Short-duration atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke: high risk despite subclinical burden-a prospective cohort study

Abstract Background and purpose Atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes ≥ 30 s are currently considered clinically relevant in stroke diagnostics. However, shorter AF episodes may signal a significant embolic risk, especially in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). This study invest...

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Main Authors: Priyanka Boettger, Karolis Macius, Jamschid Sedighi, Henning Lemm, Kerstin Piayda, Bernhard Unsoeld, Samuel Sossalla, Omar Alhaj Omar, Martin Juenemann, Michael Buerke
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-08-01
Series:BMC Cardiovascular Disorders
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-025-05080-1
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author Priyanka Boettger
Karolis Macius
Jamschid Sedighi
Henning Lemm
Kerstin Piayda
Bernhard Unsoeld
Samuel Sossalla
Omar Alhaj Omar
Martin Juenemann
Michael Buerke
author_facet Priyanka Boettger
Karolis Macius
Jamschid Sedighi
Henning Lemm
Kerstin Piayda
Bernhard Unsoeld
Samuel Sossalla
Omar Alhaj Omar
Martin Juenemann
Michael Buerke
author_sort Priyanka Boettger
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background and purpose Atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes ≥ 30 s are currently considered clinically relevant in stroke diagnostics. However, shorter AF episodes may signal a significant embolic risk, especially in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). This study investigates the prevalence, risk profile, and stroke severity associated with short-duration AF (SDAF < 30 s) across ischemic stroke subtypes. Methods We prospectively enrolled 714 consecutive patients with ischemic stroke or Transient ischemic attacks who underwent ≥ 48-hour ECG monitoring. AF episodes were classified as 0–14 s, 15–29 s, or ≥ 30 s. Stroke subtypes were defined using TOAST and ESUS criteria. Risk profiles, NIH Stroke Scale scores, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores were analyzed by AF duration. Results AF of any duration was detected in 53.8% of patients; 22.8% had episodes ≥ 30 s and 29.9% had SDAF. Among ESUS patients, 35.7% exhibited SDAF, and 80.2% of these had CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores ≥ 2. Stroke severity and risk scores were significantly higher in patients with SDAF than those without AF. SDAF was more prevalent in women (37.0%) and in individuals aged > 65 years (89.4%). Conclusions SDAF is common across stroke subtypes—particularly ESUS—and is associated with elevated thromboembolic risk despite falling below current diagnostic thresholds. These findings highlight a diagnostic blind spot in stroke workup and support reevaluation of duration-based criteria for post-stroke AF detection and risk profiling.
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spelling doaj-art-3e9446b8f7bc4e398aecdaab3b0a1e402025-08-24T11:06:42ZengBMCBMC Cardiovascular Disorders1471-22612025-08-0125111310.1186/s12872-025-05080-1Short-duration atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke: high risk despite subclinical burden-a prospective cohort studyPriyanka Boettger0Karolis Macius1Jamschid Sedighi2Henning Lemm3Kerstin Piayda4Bernhard Unsoeld5Samuel Sossalla6Omar Alhaj Omar7Martin Juenemann8Michael Buerke9Department of Internal Medicine I, Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Justus-Liebig University HospitalDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Justus-Liebig University HospitalDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Justus-Liebig University HospitalDepartment of Internal Medicine II, Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Heart-Center-SüdwestfalenDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Justus-Liebig University HospitalDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Justus-Liebig University HospitalDepartment of Internal Medicine I, Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Justus-Liebig University HospitalDepartment of Neurology, Justus-Liebig UniversityDepartment of Neurology, Justus-Liebig UniversityDepartment of Internal Medicine II, Cardiology, Angiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Heart-Center-SüdwestfalenAbstract Background and purpose Atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes ≥ 30 s are currently considered clinically relevant in stroke diagnostics. However, shorter AF episodes may signal a significant embolic risk, especially in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). This study investigates the prevalence, risk profile, and stroke severity associated with short-duration AF (SDAF < 30 s) across ischemic stroke subtypes. Methods We prospectively enrolled 714 consecutive patients with ischemic stroke or Transient ischemic attacks who underwent ≥ 48-hour ECG monitoring. AF episodes were classified as 0–14 s, 15–29 s, or ≥ 30 s. Stroke subtypes were defined using TOAST and ESUS criteria. Risk profiles, NIH Stroke Scale scores, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores were analyzed by AF duration. Results AF of any duration was detected in 53.8% of patients; 22.8% had episodes ≥ 30 s and 29.9% had SDAF. Among ESUS patients, 35.7% exhibited SDAF, and 80.2% of these had CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores ≥ 2. Stroke severity and risk scores were significantly higher in patients with SDAF than those without AF. SDAF was more prevalent in women (37.0%) and in individuals aged > 65 years (89.4%). Conclusions SDAF is common across stroke subtypes—particularly ESUS—and is associated with elevated thromboembolic risk despite falling below current diagnostic thresholds. These findings highlight a diagnostic blind spot in stroke workup and support reevaluation of duration-based criteria for post-stroke AF detection and risk profiling.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-025-05080-1Atrial fibrillationElectrocardiographyStroke/etiologyRisk assessmentIschemic strokeProspective studies
spellingShingle Priyanka Boettger
Karolis Macius
Jamschid Sedighi
Henning Lemm
Kerstin Piayda
Bernhard Unsoeld
Samuel Sossalla
Omar Alhaj Omar
Martin Juenemann
Michael Buerke
Short-duration atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke: high risk despite subclinical burden-a prospective cohort study
BMC Cardiovascular Disorders
Atrial fibrillation
Electrocardiography
Stroke/etiology
Risk assessment
Ischemic stroke
Prospective studies
title Short-duration atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke: high risk despite subclinical burden-a prospective cohort study
title_full Short-duration atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke: high risk despite subclinical burden-a prospective cohort study
title_fullStr Short-duration atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke: high risk despite subclinical burden-a prospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Short-duration atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke: high risk despite subclinical burden-a prospective cohort study
title_short Short-duration atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke: high risk despite subclinical burden-a prospective cohort study
title_sort short duration atrial fibrillation in ischemic stroke high risk despite subclinical burden a prospective cohort study
topic Atrial fibrillation
Electrocardiography
Stroke/etiology
Risk assessment
Ischemic stroke
Prospective studies
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-025-05080-1
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