahim, Juan P Casas, George Davey-Smith
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2015-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0115446
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author Caroline Dale
Eveline Nüesch
David Prieto-Merino
Minkyoung Choi
Antoinette Amuzu
Shah Ebrahim
Juan P Casas
George Davey-Smith
author_facet Caroline Dale
Eveline Nüesch
David Prieto-Merino
Minkyoung Choi
Antoinette Amuzu
Shah Ebrahim
Juan P Casas
George Davey-Smith
author_sort Caroline Dale
collection DOAJ
description Low adiposity has been linked to elevated mortality from several causes including respiratory disease. However, this could arise from confounding or reverse causality. We explore the association between two measures of adiposity (BMI and WHR) with COPD in the British Women's Heart and Health Study including a detailed assessment of the potential for confounding and reverse causality for each adiposity measure. Low BMI was found to be associated with increased COPD risk while low WHR was not (OR = 2.2; 95% CI 1.3-3.1 versus OR = 1.2; 95% CI 0.7-1.6). Potential confounding variables (e.g. smoking) and markers of ill-health (e.g. unintentional weight loss) were found to be higher in low BMI but not in low WHR. Women with low BMI have a detrimental profile across a broad range of health markers compared to women with low WHR, and women with low WHR do not appear to have an elevated COPD risk, lending support to the hypothesis that WHR is a less confounded measure of adiposity than BMI. Low adiposity does not in itself appear to increase the risk of respiratory disease, and the apparent adverse consequences of low BMI may be due to reverse causation and confounding.
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spelling doaj-art-46207e03ff8244fb8fc7ec30e0dd8f112025-08-20T02:34:07ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032015-01-01104e011544610.1371/journal.pone.0115446Why do thin people have elevated all-cause mortality? Evidence on confounding and reverse causality in the association of adiposity and COPD from the British Women's Heart and Health Study.Caroline DaleEveline NüeschDavid Prieto-MerinoMinkyoung ChoiAntoinette AmuzuShah EbrahimJuan P CasasGeorge Davey-SmithLow adiposity has been linked to elevated mortality from several causes including respiratory disease. However, this could arise from confounding or reverse causality. We explore the association between two measures of adiposity (BMI and WHR) with COPD in the British Women's Heart and Health Study including a detailed assessment of the potential for confounding and reverse causality for each adiposity measure. Low BMI was found to be associated with increased COPD risk while low WHR was not (OR = 2.2; 95% CI 1.3-3.1 versus OR = 1.2; 95% CI 0.7-1.6). Potential confounding variables (e.g. smoking) and markers of ill-health (e.g. unintentional weight loss) were found to be higher in low BMI but not in low WHR. Women with low BMI have a detrimental profile across a broad range of health markers compared to women with low WHR, and women with low WHR do not appear to have an elevated COPD risk, lending support to the hypothesis that WHR is a less confounded measure of adiposity than BMI. Low adiposity does not in itself appear to increase the risk of respiratory disease, and the apparent adverse consequences of low BMI may be due to reverse causation and confounding.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0115446
spellingShingle Caroline Dale
Eveline Nüesch
David Prieto-Merino
Minkyoung Choi
Antoinette Amuzu
Shah Ebrahim
Juan P Casas
George Davey-Smith
Why do thin people have elevated all-cause mortality? Evidence on confounding and reverse causality in the association of adiposity and COPD from the British Women's Heart and Health Study.
PLoS ONE
title Why do thin people have elevated all-cause mortality? Evidence on confounding and reverse causality in the association of adiposity and COPD from the British Women's Heart and Health Study.
title_full Why do thin people have elevated all-cause mortality? Evidence on confounding and reverse causality in the association of adiposity and COPD from the British Women's Heart and Health Study.
title_fullStr Why do thin people have elevated all-cause mortality? Evidence on confounding and reverse causality in the association of adiposity and COPD from the British Women's Heart and Health Study.
title_full_unstemmed Why do thin people have elevated all-cause mortality? Evidence on confounding and reverse causality in the association of adiposity and COPD from the British Women's Heart and Health Study.
title_short Why do thin people have elevated all-cause mortality? Evidence on confounding and reverse causality in the association of adiposity and COPD from the British Women's Heart and Health Study.
title_sort why do thin people have elevated all cause mortality evidence on confounding and reverse causality in the association of adiposity and copd from the british women s heart and health study
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0115446
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