Wind Speed Forecast Based on the LSTM Neural Network Optimized by the Firework Algorithm

Wind energy is a renewable energy source with great development potential, and a reliable and accurate prediction of wind speed is the basis for the effective utilization of wind energy. Aiming at hyperparameter optimization in a combined forecasting method, a wind speed prediction model based on th...

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Main Authors: Bilin Shao, Dan Song, Genqing Bian, Yu Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Advances in Materials Science and Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/4874757
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author Bilin Shao
Dan Song
Genqing Bian
Yu Zhao
author_facet Bilin Shao
Dan Song
Genqing Bian
Yu Zhao
author_sort Bilin Shao
collection DOAJ
description Wind energy is a renewable energy source with great development potential, and a reliable and accurate prediction of wind speed is the basis for the effective utilization of wind energy. Aiming at hyperparameter optimization in a combined forecasting method, a wind speed prediction model based on the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network optimized by the firework algorithm (FWA) is proposed. Focusing on the real-time sudden change and dependence of wind speed data, a wind speed prediction model based on LSTM is established, and FWA is used to optimize the hyperparameters of the model so that the model can set parameters adaptively. Then, the optimized model is compared with the wind speed prediction based on other deep neural architectures and regression models in experiments, and the results show that the wind speed model based on FWA-improved LSTM reduces the prediction error when compared with other wind speed prediction-based regression methods and obtains higher prediction accuracy than other deep neural architectures.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-8434
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language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Advances in Materials Science and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-400bd5c706ae4c0a87408acc65f944d82025-02-03T07:23:29ZengWileyAdvances in Materials Science and Engineering1687-84341687-84422021-01-01202110.1155/2021/48747574874757Wind Speed Forecast Based on the LSTM Neural Network Optimized by the Firework AlgorithmBilin Shao0Dan Song1Genqing Bian2Yu Zhao3School of Management, Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi’an 710055, ChinaSchool of Management, Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi’an 710055, ChinaSchool of Information and Control Engineering, Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi’an 710055, ChinaSchool of Management, Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi’an 710055, ChinaWind energy is a renewable energy source with great development potential, and a reliable and accurate prediction of wind speed is the basis for the effective utilization of wind energy. Aiming at hyperparameter optimization in a combined forecasting method, a wind speed prediction model based on the long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network optimized by the firework algorithm (FWA) is proposed. Focusing on the real-time sudden change and dependence of wind speed data, a wind speed prediction model based on LSTM is established, and FWA is used to optimize the hyperparameters of the model so that the model can set parameters adaptively. Then, the optimized model is compared with the wind speed prediction based on other deep neural architectures and regression models in experiments, and the results show that the wind speed model based on FWA-improved LSTM reduces the prediction error when compared with other wind speed prediction-based regression methods and obtains higher prediction accuracy than other deep neural architectures.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/4874757
spellingShingle Bilin Shao
Dan Song
Genqing Bian
Yu Zhao
Wind Speed Forecast Based on the LSTM Neural Network Optimized by the Firework Algorithm
Advances in Materials Science and Engineering
title Wind Speed Forecast Based on the LSTM Neural Network Optimized by the Firework Algorithm
title_full Wind Speed Forecast Based on the LSTM Neural Network Optimized by the Firework Algorithm
title_fullStr Wind Speed Forecast Based on the LSTM Neural Network Optimized by the Firework Algorithm
title_full_unstemmed Wind Speed Forecast Based on the LSTM Neural Network Optimized by the Firework Algorithm
title_short Wind Speed Forecast Based on the LSTM Neural Network Optimized by the Firework Algorithm
title_sort wind speed forecast based on the lstm neural network optimized by the firework algorithm
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/4874757
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AT dansong windspeedforecastbasedonthelstmneuralnetworkoptimizedbythefireworkalgorithm
AT genqingbian windspeedforecastbasedonthelstmneuralnetworkoptimizedbythefireworkalgorithm
AT yuzhao windspeedforecastbasedonthelstmneuralnetworkoptimizedbythefireworkalgorithm