Risk factors of 180-day rebleeding after management of blunt splenic injury without surgery and embolization: a national database study

Abstract Purpose This study aimed to identify risk factors for rebleeding within 180 days post-discharge in blunt splenic injury patients managed without splenectomy or embolization. Materials and methods A retrospective analysis was conducted using Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Databa...

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Main Authors: Chung-Yen Chen, Hung-Yu Lin, Pie-Wen Hsieh, Yi-Kai Huang, Po-Chin Yu, Jian-Han Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-02-01
Series:World Journal of Emergency Surgery
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13017-025-00586-7
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author Chung-Yen Chen
Hung-Yu Lin
Pie-Wen Hsieh
Yi-Kai Huang
Po-Chin Yu
Jian-Han Chen
author_facet Chung-Yen Chen
Hung-Yu Lin
Pie-Wen Hsieh
Yi-Kai Huang
Po-Chin Yu
Jian-Han Chen
author_sort Chung-Yen Chen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Purpose This study aimed to identify risk factors for rebleeding within 180 days post-discharge in blunt splenic injury patients managed without splenectomy or embolization. Materials and methods A retrospective analysis was conducted using Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database. Adult patients aged ≥ 18 years with blunt splenic injury (ICD-9-CM codes 865.01–865.09) from 2000 to 2012 were included. Patients who died, underwent splenectomy (ICD-9-OP codes 41.5, 41.42,41.43, and 41.95) or transcatheter arterial embolization (TAE) (ICD-9-OP codes 39.79 and 99.29) on the first admission were excluded. The primary endpoint was rebleeding, which was identified if patients underwent splenectomy or TAE at 180 days after discharge. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify risk factors, which were validated in a separate cohort. Results Of 6,140 patients, 80 (1.302%) experienced rebleeding within 180 days. Five significant risk factors were identified: age < 54 years (aOR 3.129, p = 0.014), male sex (aOR 2.691, p = 0.010), non-traffic accident-induced injury (aOR 2.459, p = 0.006), ISS ≥ 16 (aOR 2.130, p = 0.021), and congestive heart failure (aOR 6.014, p = 0.006). We generate Delayed Splenic Bleeding System (DSBS). Patients with > 2 points had significantly higher rebleeding rates (risk-identifying cohort: 2.2% vs. 0.6%, OR 3.790, p < 0.001; validation cohort: 2.6% vs. 0.8%, OR 3.129, p = 0.022). Conclusions Age < 54 years, male, non-traffic accident-induced injury, ISS ≥ 16, and congestive heart failure are risk factors of rebleeding within 180 days after discharge from treating blunt splenic injury without splenectomy or embolization. Despite limitations, this study underscores large-scale data’s role in identifying risks which can aid clinicians in prioritizing additional interventions during NOM.
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spelling doaj-art-439ee0ffcb9b4eac955d0740b2cac4762025-02-09T12:26:26ZengBMCWorld Journal of Emergency Surgery1749-79222025-02-0120111110.1186/s13017-025-00586-7Risk factors of 180-day rebleeding after management of blunt splenic injury without surgery and embolization: a national database studyChung-Yen Chen0Hung-Yu Lin1Pie-Wen Hsieh2Yi-Kai Huang3Po-Chin Yu4Jian-Han Chen5Division of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, E-Da HospitalSchool of Medicine, College of Medicine, I-Shou UniversityDivision of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, E-Da HospitalDivision of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, E-Da HospitalDivision of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, E-Da HospitalDivision of General Surgery, Department of Surgery, E-Da HospitalAbstract Purpose This study aimed to identify risk factors for rebleeding within 180 days post-discharge in blunt splenic injury patients managed without splenectomy or embolization. Materials and methods A retrospective analysis was conducted using Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database. Adult patients aged ≥ 18 years with blunt splenic injury (ICD-9-CM codes 865.01–865.09) from 2000 to 2012 were included. Patients who died, underwent splenectomy (ICD-9-OP codes 41.5, 41.42,41.43, and 41.95) or transcatheter arterial embolization (TAE) (ICD-9-OP codes 39.79 and 99.29) on the first admission were excluded. The primary endpoint was rebleeding, which was identified if patients underwent splenectomy or TAE at 180 days after discharge. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify risk factors, which were validated in a separate cohort. Results Of 6,140 patients, 80 (1.302%) experienced rebleeding within 180 days. Five significant risk factors were identified: age < 54 years (aOR 3.129, p = 0.014), male sex (aOR 2.691, p = 0.010), non-traffic accident-induced injury (aOR 2.459, p = 0.006), ISS ≥ 16 (aOR 2.130, p = 0.021), and congestive heart failure (aOR 6.014, p = 0.006). We generate Delayed Splenic Bleeding System (DSBS). Patients with > 2 points had significantly higher rebleeding rates (risk-identifying cohort: 2.2% vs. 0.6%, OR 3.790, p < 0.001; validation cohort: 2.6% vs. 0.8%, OR 3.129, p = 0.022). Conclusions Age < 54 years, male, non-traffic accident-induced injury, ISS ≥ 16, and congestive heart failure are risk factors of rebleeding within 180 days after discharge from treating blunt splenic injury without splenectomy or embolization. Despite limitations, this study underscores large-scale data’s role in identifying risks which can aid clinicians in prioritizing additional interventions during NOM.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13017-025-00586-7Blunt splenic injuryRebleeding risk predictionNon-operative managementTranscatheter arterial embolizationSplenectomy
spellingShingle Chung-Yen Chen
Hung-Yu Lin
Pie-Wen Hsieh
Yi-Kai Huang
Po-Chin Yu
Jian-Han Chen
Risk factors of 180-day rebleeding after management of blunt splenic injury without surgery and embolization: a national database study
World Journal of Emergency Surgery
Blunt splenic injury
Rebleeding risk prediction
Non-operative management
Transcatheter arterial embolization
Splenectomy
title Risk factors of 180-day rebleeding after management of blunt splenic injury without surgery and embolization: a national database study
title_full Risk factors of 180-day rebleeding after management of blunt splenic injury without surgery and embolization: a national database study
title_fullStr Risk factors of 180-day rebleeding after management of blunt splenic injury without surgery and embolization: a national database study
title_full_unstemmed Risk factors of 180-day rebleeding after management of blunt splenic injury without surgery and embolization: a national database study
title_short Risk factors of 180-day rebleeding after management of blunt splenic injury without surgery and embolization: a national database study
title_sort risk factors of 180 day rebleeding after management of blunt splenic injury without surgery and embolization a national database study
topic Blunt splenic injury
Rebleeding risk prediction
Non-operative management
Transcatheter arterial embolization
Splenectomy
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13017-025-00586-7
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