Neonatal death prediction scores: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objective To compare, through a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational accuracy studies, the main existing neonatal death prediction scores.Method Systematic review and meta-analysis of observational accuracy studies. The databases accessed were MEDLINE, ELSEVIER, LILACS, SciELO, OpenG...

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Main Authors: Felipe C S Veloso, Carine R A Barros, Samir B Kassar, Ricardo Q Gurgel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2024-12-01
Series:BMJ Paediatrics Open
Online Access:https://bmjpaedsopen.bmj.com/content/8/1/e003067.full
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author Felipe C S Veloso
Carine R A Barros
Samir B Kassar
Ricardo Q Gurgel
author_facet Felipe C S Veloso
Carine R A Barros
Samir B Kassar
Ricardo Q Gurgel
author_sort Felipe C S Veloso
collection DOAJ
description Objective To compare, through a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational accuracy studies, the main existing neonatal death prediction scores.Method Systematic review and meta-analysis of observational accuracy studies. The databases accessed were MEDLINE, ELSEVIER, LILACS, SciELO, OpenGrey, Open Access Thesis and Dissertations, EMBASE, Web of Science, SCOPUS and Cochrane Library. For qualitative analysis, Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 was used. For the quantitative analysis, the area under the curve and the SE were used, as well as the inverse of the variance as a weight measure, DerSimonian and Laird as a measure of random effects, Higgins’ I² as an estimate of heterogeneity, Z as a final measure with a 95% confidence level.Results 55 studies were analysed, 8 scores were compared in a total of 193 849 newborns included. The most accurate neonatal death prediction score was Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology Perinatal Extension II (SNAPPE II) (0.89 (95% CI 0.86 to 0.92)) and the least accurate was gestational age (0.75 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.79)).Conclusion SNAPPE II was the most accurate score found in this study. Despite this, the choice of score depends on the situation and setting in which the newborn is inserted, and it is up to the researcher to analyse and decide which one to use based on practicality and the possibility of local implementation. Given this, it is interesting to carry out new prospective studies to improve the prediction of neonatal deaths around the world.PROSPERO registration number CRD42023462425.
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spelling doaj-art-3f73ba63807a49dbac77a49ceaba03af2025-08-20T02:35:32ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Paediatrics Open2399-97722024-12-018110.1136/bmjpo-2024-003067Neonatal death prediction scores: a systematic review and meta-analysisFelipe C S Veloso0Carine R A Barros1Samir B Kassar2Ricardo Q Gurgel3Federal University of Sergipe, São Cristovão, BrazilFederal University of Alagoas, Maceió, BrazilFederal University of Alagoas, Maceió, BrazilFederal University of Sergipe, São Cristovão, BrazilObjective To compare, through a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational accuracy studies, the main existing neonatal death prediction scores.Method Systematic review and meta-analysis of observational accuracy studies. The databases accessed were MEDLINE, ELSEVIER, LILACS, SciELO, OpenGrey, Open Access Thesis and Dissertations, EMBASE, Web of Science, SCOPUS and Cochrane Library. For qualitative analysis, Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 was used. For the quantitative analysis, the area under the curve and the SE were used, as well as the inverse of the variance as a weight measure, DerSimonian and Laird as a measure of random effects, Higgins’ I² as an estimate of heterogeneity, Z as a final measure with a 95% confidence level.Results 55 studies were analysed, 8 scores were compared in a total of 193 849 newborns included. The most accurate neonatal death prediction score was Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology Perinatal Extension II (SNAPPE II) (0.89 (95% CI 0.86 to 0.92)) and the least accurate was gestational age (0.75 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.79)).Conclusion SNAPPE II was the most accurate score found in this study. Despite this, the choice of score depends on the situation and setting in which the newborn is inserted, and it is up to the researcher to analyse and decide which one to use based on practicality and the possibility of local implementation. Given this, it is interesting to carry out new prospective studies to improve the prediction of neonatal deaths around the world.PROSPERO registration number CRD42023462425.https://bmjpaedsopen.bmj.com/content/8/1/e003067.full
spellingShingle Felipe C S Veloso
Carine R A Barros
Samir B Kassar
Ricardo Q Gurgel
Neonatal death prediction scores: a systematic review and meta-analysis
BMJ Paediatrics Open
title Neonatal death prediction scores: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full Neonatal death prediction scores: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_fullStr Neonatal death prediction scores: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_full_unstemmed Neonatal death prediction scores: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_short Neonatal death prediction scores: a systematic review and meta-analysis
title_sort neonatal death prediction scores a systematic review and meta analysis
url https://bmjpaedsopen.bmj.com/content/8/1/e003067.full
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AT carinerabarros neonataldeathpredictionscoresasystematicreviewandmetaanalysis
AT samirbkassar neonataldeathpredictionscoresasystematicreviewandmetaanalysis
AT ricardoqgurgel neonataldeathpredictionscoresasystematicreviewandmetaanalysis