Global mismatch between ecosystem service supply and demand driven by climate change and human activity
Assessing the balance between ecosystem service supply and demand (ESSD) relationship and identifying its driving factors is essential for addressing ecosystem degradation. While previous local-scale studies have highlighted climate change and human activities as critical influences, their roles at...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-07-01
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| Series: | Environmental Science and Ecotechnology |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666498425000511 |
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| author | Shiqi Tian Wei Wu Shaofeng Chen Zhe Li Kai Li |
| author_facet | Shiqi Tian Wei Wu Shaofeng Chen Zhe Li Kai Li |
| author_sort | Shiqi Tian |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Assessing the balance between ecosystem service supply and demand (ESSD) relationship and identifying its driving factors is essential for addressing ecosystem degradation. While previous local-scale studies have highlighted climate change and human activities as critical influences, their roles at a global scale remain poorly understood. Here, we analyze the global dynamics of supply–demand relationships for four key ecosystem services—food production, carbon sequestration, soil conservation, and water yield—over the period 2000–2020. We find that ESSD relationships generally exhibit spatially high supply-low demand and quantitatively surplus characteristics. Climate change and human activity influence ESSD relationships in dual-directional pathways. Specifically, they positively affect food production and soil conservation in 80.69 % and 72.50 % of global regions respectively; while negatively influencing carbon sequestration and water yield in 76.74 % and 62.44 % of global regions respectively. Human activity primarily shapes the ESSD relationships for food production and carbon sequestration, with mean contribution rates of 66.54 % and 60.80 % respectively; whereas climate change exerts greater control over soil conservation and water yield, with mean contribution rates of 54.62 % and 55.41 % respectively. Our findings clarify the direction (positive or negative), mode (individual or combined), contribution rates, and geographic distribution of these impacts. This research closes a critical gap in understanding global ESSD relationships and provides essential insights to inform sustainable ecosystem management from local to global scales. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-45c4d33932b849c2ba34c6984d4821ed |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2666-4984 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-07-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environmental Science and Ecotechnology |
| spelling | doaj-art-45c4d33932b849c2ba34c6984d4821ed2025-08-20T03:53:12ZengElsevierEnvironmental Science and Ecotechnology2666-49842025-07-012610057310.1016/j.ese.2025.100573Global mismatch between ecosystem service supply and demand driven by climate change and human activityShiqi Tian0Wei Wu1Shaofeng Chen2Zhe Li3Kai Li4College of Land Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, 210095, ChinaCollege of Land Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, 210095, China; National and Local Joint Engineering Research Center for Rural Land Resources Use and Consolidation, Nanjing, 210095, China; Corresponding author. College of Land Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, 210095, China.Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China; School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, ChinaCollege of Land Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, 210095, ChinaCollege of Land Management, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, 210095, ChinaAssessing the balance between ecosystem service supply and demand (ESSD) relationship and identifying its driving factors is essential for addressing ecosystem degradation. While previous local-scale studies have highlighted climate change and human activities as critical influences, their roles at a global scale remain poorly understood. Here, we analyze the global dynamics of supply–demand relationships for four key ecosystem services—food production, carbon sequestration, soil conservation, and water yield—over the period 2000–2020. We find that ESSD relationships generally exhibit spatially high supply-low demand and quantitatively surplus characteristics. Climate change and human activity influence ESSD relationships in dual-directional pathways. Specifically, they positively affect food production and soil conservation in 80.69 % and 72.50 % of global regions respectively; while negatively influencing carbon sequestration and water yield in 76.74 % and 62.44 % of global regions respectively. Human activity primarily shapes the ESSD relationships for food production and carbon sequestration, with mean contribution rates of 66.54 % and 60.80 % respectively; whereas climate change exerts greater control over soil conservation and water yield, with mean contribution rates of 54.62 % and 55.41 % respectively. Our findings clarify the direction (positive or negative), mode (individual or combined), contribution rates, and geographic distribution of these impacts. This research closes a critical gap in understanding global ESSD relationships and provides essential insights to inform sustainable ecosystem management from local to global scales.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666498425000511Climate changeEcosystem servicesHuman activitiesSupply-demand matchingSustainable development |
| spellingShingle | Shiqi Tian Wei Wu Shaofeng Chen Zhe Li Kai Li Global mismatch between ecosystem service supply and demand driven by climate change and human activity Environmental Science and Ecotechnology Climate change Ecosystem services Human activities Supply-demand matching Sustainable development |
| title | Global mismatch between ecosystem service supply and demand driven by climate change and human activity |
| title_full | Global mismatch between ecosystem service supply and demand driven by climate change and human activity |
| title_fullStr | Global mismatch between ecosystem service supply and demand driven by climate change and human activity |
| title_full_unstemmed | Global mismatch between ecosystem service supply and demand driven by climate change and human activity |
| title_short | Global mismatch between ecosystem service supply and demand driven by climate change and human activity |
| title_sort | global mismatch between ecosystem service supply and demand driven by climate change and human activity |
| topic | Climate change Ecosystem services Human activities Supply-demand matching Sustainable development |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666498425000511 |
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