Towards compliance with the 2021 WHO air quality guidelines: A comparative analysis of PM2.5 trends in australia and china

In 2021, the World Health Organization (WHO) released new Air Quality Guidelines (AQG) which significantly reduced the recommended annual mean concentration of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in ambient air from 10 μg/m3 (AQG 2005) to 5 μg/m3 (AQG 2021). Recent studies have shown that this challengi...

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Main Authors: Xuying Ma, Lidia Morawska, Bin Zou, Jay Gao, Jun Deng, Xiaoqi Wang, Haojie Wu, Xin Xu, Yifan Wang, Zelei Tan, Ningbo Jiang, Yunzhong Shen, Danyang Li, Jun Gao, Yuanyuan Fan, Jennifer Salmond
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-04-01
Series:Environment International
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412025001291
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author Xuying Ma
Lidia Morawska
Bin Zou
Jay Gao
Jun Deng
Xiaoqi Wang
Haojie Wu
Xin Xu
Yifan Wang
Zelei Tan
Ningbo Jiang
Yunzhong Shen
Danyang Li
Jun Gao
Yuanyuan Fan
Jennifer Salmond
author_facet Xuying Ma
Lidia Morawska
Bin Zou
Jay Gao
Jun Deng
Xiaoqi Wang
Haojie Wu
Xin Xu
Yifan Wang
Zelei Tan
Ningbo Jiang
Yunzhong Shen
Danyang Li
Jun Gao
Yuanyuan Fan
Jennifer Salmond
author_sort Xuying Ma
collection DOAJ
description In 2021, the World Health Organization (WHO) released new Air Quality Guidelines (AQG) which significantly reduced the recommended annual mean concentration of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in ambient air from 10 μg/m3 (AQG 2005) to 5 μg/m3 (AQG 2021). Recent studies have shown that this challenging new target may be close to or even below the background levels of PM2.5 resulting from non-anthropogenic activities in many regions globally, such as areas affected by desert dust. This raises an important question: can countries achieve compliance with the new guideline for PM2.5? Here we investigated this question from the perspective of two countries that fall on opposite ends of the spectrum of ambient air pollution. We examined historical PM2.5 trends based on observations of annual mean PM2.5 concentrations from 2013 to 2024 in eight capital cities of each state in Australia and 31 capital cities of each province in mainland China. A statistical model was used to differentiate the contributions of meteorological variations and anthropogenic drivers to determining the annual trends of PM2.5 concentrations. Subsequently, we analyzed and discussed the feasibility of meeting the guidelines for each city based on these results. Our findings demonstrate that compliance with the new guideline is largely achievable, or has the potential to be achieved, in more than half of the cities in Australia. Notably, there is a high probability that a city, after meeting the guideline, may return to the non-compliance again. In addition, in some cities, eliminating anthropogenic emissions may not lead to a significant further reduction in PM2.5 concentrations, and they might not achieve compliance. In contrast, PM2.5 concentrations are an order of magnitude higher in some cities in China, yet Lhasa holds the potential to become the first Chinese city to meet the guideline in the future. Meeting the new AQG is highly challenging for Chinese cities, and even if achievable, it will take a long time. However, it is certain that China still has significant potential for further reductions in PM2.5 concentrations. This can be achieved through the ongoing implementation of emission control measures and the transition to the use of new sources of energy to reduce anthropogenic emissions. This study provides insights into the development of city-specific policies for air pollution control and management in both Australia and China.
