Beyond power transition theory: explaining the absence of U.S.-China power shift in the Middle East

The paper examines the power dynamics between China and the United States in the Middle East, arguing that there is no power transition in the region. First, the balance of power between these two countries in the region remains unchanged despite the decreasing involvement of the United States and t...

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Main Author: Yueting Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-07-01
Series:Frontiers in Political Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpos.2025.1607870/full
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author Yueting Zhao
author_facet Yueting Zhao
author_sort Yueting Zhao
collection DOAJ
description The paper examines the power dynamics between China and the United States in the Middle East, arguing that there is no power transition in the region. First, the balance of power between these two countries in the region remains unchanged despite the decreasing involvement of the United States and the growing presence of China. Second, major regional leaders are steadily increasing their presence and trying to govern the region by themselves. Third, satisfied with the existing governing framework in the Middle East at the dyadic level, China has no desire to augment its engagement and replace the U.S. in the region. The incongruity between China’s ideological frameworks and its progressively assertive approach to foreign policy further hinders its potential to emerge as a regional leader.
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spelling doaj-art-44c55336d32644fbbb8a43bf3315a17b2025-08-20T03:15:18ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Political Science2673-31452025-07-01710.3389/fpos.2025.16078701607870Beyond power transition theory: explaining the absence of U.S.-China power shift in the Middle EastYueting ZhaoThe paper examines the power dynamics between China and the United States in the Middle East, arguing that there is no power transition in the region. First, the balance of power between these two countries in the region remains unchanged despite the decreasing involvement of the United States and the growing presence of China. Second, major regional leaders are steadily increasing their presence and trying to govern the region by themselves. Third, satisfied with the existing governing framework in the Middle East at the dyadic level, China has no desire to augment its engagement and replace the U.S. in the region. The incongruity between China’s ideological frameworks and its progressively assertive approach to foreign policy further hinders its potential to emerge as a regional leader.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpos.2025.1607870/fullpower transitionMiddle EastSino-U.S. relationsregional leadershipstrategic satisfaction
spellingShingle Yueting Zhao
Beyond power transition theory: explaining the absence of U.S.-China power shift in the Middle East
Frontiers in Political Science
power transition
Middle East
Sino-U.S. relations
regional leadership
strategic satisfaction
title Beyond power transition theory: explaining the absence of U.S.-China power shift in the Middle East
title_full Beyond power transition theory: explaining the absence of U.S.-China power shift in the Middle East
title_fullStr Beyond power transition theory: explaining the absence of U.S.-China power shift in the Middle East
title_full_unstemmed Beyond power transition theory: explaining the absence of U.S.-China power shift in the Middle East
title_short Beyond power transition theory: explaining the absence of U.S.-China power shift in the Middle East
title_sort beyond power transition theory explaining the absence of u s china power shift in the middle east
topic power transition
Middle East
Sino-U.S. relations
regional leadership
strategic satisfaction
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpos.2025.1607870/full
work_keys_str_mv AT yuetingzhao beyondpowertransitiontheoryexplainingtheabsenceofuschinapowershiftinthemiddleeast