OpenABM-Covid19-An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing.

SARS-CoV-2 has spread across the world, causing high mortality and unprecedented restrictions on social and economic activity. Policymakers are assessing how best to navigate through the ongoing epidemic, with computational models being used to predict the spread of infection and assess the impact o...

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Main Authors: Robert Hinch, William J M Probert, Anel Nurtay, Michelle Kendall, Chris Wymant, Matthew Hall, Katrina Lythgoe, Ana Bulas Cruz, Lele Zhao, Andrea Stewart, Luca Ferretti, Daniel Montero, James Warren, Nicole Mather, Matthew Abueg, Neo Wu, Olivier Legat, Katie Bentley, Thomas Mead, Kelvin Van-Vuuren, Dylan Feldner-Busztin, Tommaso Ristori, Anthony Finkelstein, David G Bonsall, Lucie Abeler-Dörner, Christophe Fraser
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021-07-01
Series:PLoS Computational Biology
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009146&type=printable
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author Robert Hinch
William J M Probert
Anel Nurtay
Michelle Kendall
Chris Wymant
Matthew Hall
Katrina Lythgoe
Ana Bulas Cruz
Lele Zhao
Andrea Stewart
Luca Ferretti
Daniel Montero
James Warren
Nicole Mather
Matthew Abueg
Neo Wu
Olivier Legat
Katie Bentley
Thomas Mead
Kelvin Van-Vuuren
Dylan Feldner-Busztin
Tommaso Ristori
Anthony Finkelstein
David G Bonsall
Lucie Abeler-Dörner
Christophe Fraser
author_facet Robert Hinch
William J M Probert
Anel Nurtay
Michelle Kendall
Chris Wymant
Matthew Hall
Katrina Lythgoe
Ana Bulas Cruz
Lele Zhao
Andrea Stewart
Luca Ferretti
Daniel Montero
James Warren
Nicole Mather
Matthew Abueg
Neo Wu
Olivier Legat
Katie Bentley
Thomas Mead
Kelvin Van-Vuuren
Dylan Feldner-Busztin
Tommaso Ristori
Anthony Finkelstein
David G Bonsall
Lucie Abeler-Dörner
Christophe Fraser
author_sort Robert Hinch
collection DOAJ
description SARS-CoV-2 has spread across the world, causing high mortality and unprecedented restrictions on social and economic activity. Policymakers are assessing how best to navigate through the ongoing epidemic, with computational models being used to predict the spread of infection and assess the impact of public health measures. Here, we present OpenABM-Covid19: an agent-based simulation of the epidemic including detailed age-stratification and realistic social networks. By default the model is parameterised to UK demographics and calibrated to the UK epidemic, however, it can easily be re-parameterised for other countries. OpenABM-Covid19 can evaluate non-pharmaceutical interventions, including both manual and digital contact tracing, and vaccination programmes. It can simulate a population of 1 million people in seconds per day, allowing parameter sweeps and formal statistical model-based inference. The code is open-source and has been developed by teams both inside and outside academia, with an emphasis on formal testing, documentation, modularity and transparency. A key feature of OpenABM-Covid19 are its Python and R interfaces, which has allowed scientists and policymakers to simulate dynamic packages of interventions and help compare options to suppress the COVID-19 epidemic.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1553-734X
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publishDate 2021-07-01
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record_format Article
series PLoS Computational Biology
spelling doaj-art-40c60c6d49f340eba2196f65ed314e7d2025-08-20T03:44:40ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Computational Biology1553-734X1553-73582021-07-01177e100914610.1371/journal.pcbi.1009146OpenABM-Covid19-An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing.Robert HinchWilliam J M ProbertAnel NurtayMichelle KendallChris WymantMatthew HallKatrina LythgoeAna Bulas CruzLele ZhaoAndrea StewartLuca FerrettiDaniel MonteroJames WarrenNicole MatherMatthew AbuegNeo WuOlivier LegatKatie BentleyThomas MeadKelvin Van-VuurenDylan Feldner-BusztinTommaso RistoriAnthony FinkelsteinDavid G BonsallLucie Abeler-DörnerChristophe FraserSARS-CoV-2 has spread across the world, causing high mortality and unprecedented restrictions on social and economic activity. Policymakers are assessing how best to navigate through the ongoing epidemic, with computational models being used to predict the spread of infection and assess the impact of public health measures. Here, we present OpenABM-Covid19: an agent-based simulation of the epidemic including detailed age-stratification and realistic social networks. By default the model is parameterised to UK demographics and calibrated to the UK epidemic, however, it can easily be re-parameterised for other countries. OpenABM-Covid19 can evaluate non-pharmaceutical interventions, including both manual and digital contact tracing, and vaccination programmes. It can simulate a population of 1 million people in seconds per day, allowing parameter sweeps and formal statistical model-based inference. The code is open-source and has been developed by teams both inside and outside academia, with an emphasis on formal testing, documentation, modularity and transparency. A key feature of OpenABM-Covid19 are its Python and R interfaces, which has allowed scientists and policymakers to simulate dynamic packages of interventions and help compare options to suppress the COVID-19 epidemic.https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009146&type=printable
spellingShingle Robert Hinch
William J M Probert
Anel Nurtay
Michelle Kendall
Chris Wymant
Matthew Hall
Katrina Lythgoe
Ana Bulas Cruz
Lele Zhao
Andrea Stewart
Luca Ferretti
Daniel Montero
James Warren
Nicole Mather
Matthew Abueg
Neo Wu
Olivier Legat
Katie Bentley
Thomas Mead
Kelvin Van-Vuuren
Dylan Feldner-Busztin
Tommaso Ristori
Anthony Finkelstein
David G Bonsall
Lucie Abeler-Dörner
Christophe Fraser
OpenABM-Covid19-An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing.
PLoS Computational Biology
title OpenABM-Covid19-An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing.
title_full OpenABM-Covid19-An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing.
title_fullStr OpenABM-Covid19-An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing.
title_full_unstemmed OpenABM-Covid19-An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing.
title_short OpenABM-Covid19-An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing.
title_sort openabm covid19 an agent based model for non pharmaceutical interventions against covid 19 including contact tracing
url https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009146&type=printable
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