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spelling doaj-art-3f1ac9829f374fddbfac9f2288db783e2025-08-20T02:24:57ZengElsevierEnvironment International0160-41202025-04-0119810937810.1016/j.envint.2025.109378Towards compliance with the 2021 WHO air quality guidelines: A comparative analysis of PM2.5 trends in australia and chinaXuying Ma0Lidia Morawska1Bin Zou2Jay Gao3Jun Deng4Xiaoqi Wang5Haojie Wu6Xin Xu7Yifan Wang8Zelei Tan9Ningbo Jiang10Yunzhong Shen11Danyang Li12Jun Gao13Yuanyuan Fan14Jennifer Salmond15College of Geomatics, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, China; College of Safety Science and Engineering, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, China; International Laboratory for Air Quality and Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland 4000, AustraliaInternational Laboratory for Air Quality and Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland 4000, Australia; Corresponding authors at: International Laboratory for Air Quality and Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland 4000, Australia.School of Geosciences and Info-Physics, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan 410083, ChinaSchool of Environment, Faculty of Science, University of Auckland, Auckland 1010, New ZealandCollege of Safety Science and Engineering, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, China; Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Prevention and Control of Coal Fire, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, China; Corresponding author at: College of Safety Science and Engineering, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an, 710054, ChinaCollege of Geomatics, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, ChinaKey Laboratory for Semi-Arid Climate Change of the Ministry of Education, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, ChinaXi’an Institute for Innovative Earth Environment Research, Xi’an 710061, ChinaCollege of Geomatics, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, ChinaCollege of Geomatics, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, ChinaNSW Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water, Sydney 2141, AustraliaCollege of Surveying and Geo-Informatics, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, ChinaCollege of Geomatics, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, ChinaCollege of Geomatics, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, ChinaCollege of Geomatics, Xi’an University of Science and Technology, Xi’an 710054, ChinaSchool of Environment, Faculty of Science, University of Auckland, Auckland 1010, New ZealandIn 2021, the World Health Organization (WHO) released new Air Quality Guidelines (AQG) which significantly reduced the recommended annual mean concentration of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in ambient air from 10 μg/m3 (AQG 2005) to 5 μg/m3 (AQG 2021). Recent studies have shown that this challenging new target may be close to or even below the background levels of PM2.5 resulting from non-anthropogenic activities in many regions globally, such as areas affected by desert dust. This raises an important question: can countries achieve compliance with the new guideline for PM2.5? Here we investigated this question from the perspective of two countries that fall on opposite ends of the spectrum of ambient air pollution. We examined historical PM2.5 trends based on observations of annual mean PM2.5 concentrations from 2013 to 2024 in eight capital cities of each state in Australia and 31 capital cities of each province in mainland China. A statistical model was used to differentiate the contributions of meteorological variations and anthropogenic drivers to determining the annual trends of PM2.5 concentrations. Subsequently, we analyzed and discussed the feasibility of meeting the guidelines for each city based on these results. Our findings demonstrate that compliance with the new guideline is largely achievable, or has the potential to be achieved, in more than half of the cities in Australia. Notably, there is a high probability that a city, after meeting the guideline, may return to the non-compliance again. In addition, in some cities, eliminating anthropogenic emissions may not lead to a significant further reduction in PM2.5 concentrations, and they might not achieve compliance. In contrast, PM2.5 concentrations are an order of magnitude higher in some cities in China, yet Lhasa holds the potential to become the first Chinese city to meet the guideline in the future. Meeting the new AQG is highly challenging for Chinese cities, and even if achievable, it will take a long time. However, it is certain that China still has significant potential for further reductions in PM2.5 concentrations. This can be achieved through the ongoing implementation of emission control measures and the transition to the use of new sources of energy to reduce anthropogenic emissions. This study provides insights into the development of city-specific policies for air pollution control and management in both Australia and China.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412025001291air quality guideline (AQG)fine particulate matter (PM2.5)Meteorological factorsAnthropogenic driversAustraliaChina
spellingShingle Xuying Ma
Lidia Morawska
Bin Zou
Jay Gao
Jun Deng
Xiaoqi Wang
Haojie Wu
Xin Xu
Yifan Wang
Zelei Tan
Ningbo Jiang
Yunzhong Shen
Danyang Li
Jun Gao
Yuanyuan Fan
Jennifer Salmond
Towards compliance with the 2021 WHO air quality guidelines: A comparative analysis of PM2.5 trends in australia and china
Environment International
air quality guideline (AQG)
fine particulate matter (PM2.5)
Meteorological factors
Anthropogenic drivers
Australia
China
title Towards compliance with the 2021 WHO air quality guidelines: A comparative analysis of PM2.5 trends in australia and china
title_full Towards compliance with the 2021 WHO air quality guidelines: A comparative analysis of PM2.5 trends in australia and china
title_fullStr Towards compliance with the 2021 WHO air quality guidelines: A comparative analysis of PM2.5 trends in australia and china
title_full_unstemmed Towards compliance with the 2021 WHO air quality guidelines: A comparative analysis of PM2.5 trends in australia and china
title_short Towards compliance with the 2021 WHO air quality guidelines: A comparative analysis of PM2.5 trends in australia and china
title_sort towards compliance with the 2021 who air quality guidelines a comparative analysis of pm2 5 trends in australia and china
topic air quality guideline (AQG)
fine particulate matter (PM2.5)
Meteorological factors
Anthropogenic drivers
Australia
China
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160412025001291
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