Trends in the Occurrence of Compound Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation in Côte d’Ivoire

The aim of this study is to characterize the compound extremes of rainfall and temperature in Côte d’Ivoire. For this purpose, we analyzed the outputs of fourteen (14) climate models from the CORDEX-Africa project. Results show an increase (approximately 4.3 °C) in the surface temperature and a decr...

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Main Authors: Elisée Yapo Akobé, Adama Diawara, Fidèle Yoroba, Benjamin K. Kouassi, Assi Louis Martial Yapo, Ibrahima Diba, Kouakou Kouadio, Dro T. Tiémoko, Dianikoura Ibrahim Koné, Arona Diedhiou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Atmosphere
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/1/3
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author Elisée Yapo Akobé
Adama Diawara
Fidèle Yoroba
Benjamin K. Kouassi
Assi Louis Martial Yapo
Ibrahima Diba
Kouakou Kouadio
Dro T. Tiémoko
Dianikoura Ibrahim Koné
Arona Diedhiou
author_facet Elisée Yapo Akobé
Adama Diawara
Fidèle Yoroba
Benjamin K. Kouassi
Assi Louis Martial Yapo
Ibrahima Diba
Kouakou Kouadio
Dro T. Tiémoko
Dianikoura Ibrahim Koné
Arona Diedhiou
author_sort Elisée Yapo Akobé
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this study is to characterize the compound extremes of rainfall and temperature in Côte d’Ivoire. For this purpose, we analyzed the outputs of fourteen (14) climate models from the CORDEX-Africa project. Results show an increase (approximately 4.3 °C) in the surface temperature and a decrease (5.90%) of the mean rainfall in the near (2036–2065) and far futures (2071–2100) over Côte d’Ivoire during the January–February–March (JFM) period. The analysis of the compound extremes of the wet/warm type highlights an increase in the frequency of this climatic hazard in the northern and central parts of the country during the January–March (JFM) season in the near and far futures. The dry/warm mode will increase in the central and southern parts of the country in the near future and in the whole country in the far future. These increases in compound extremes could lead to an increase in droughts and natural disasters across the country and could have a negative impact on socio-economic activities, such as transportation and agricultural production. This work could provide decision support for political decision-makers in formulating future public policies for managing agricultural production, food security, and natural disasters.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2073-4433
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publishDate 2024-12-01
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series Atmosphere
spelling doaj-art-42cd9e9b7533483db357fe8522679a8f2025-01-24T13:21:39ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332024-12-01161310.3390/atmos16010003Trends in the Occurrence of Compound Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation in Côte d’IvoireElisée Yapo Akobé0Adama Diawara1Fidèle Yoroba2Benjamin K. Kouassi3Assi Louis Martial Yapo4Ibrahima Diba5Kouakou Kouadio6Dro T. Tiémoko7Dianikoura Ibrahim Koné8Arona Diedhiou9Laboratory of Sciences Matter, Environment and Solar Energy (LASMES), University Félix Houphouet-Boigny, UFR SSMT, Abidjan 22 BP 582, Côte d’IvoireLaboratory of Sciences Matter, Environment and Solar Energy (LASMES), University Félix Houphouet-Boigny, UFR SSMT, Abidjan 22 BP 582, Côte d’IvoireLaboratory of Sciences Matter, Environment and Solar Energy (LASMES), University Félix Houphouet-Boigny, UFR SSMT, Abidjan 22 BP 582, Côte d’IvoireLaboratory of Sciences Matter, Environment and Solar Energy (LASMES), University Félix Houphouet-Boigny, UFR SSMT, Abidjan 22 BP 582, Côte d’IvoireGeophysical Station of Lamto (GSL), N’douci BP 31, Côte d’IvoireLaboratoire d’Océanographie, des Sciences de l’Environnement et du Climat (LOSEC), Université Assane SECK de Ziguinchor, Ziguinchor BP 523, SenegalLaboratory of Sciences Matter, Environment and Solar Energy (LASMES), University Félix Houphouet-Boigny, UFR SSMT, Abidjan 22 BP 582, Côte d’IvoireGeophysical Station of Lamto (GSL), N’douci BP 31, Côte d’IvoireLaboratory of Sciences Matter, Environment and Solar Energy (LASMES), University Félix Houphouet-Boigny, UFR SSMT, Abidjan 22 BP 582, Côte d’IvoireAfrican Centre of Excellence on Climate Change, Biodiversity and Sustainable Agriculture (ACE CCBAD), University Félix Houphouet-Boigny, Abidjan 22 BP 582, Côte d’IvoireThe aim of this study is to characterize the compound extremes of rainfall and temperature in Côte d’Ivoire. For this purpose, we analyzed the outputs of fourteen (14) climate models from the CORDEX-Africa project. Results show an increase (approximately 4.3 °C) in the surface temperature and a decrease (5.90%) of the mean rainfall in the near (2036–2065) and far futures (2071–2100) over Côte d’Ivoire during the January–February–March (JFM) period. The analysis of the compound extremes of the wet/warm type highlights an increase in the frequency of this climatic hazard in the northern and central parts of the country during the January–March (JFM) season in the near and far futures. The dry/warm mode will increase in the central and southern parts of the country in the near future and in the whole country in the far future. These increases in compound extremes could lead to an increase in droughts and natural disasters across the country and could have a negative impact on socio-economic activities, such as transportation and agricultural production. This work could provide decision support for political decision-makers in formulating future public policies for managing agricultural production, food security, and natural disasters.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/1/3CORDEX-Africacompound extremesprecipitationtemperatureCôte d’Ivoire
spellingShingle Elisée Yapo Akobé
Adama Diawara
Fidèle Yoroba
Benjamin K. Kouassi
Assi Louis Martial Yapo
Ibrahima Diba
Kouakou Kouadio
Dro T. Tiémoko
Dianikoura Ibrahim Koné
Arona Diedhiou
Trends in the Occurrence of Compound Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation in Côte d’Ivoire
Atmosphere
CORDEX-Africa
compound extremes
precipitation
temperature
Côte d’Ivoire
title Trends in the Occurrence of Compound Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation in Côte d’Ivoire
title_full Trends in the Occurrence of Compound Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation in Côte d’Ivoire
title_fullStr Trends in the Occurrence of Compound Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation in Côte d’Ivoire
title_full_unstemmed Trends in the Occurrence of Compound Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation in Côte d’Ivoire
title_short Trends in the Occurrence of Compound Extremes of Temperature and Precipitation in Côte d’Ivoire
title_sort trends in the occurrence of compound extremes of temperature and precipitation in cote d ivoire
topic CORDEX-Africa
compound extremes
precipitation
temperature
Côte d’Ivoire
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/16/1/3
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