Evaluation and Prediction of Comprehensive Efficiency of Wind Power System in China Based on Two-Stage EBM Model and FNN Model

Wind power is a core component of a clean energy system. The efficiency of a wind power system evolves through coordinated interactions. These interactions occur among three regional subsystems: resource subsystem, technology subsystem, and economy subsystem. To reveal the operational mechanisms of...

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Main Authors: Fang-Rong Ren, Hui-Lin Liu, Xiao-Yan Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-07-01
Series:Systems
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/13/7/579
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author Fang-Rong Ren
Hui-Lin Liu
Xiao-Yan Liu
author_facet Fang-Rong Ren
Hui-Lin Liu
Xiao-Yan Liu
author_sort Fang-Rong Ren
collection DOAJ
description Wind power is a core component of a clean energy system. The efficiency of a wind power system evolves through coordinated interactions. These interactions occur among three regional subsystems: resource subsystem, technology subsystem, and economy subsystem. To reveal the operational mechanisms of its internal subsystems, this study analyzes the comprehensive efficiency of the wind power system in China from 2010 to 2022. The two-stage EBM model, the Tobit regression model and the feedforward neural network model are employed in combination. The results show that: (1) The comprehensive efficiency of the wind power system has gradually improved, but shows spatiotemporal variations due to uneven subsystem coordination. (2) The improvement of efficiency is characterized by stages. The optimization of technology subsystems drives the development stage, while economic scaling dominates the operation stage (though operation and maintenance technologies remain deficient). (3) The correlation between development and operation stages is suboptimal, and the coordination of subsystems remains weak. (4) Technology innovation and electricity demand boost comprehensive efficiency, while human resources hinder it. Extreme weather exerts either a contributing or an interfering effect on the system. (5) Future projections show continued efficiency growth. The study concludes with cross-system coordination strategies to enhance the contribution of wind power in clean energy.
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spelling doaj-art-41f5c4cc260142a28d77a1267990edbc2025-08-20T03:56:45ZengMDPI AGSystems2079-89542025-07-0113757910.3390/systems13070579Evaluation and Prediction of Comprehensive Efficiency of Wind Power System in China Based on Two-Stage EBM Model and FNN ModelFang-Rong Ren0Hui-Lin Liu1Xiao-Yan Liu2College of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, ChinaCollege of Economics and Management, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, ChinaBusiness School, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, ChinaWind power is a core component of a clean energy system. The efficiency of a wind power system evolves through coordinated interactions. These interactions occur among three regional subsystems: resource subsystem, technology subsystem, and economy subsystem. To reveal the operational mechanisms of its internal subsystems, this study analyzes the comprehensive efficiency of the wind power system in China from 2010 to 2022. The two-stage EBM model, the Tobit regression model and the feedforward neural network model are employed in combination. The results show that: (1) The comprehensive efficiency of the wind power system has gradually improved, but shows spatiotemporal variations due to uneven subsystem coordination. (2) The improvement of efficiency is characterized by stages. The optimization of technology subsystems drives the development stage, while economic scaling dominates the operation stage (though operation and maintenance technologies remain deficient). (3) The correlation between development and operation stages is suboptimal, and the coordination of subsystems remains weak. (4) Technology innovation and electricity demand boost comprehensive efficiency, while human resources hinder it. Extreme weather exerts either a contributing or an interfering effect on the system. (5) Future projections show continued efficiency growth. The study concludes with cross-system coordination strategies to enhance the contribution of wind power in clean energy.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/13/7/579renewable energyclean energy systemwind power systemresource-technology-economy ternary subsystemtwo-stage EBMFNN model
spellingShingle Fang-Rong Ren
Hui-Lin Liu
Xiao-Yan Liu
Evaluation and Prediction of Comprehensive Efficiency of Wind Power System in China Based on Two-Stage EBM Model and FNN Model
Systems
renewable energy
clean energy system
wind power system
resource-technology-economy ternary subsystem
two-stage EBM
FNN model
title Evaluation and Prediction of Comprehensive Efficiency of Wind Power System in China Based on Two-Stage EBM Model and FNN Model
title_full Evaluation and Prediction of Comprehensive Efficiency of Wind Power System in China Based on Two-Stage EBM Model and FNN Model
title_fullStr Evaluation and Prediction of Comprehensive Efficiency of Wind Power System in China Based on Two-Stage EBM Model and FNN Model
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation and Prediction of Comprehensive Efficiency of Wind Power System in China Based on Two-Stage EBM Model and FNN Model
title_short Evaluation and Prediction of Comprehensive Efficiency of Wind Power System in China Based on Two-Stage EBM Model and FNN Model
title_sort evaluation and prediction of comprehensive efficiency of wind power system in china based on two stage ebm model and fnn model
topic renewable energy
clean energy system
wind power system
resource-technology-economy ternary subsystem
two-stage EBM
FNN model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/13/7/579
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