PERBANDINGAN METODE SEASONAL ARIMA DAN EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE PADA PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI
Bali Island of the Gods is one of the wealth of very popular tourist destinations and has the highest number of foreign tourists in Indonesia. It is very necessary to do more in-depth learning related to the projections or forecasting of foreign tourist visits to Bali at a certain period of time. Fo...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Universitas Pattimura
2021-12-01
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| Series: | Barekeng |
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| Online Access: | https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/3775 |
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| author | Bayu Galih Prianda Edy Widodo |
| author_facet | Bayu Galih Prianda Edy Widodo |
| author_sort | Bayu Galih Prianda |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Bali Island of the Gods is one of the wealth of very popular tourist destinations and has the highest number of foreign tourists in Indonesia. It is very necessary to do more in-depth learning related to the projections or forecasting of foreign tourist visits to Bali at a certain period of time. Forecasting analysis used is to compare two methods, namely the Seasonal ARIMA method (SARIMA) and Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). The SARIMA method is a statistical method commonly used in forecasting time series data that contains seasonality and has good accuracy. While the ELM method is a new learning method of artificial neural networks that has fast learning speed and good accuracy. The results obtained indicate that the Seasonal ARIMA method is a better method used to predict the number of tourists to Bali in this case, because it has a smaller forecasting MAPE value of 4.97%. While the ELM method has a forecasting MAPE value of 7.62%. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-43356993fc884e9d93e59eda51abda89 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1978-7227 2615-3017 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2021-12-01 |
| publisher | Universitas Pattimura |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Barekeng |
| spelling | doaj-art-43356993fc884e9d93e59eda51abda892025-08-20T03:37:37ZengUniversitas PattimuraBarekeng1978-72272615-30172021-12-0115463965010.30598/barekengvol15iss4pp639-6503775PERBANDINGAN METODE SEASONAL ARIMA DAN EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE PADA PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALIBayu Galih Prianda0Edy Widodo1Universitas Islam IndonesiaUniversitas Islam IndonesiaBali Island of the Gods is one of the wealth of very popular tourist destinations and has the highest number of foreign tourists in Indonesia. It is very necessary to do more in-depth learning related to the projections or forecasting of foreign tourist visits to Bali at a certain period of time. Forecasting analysis used is to compare two methods, namely the Seasonal ARIMA method (SARIMA) and Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). The SARIMA method is a statistical method commonly used in forecasting time series data that contains seasonality and has good accuracy. While the ELM method is a new learning method of artificial neural networks that has fast learning speed and good accuracy. The results obtained indicate that the Seasonal ARIMA method is a better method used to predict the number of tourists to Bali in this case, because it has a smaller forecasting MAPE value of 4.97%. While the ELM method has a forecasting MAPE value of 7.62%.https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/3775seasonal arimaextreme learning machinewisatawan mancanegaraperamalanmape |
| spellingShingle | Bayu Galih Prianda Edy Widodo PERBANDINGAN METODE SEASONAL ARIMA DAN EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE PADA PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI Barekeng seasonal arima extreme learning machine wisatawan mancanegara peramalan mape |
| title | PERBANDINGAN METODE SEASONAL ARIMA DAN EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE PADA PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI |
| title_full | PERBANDINGAN METODE SEASONAL ARIMA DAN EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE PADA PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI |
| title_fullStr | PERBANDINGAN METODE SEASONAL ARIMA DAN EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE PADA PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI |
| title_full_unstemmed | PERBANDINGAN METODE SEASONAL ARIMA DAN EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE PADA PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI |
| title_short | PERBANDINGAN METODE SEASONAL ARIMA DAN EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE PADA PERAMALAN JUMLAH WISATAWAN MANCANEGARA KE BALI |
| title_sort | perbandingan metode seasonal arima dan extreme learning machine pada peramalan jumlah wisatawan mancanegara ke bali |
| topic | seasonal arima extreme learning machine wisatawan mancanegara peramalan mape |
| url | https://ojs3.unpatti.ac.id/index.php/barekeng/article/view/3775 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT bayugalihprianda perbandinganmetodeseasonalarimadanextremelearningmachinepadaperamalanjumlahwisatawanmancanegarakebali AT edywidodo perbandinganmetodeseasonalarimadanextremelearningmachinepadaperamalanjumlahwisatawanmancanegarakebali |