The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone Response

Abstract The solar cycle (SC) stratospheric ozone response is thought to influence surface weather and climate. To understand the chain of processes and ensure climate models adequately represent them, it is important to detect and quantify an accurate SC ozone response from observations. Chemistry...

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Main Authors: W. T. Ball, E. V. Rozanov, J. Alsing, D. R. Marsh, F. Tummon, D. J. Mortlock, D. Kinnison, J. D. Haigh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-02-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081501
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author W. T. Ball
E. V. Rozanov
J. Alsing
D. R. Marsh
F. Tummon
D. J. Mortlock
D. Kinnison
J. D. Haigh
author_facet W. T. Ball
E. V. Rozanov
J. Alsing
D. R. Marsh
F. Tummon
D. J. Mortlock
D. Kinnison
J. D. Haigh
author_sort W. T. Ball
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The solar cycle (SC) stratospheric ozone response is thought to influence surface weather and climate. To understand the chain of processes and ensure climate models adequately represent them, it is important to detect and quantify an accurate SC ozone response from observations. Chemistry climate models (CCMs) and observations display a range of upper stratosphere (1–10 hPa) zonally averaged spatial responses; this and the recommended data set for comparison remains disputed. Recent data‐merging advancements have led to more robust observational data. Using these data, we show that the observed SC signal exhibits an upper stratosphere U‐shaped spatial structure with lobes emanating from the tropics (5–10 hPa) to high altitudes at midlatitudes (1–3 hPa). We confirm this using two independent chemistry climate models in specified dynamics mode and an idealized timeslice experiment. We recommend the BASICv2 ozone composite to best represent historical upper stratospheric solar variability, and that those based on SBUV alone should not be used.
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publishDate 2019-02-01
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-40bf6e350d084328b87c8b50508d0ecb2025-08-20T03:49:45ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072019-02-014631831184110.1029/2018GL081501The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone ResponseW. T. Ball0E. V. Rozanov1J. Alsing2D. R. Marsh3F. Tummon4D. J. Mortlock5D. Kinnison6J. D. Haigh7Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich Zurich SwitzerlandInstitute for Atmospheric and Climate Science Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich Zurich SwitzerlandCenter for Computational Astrophysics, Flatiron Institute New York NY USANational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USABiosciences, Fisheries, and Economy Department University of Tromso Tromso NorwayPhysics Department, Blackett Laboratory Imperial College London London UKNational Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO USAPhysics Department, Blackett Laboratory Imperial College London London UKAbstract The solar cycle (SC) stratospheric ozone response is thought to influence surface weather and climate. To understand the chain of processes and ensure climate models adequately represent them, it is important to detect and quantify an accurate SC ozone response from observations. Chemistry climate models (CCMs) and observations display a range of upper stratosphere (1–10 hPa) zonally averaged spatial responses; this and the recommended data set for comparison remains disputed. Recent data‐merging advancements have led to more robust observational data. Using these data, we show that the observed SC signal exhibits an upper stratosphere U‐shaped spatial structure with lobes emanating from the tropics (5–10 hPa) to high altitudes at midlatitudes (1–3 hPa). We confirm this using two independent chemistry climate models in specified dynamics mode and an idealized timeslice experiment. We recommend the BASICv2 ozone composite to best represent historical upper stratospheric solar variability, and that those based on SBUV alone should not be used.https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081501solar cyclestratospheric ozoneclimate modelssatellite observationsspecified dynamicstime series analysis
spellingShingle W. T. Ball
E. V. Rozanov
J. Alsing
D. R. Marsh
F. Tummon
D. J. Mortlock
D. Kinnison
J. D. Haigh
The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone Response
Geophysical Research Letters
solar cycle
stratospheric ozone
climate models
satellite observations
specified dynamics
time series analysis
title The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone Response
title_full The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone Response
title_fullStr The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone Response
title_full_unstemmed The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone Response
title_short The Upper Stratospheric Solar Cycle Ozone Response
title_sort upper stratospheric solar cycle ozone response
topic solar cycle
stratospheric ozone
climate models
satellite observations
specified dynamics
time series analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL081501
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