Structured professional psychological judgment for assessing the risk of public danger in persons with mental disorders

The results of the approbation of the Protocol of structured professional judgment developed for the assessment of psychological factors influencing the formation of socially dangerous behavior in persons with severe mental disorders are presented. In order to determine psychometric properties and p...

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Main Authors: O. A. Makushkina, E. V. Leurda
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Federal State Budget Scientific Institution National Medical Research Center for Psychiatry and Neurology n.a. V.M. Bekhterev Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation 2023-12-01
Series:Обозрение психиатрии и медицинской психологии имени В.М. Бехтерева
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Online Access:https://www.bekhterevreview.com/jour/article/view/887
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author O. A. Makushkina
E. V. Leurda
author_facet O. A. Makushkina
E. V. Leurda
author_sort O. A. Makushkina
collection DOAJ
description The results of the approbation of the Protocol of structured professional judgment developed for the assessment of psychological factors influencing the formation of socially dangerous behavior in persons with severe mental disorders are presented. In order to determine psychometric properties and prognostic reliability, 160 patients of both sexes with persistent illegal and law-abiding behavior, average age 40 ±13 years, were examined using the Protocol. The respondents were assessed for affective rigidity, extrapunitive orientation of frustration reaction, cognitive rigidity, low self-esteem, internal locus of control, lack of empathy, egocentrism, ability to reflect on life experience. Each feature was assigned a score, the scores were summed up, the amount was compared with the threshold value. Prognostic reliability was assessed using ROC analysis (Receiver Operating Characteristics). Sensitivity and specificity were 98.1% and 88.1%, respectively. The area under the ROC curve is 0.97±0.01 with 95% CI: 0.951-0.989. The resulting model was statistically significant (p<0.001). This Protocol is not an independent tool, but serves as an addition to the methodology of Structured Risk Assessment of Dangerous Behavior (SOROP) and clinical assessment. Its integration into the risk determination procedure will ensure the implementation of a comprehensive multidisciplinary approach in making judgments about the potential public danger of the patient, will increase its objectivity and evidence.
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publisher Federal State Budget Scientific Institution National Medical Research Center for Psychiatry and Neurology n.a. V.M. Bekhterev Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation
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series Обозрение психиатрии и медицинской психологии имени В.М. Бехтерева
spelling doaj-art-40d0b79a204e4e4ab6b073bbb029087f2025-08-20T02:49:19ZrusFederal State Budget Scientific Institution National Medical Research Center for Psychiatry and Neurology n.a. V.M. Bekhterev Ministry of Health of the Russian FederationОбозрение психиатрии и медицинской психологии имени В.М. Бехтерева2313-70532713-055X2023-12-01574667410.31363/2313-7053-2023-801518Structured professional psychological judgment for assessing the risk of public danger in persons with mental disordersO. A. Makushkina0E. V. Leurda1Serbsky National Medical Research Centre for Psychiatry and NarcologySerbsky National Medical Research Centre for Psychiatry and NarcologyThe results of the approbation of the Protocol of structured professional judgment developed for the assessment of psychological factors influencing the formation of socially dangerous behavior in persons with severe mental disorders are presented. In order to determine psychometric properties and prognostic reliability, 160 patients of both sexes with persistent illegal and law-abiding behavior, average age 40 ±13 years, were examined using the Protocol. The respondents were assessed for affective rigidity, extrapunitive orientation of frustration reaction, cognitive rigidity, low self-esteem, internal locus of control, lack of empathy, egocentrism, ability to reflect on life experience. Each feature was assigned a score, the scores were summed up, the amount was compared with the threshold value. Prognostic reliability was assessed using ROC analysis (Receiver Operating Characteristics). Sensitivity and specificity were 98.1% and 88.1%, respectively. The area under the ROC curve is 0.97±0.01 with 95% CI: 0.951-0.989. The resulting model was statistically significant (p<0.001). This Protocol is not an independent tool, but serves as an addition to the methodology of Structured Risk Assessment of Dangerous Behavior (SOROP) and clinical assessment. Its integration into the risk determination procedure will ensure the implementation of a comprehensive multidisciplinary approach in making judgments about the potential public danger of the patient, will increase its objectivity and evidence.https://www.bekhterevreview.com/jour/article/view/887persons with mental disordersillegal behaviorsocially dangerous actionsprevention risk assessmentpsychological risk factorsprotective factorsprotocol of structured professional psychological judgment
spellingShingle O. A. Makushkina
E. V. Leurda
Structured professional psychological judgment for assessing the risk of public danger in persons with mental disorders
Обозрение психиатрии и медицинской психологии имени В.М. Бехтерева
persons with mental disorders
illegal behavior
socially dangerous actions
prevention risk assessment
psychological risk factors
protective factors
protocol of structured professional psychological judgment
title Structured professional psychological judgment for assessing the risk of public danger in persons with mental disorders
title_full Structured professional psychological judgment for assessing the risk of public danger in persons with mental disorders
title_fullStr Structured professional psychological judgment for assessing the risk of public danger in persons with mental disorders
title_full_unstemmed Structured professional psychological judgment for assessing the risk of public danger in persons with mental disorders
title_short Structured professional psychological judgment for assessing the risk of public danger in persons with mental disorders
title_sort structured professional psychological judgment for assessing the risk of public danger in persons with mental disorders
topic persons with mental disorders
illegal behavior
socially dangerous actions
prevention risk assessment
psychological risk factors
protective factors
protocol of structured professional psychological judgment
url https://www.bekhterevreview.com/jour/article/view/887
work_keys_str_mv AT oamakushkina structuredprofessionalpsychologicaljudgmentforassessingtheriskofpublicdangerinpersonswithmentaldisorders
AT evleurda structuredprofessionalpsychologicaljudgmentforassessingtheriskofpublicdangerinpersonswithmentaldisorders