Corporate competition in climate scenario analysis: Current challenges and solutions

The Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) S2 Climate-related Disclosures alignments have recently emerged as a main driving force for companies to disclose climate-related risks. In this context, climate scenario analysis ha...

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Main Authors: Chia-Chi Lee, Shih-Yu Lee, Shih-Yun Kuo, Huang-Hsiung Hsu, Ya-Ting Kuo, Mu-Xing Lin, Chung-Pei Pien, Kuei-Tien Chou, Yi-Ting Tsai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-12-01
Series:Climate Services
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880725000652
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author Chia-Chi Lee
Shih-Yu Lee
Shih-Yun Kuo
Huang-Hsiung Hsu
Ya-Ting Kuo
Mu-Xing Lin
Chung-Pei Pien
Kuei-Tien Chou
Yi-Ting Tsai
author_facet Chia-Chi Lee
Shih-Yu Lee
Shih-Yun Kuo
Huang-Hsiung Hsu
Ya-Ting Kuo
Mu-Xing Lin
Chung-Pei Pien
Kuei-Tien Chou
Yi-Ting Tsai
author_sort Chia-Chi Lee
collection DOAJ
description The Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) S2 Climate-related Disclosures alignments have recently emerged as a main driving force for companies to disclose climate-related risks. In this context, climate scenario analysis has a direct impact on future quantitative climate risks, and therefore plays a pivotal role in the technical aspects of climate-related risk disclosures. To effectively comply with world trend in climate risk disclosures, competent authorities in Taiwan now encourage major companies to actively align with the TCFD and IFRS S2. However, many firms fell into the myth of the “climate scenario analysis competition”, leading major companies to compete to display various scenario analysis results in their reports. While learning from each other, they tend to lose sight of their own needs, avoiding crucial issues and omitting the truly important information. This study uses the industry chain of climate services as an analytical framework to conduct stakeholder interviews to explore the difficulties companies face in accurately disclosing their climate risks and in conducting scenario analysis, and also examine the role played by public climate service providers. The research results show that standard operating procedures (SOP) for scenario analysis in different industries, customized climate scenario production and analysis, and the cultivation of public and private climate service providers are all indispensable for overcoming challenges currently facing effective corporate climate scenario analysis.
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spelling doaj-art-4328d6dc35f14292b9c7b42264ea11df2025-08-25T04:14:36ZengElsevierClimate Services2405-88072025-12-014010060410.1016/j.cliser.2025.100604Corporate competition in climate scenario analysis: Current challenges and solutionsChia-Chi Lee0Shih-Yu Lee1Shih-Yun Kuo2Huang-Hsiung Hsu3Ya-Ting Kuo4Mu-Xing Lin5Chung-Pei Pien6Kuei-Tien Chou7Yi-Ting Tsai8Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, TaiwanResearch Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; Corresponding author at: Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, 128 Academia Road, Section 2, Nankang, Taipei 115201, Taiwan.Research Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, TaiwanResearch Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, TaiwanDepartment of Marketing and Distribution Management, Asia Eastern University of Science and Technology, Taipei, TaiwanResearch Center for Environmental Changes, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; Risk Society and Policy Research Center, National Taiwan University, Taipei, TaiwanInternational College of Innovation, National Chengchi University, Taipei, TaiwanRisk Society and Policy Research Center, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; Graduate Institute of National Development, National Taiwan University, Taipei, TaiwanTaiwan Green Productivity Foundation, Taipei, TaiwanThe Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards) S2 Climate-related Disclosures alignments have recently emerged as a main driving force for companies to disclose climate-related risks. In this context, climate scenario analysis has a direct impact on future quantitative climate risks, and therefore plays a pivotal role in the technical aspects of climate-related risk disclosures. To effectively comply with world trend in climate risk disclosures, competent authorities in Taiwan now encourage major companies to actively align with the TCFD and IFRS S2. However, many firms fell into the myth of the “climate scenario analysis competition”, leading major companies to compete to display various scenario analysis results in their reports. While learning from each other, they tend to lose sight of their own needs, avoiding crucial issues and omitting the truly important information. This study uses the industry chain of climate services as an analytical framework to conduct stakeholder interviews to explore the difficulties companies face in accurately disclosing their climate risks and in conducting scenario analysis, and also examine the role played by public climate service providers. The research results show that standard operating procedures (SOP) for scenario analysis in different industries, customized climate scenario production and analysis, and the cultivation of public and private climate service providers are all indispensable for overcoming challenges currently facing effective corporate climate scenario analysis.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880725000652Climate scenario analysisClimate scenario analysis competitionClimate risk disclosureClimate service providersClimate disclosure anxietyTCFD
spellingShingle Chia-Chi Lee
Shih-Yu Lee
Shih-Yun Kuo
Huang-Hsiung Hsu
Ya-Ting Kuo
Mu-Xing Lin
Chung-Pei Pien
Kuei-Tien Chou
Yi-Ting Tsai
Corporate competition in climate scenario analysis: Current challenges and solutions
Climate Services
Climate scenario analysis
Climate scenario analysis competition
Climate risk disclosure
Climate service providers
Climate disclosure anxiety
TCFD
title Corporate competition in climate scenario analysis: Current challenges and solutions
title_full Corporate competition in climate scenario analysis: Current challenges and solutions
title_fullStr Corporate competition in climate scenario analysis: Current challenges and solutions
title_full_unstemmed Corporate competition in climate scenario analysis: Current challenges and solutions
title_short Corporate competition in climate scenario analysis: Current challenges and solutions
title_sort corporate competition in climate scenario analysis current challenges and solutions
topic Climate scenario analysis
Climate scenario analysis competition
Climate risk disclosure
Climate service providers
Climate disclosure anxiety
TCFD
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405880725000652
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