Scenario Prediction of Provincial Primary Energy Supply under Low Carbon Background: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province

With the rapid development of China's economy, carbon emissions are increasing and environmental damage is becoming more and more serious. It is of great practical significance and practical value to study the evolution trend of regional energy supply from the perspective of low carbon developm...

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Main Authors: Fan WEN, Jun LIU, Dongxiao NIU, Ze SUN, Yi LIANG, Yao XIAO
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: State Grid Energy Research Institute 2020-02-01
Series:Zhongguo dianli
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Online Access:https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201811093
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author Fan WEN
Jun LIU
Dongxiao NIU
Ze SUN
Yi LIANG
Yao XIAO
author_facet Fan WEN
Jun LIU
Dongxiao NIU
Ze SUN
Yi LIANG
Yao XIAO
author_sort Fan WEN
collection DOAJ
description With the rapid development of China's economy, carbon emissions are increasing and environmental damage is becoming more and more serious. It is of great practical significance and practical value to study the evolution trend of regional energy supply from the perspective of low carbon development. Therefore, Zhejiang Province is used as an example to set three scenarios: routine development scenario, policy development scenario, and technology development scenario for the primary energy supply trend of coal, oil and natural gas. Based on the scenario prediction of low-carbon energy supply in Zhejiang Province by multivariate linear regression models, it can be concluded that low-carbon development will affect the structure of regional energy supply, which is conducive to the planning of primary energy supply in the region.
format Article
id doaj-art-40d368c5549d4eaf8c5d2f2f8952850a
institution DOAJ
issn 1004-9649
language zho
publishDate 2020-02-01
publisher State Grid Energy Research Institute
record_format Article
series Zhongguo dianli
spelling doaj-art-40d368c5549d4eaf8c5d2f2f8952850a2025-08-20T02:52:37ZzhoState Grid Energy Research InstituteZhongguo dianli1004-96492020-02-01532202810.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201811093zgdl-52-12-wenfanScenario Prediction of Provincial Primary Energy Supply under Low Carbon Background: A Case Study of Zhejiang ProvinceFan WEN0Jun LIU1Dongxiao NIU2Ze SUN3Yi LIANG4Yao XIAO5Economic and Technological Research Institute, State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co. Ltd., Hangzhou 310008, ChinaEconomic and Technological Research Institute, State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Co. Ltd., Hangzhou 310008, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, ChinaState Grid Liaoyang Electric Power Company, Liaoyang 111000, ChinaWith the rapid development of China's economy, carbon emissions are increasing and environmental damage is becoming more and more serious. It is of great practical significance and practical value to study the evolution trend of regional energy supply from the perspective of low carbon development. Therefore, Zhejiang Province is used as an example to set three scenarios: routine development scenario, policy development scenario, and technology development scenario for the primary energy supply trend of coal, oil and natural gas. Based on the scenario prediction of low-carbon energy supply in Zhejiang Province by multivariate linear regression models, it can be concluded that low-carbon development will affect the structure of regional energy supply, which is conducive to the planning of primary energy supply in the region.https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201811093low carbon backgroundenergy supplyscenario forecastmultivariate linear regression
spellingShingle Fan WEN
Jun LIU
Dongxiao NIU
Ze SUN
Yi LIANG
Yao XIAO
Scenario Prediction of Provincial Primary Energy Supply under Low Carbon Background: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province
Zhongguo dianli
low carbon background
energy supply
scenario forecast
multivariate linear regression
title Scenario Prediction of Provincial Primary Energy Supply under Low Carbon Background: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province
title_full Scenario Prediction of Provincial Primary Energy Supply under Low Carbon Background: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province
title_fullStr Scenario Prediction of Provincial Primary Energy Supply under Low Carbon Background: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province
title_full_unstemmed Scenario Prediction of Provincial Primary Energy Supply under Low Carbon Background: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province
title_short Scenario Prediction of Provincial Primary Energy Supply under Low Carbon Background: A Case Study of Zhejiang Province
title_sort scenario prediction of provincial primary energy supply under low carbon background a case study of zhejiang province
topic low carbon background
energy supply
scenario forecast
multivariate linear regression
url https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.201811093
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