Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian Ocean

Abstract Empirical observations of the rate of sea-level rise (SLR) and the timing of its recent acceleration are critical for validating ensemble methods used to determine global mean sea level trends. Such records are critically important at far-field locations where instrumental datasets are scar...

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Main Authors: Paul S. Kench, Kyle M. Morgan, Susan D. Owen, Ke Lin, Xianfeng Wang, Riovie D. Ramos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-60972-2
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author Paul S. Kench
Kyle M. Morgan
Susan D. Owen
Ke Lin
Xianfeng Wang
Riovie D. Ramos
author_facet Paul S. Kench
Kyle M. Morgan
Susan D. Owen
Ke Lin
Xianfeng Wang
Riovie D. Ramos
author_sort Paul S. Kench
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Empirical observations of the rate of sea-level rise (SLR) and the timing of its recent acceleration are critical for validating ensemble methods used to determine global mean sea level trends. Such records are critically important at far-field locations where instrumental datasets are scarce. Here we construct a continuous 90-year sea level record (1930–2019) from the central tropical Indian Ocean derived from the incremental growth of a coral microatoll, which is demonstrated to reflect changes in sea level at annual timescales. Our record, which overlaps with tide gauge observations, extends the instrumental record by six decades and reveals climatic variability and marked changes in sea level behaviour across the twentieth century characterised by: (1) an increase in sea level of 0.30 m between 1930 and 2019; (2) low rates of SLR in the early twentieth century (1.42 ± 0.42 mm.yr−1); (3) a marked acceleration in SLR to ~3.44 ± 0.68 mm.y−1 in the late 1950’s; and (4) a further increase to 4.39 ± 0.48 mm.y−1 over the past three decades. Our results provide empirical evidence for a mid-century SLR acceleration in the central Indian Ocean, which is earlier than instrumental records indicate for coastal sites at the continental margins.
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issn 2041-1723
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spelling doaj-art-3fffc05bf94149faacd2454f0b4a45c32025-08-20T03:45:35ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232025-07-0116111110.1038/s41467-025-60972-2Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian OceanPaul S. Kench0Kyle M. Morgan1Susan D. Owen2Ke Lin3Xianfeng Wang4Riovie D. Ramos5Department of Geography, National University of SingaporeEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityDepartment of Geography, National University of SingaporeEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityEarth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological UniversityAbstract Empirical observations of the rate of sea-level rise (SLR) and the timing of its recent acceleration are critical for validating ensemble methods used to determine global mean sea level trends. Such records are critically important at far-field locations where instrumental datasets are scarce. Here we construct a continuous 90-year sea level record (1930–2019) from the central tropical Indian Ocean derived from the incremental growth of a coral microatoll, which is demonstrated to reflect changes in sea level at annual timescales. Our record, which overlaps with tide gauge observations, extends the instrumental record by six decades and reveals climatic variability and marked changes in sea level behaviour across the twentieth century characterised by: (1) an increase in sea level of 0.30 m between 1930 and 2019; (2) low rates of SLR in the early twentieth century (1.42 ± 0.42 mm.yr−1); (3) a marked acceleration in SLR to ~3.44 ± 0.68 mm.y−1 in the late 1950’s; and (4) a further increase to 4.39 ± 0.48 mm.y−1 over the past three decades. Our results provide empirical evidence for a mid-century SLR acceleration in the central Indian Ocean, which is earlier than instrumental records indicate for coastal sites at the continental margins.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-60972-2
spellingShingle Paul S. Kench
Kyle M. Morgan
Susan D. Owen
Ke Lin
Xianfeng Wang
Riovie D. Ramos
Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian Ocean
Nature Communications
title Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian Ocean
title_full Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian Ocean
title_fullStr Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian Ocean
title_full_unstemmed Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian Ocean
title_short Coral growth records 20th Century sea-level acceleration and climatic variability in the Indian Ocean
title_sort coral growth records 20th century sea level acceleration and climatic variability in the indian ocean
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-60972-2
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