Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate change
Abstract Climate change significantly affects the distribution of plant species, particularly that of relict plants. Tetraena mongolica Maxim. is a first-class endangered relict plant in China, primarily found in Inner Mongolia. This study explored the impact of multiple factors on its potential dis...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2024-11-01
|
| Series: | Scientific Reports |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-79088-6 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1850129701342806016 |
|---|---|
| author | Jingxia Guo Mingxu Zhang Yaqiong Bi Zezuan Zhao Ran Wang Minhui Li |
| author_facet | Jingxia Guo Mingxu Zhang Yaqiong Bi Zezuan Zhao Ran Wang Minhui Li |
| author_sort | Jingxia Guo |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Climate change significantly affects the distribution of plant species, particularly that of relict plants. Tetraena mongolica Maxim. is a first-class endangered relict plant in China, primarily found in Inner Mongolia. This study explored the impact of multiple factors on its potential distribution under climate change. Considering a comprehensive set of 42 potential influencing variables, including climate, soil, net primary productivity (NPP), human activities, and topography, 29 variables were selected. The maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used to construct separate climate and soil niche models, and an “overlay function” was employed to construct a dual-suitability model. By establishing five different scenarios, we analyzed the effects of climate, human activities, and NPP on T. mongolica distribution. The results showed that climate is the most significant factor, soil constraints limit its distribution, and human activities reduce its suitable habitats. Although the direct influence of NPP is limited, it may indirectly affect T. mongolica distribution by improving habitat conditions. Future climate change is expected to sharply reduce suitable habitat areas, with the center of distribution migrating eastward. The study’s findings imply that climate change, human activities, and soil conditions significantly impact the distribution and survival of the endangered plant T. mongolica, necessitating comprehensive conservation measures to mitigate habitat loss and ensure its preservation. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-3e8c8678839d43b98d98c0553ecb46a4 |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2045-2322 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-11-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Scientific Reports |
| spelling | doaj-art-3e8c8678839d43b98d98c0553ecb46a42025-08-20T02:32:53ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-11-0114111610.1038/s41598-024-79088-6Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate changeJingxia Guo0Mingxu Zhang1Yaqiong Bi2Zezuan Zhao3Ran Wang4Minhui Li5Baotou Medical CollegeState Key Laboratory for Quality Ensurance and Sustainable Use of Dao-di HerbsInner Mongolia Traditional Chinese & Mongolian Medical Research InstituteBaotou Medical CollegeBaotou Medical CollegeBaotou Medical CollegeAbstract Climate change significantly affects the distribution of plant species, particularly that of relict plants. Tetraena mongolica Maxim. is a first-class endangered relict plant in China, primarily found in Inner Mongolia. This study explored the impact of multiple factors on its potential distribution under climate change. Considering a comprehensive set of 42 potential influencing variables, including climate, soil, net primary productivity (NPP), human activities, and topography, 29 variables were selected. The maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model was used to construct separate climate and soil niche models, and an “overlay function” was employed to construct a dual-suitability model. By establishing five different scenarios, we analyzed the effects of climate, human activities, and NPP on T. mongolica distribution. The results showed that climate is the most significant factor, soil constraints limit its distribution, and human activities reduce its suitable habitats. Although the direct influence of NPP is limited, it may indirectly affect T. mongolica distribution by improving habitat conditions. Future climate change is expected to sharply reduce suitable habitat areas, with the center of distribution migrating eastward. The study’s findings imply that climate change, human activities, and soil conditions significantly impact the distribution and survival of the endangered plant T. mongolica, necessitating comprehensive conservation measures to mitigate habitat loss and ensure its preservation.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-79088-6ClimateEndangeredHumanNiche modelingNPPRelict |
| spellingShingle | Jingxia Guo Mingxu Zhang Yaqiong Bi Zezuan Zhao Ran Wang Minhui Li Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate change Scientific Reports Climate Endangered Human Niche modeling NPP Relict |
| title | Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate change |
| title_full | Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate change |
| title_fullStr | Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate change |
| title_short | Spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant Tetraena mongolica in inner Mongolia, China under climate change |
| title_sort | spatiotemporal distribution prediction of the relict and endangered plant tetraena mongolica in inner mongolia china under climate change |
| topic | Climate Endangered Human Niche modeling NPP Relict |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-79088-6 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT jingxiaguo spatiotemporaldistributionpredictionoftherelictandendangeredplanttetraenamongolicaininnermongoliachinaunderclimatechange AT mingxuzhang spatiotemporaldistributionpredictionoftherelictandendangeredplanttetraenamongolicaininnermongoliachinaunderclimatechange AT yaqiongbi spatiotemporaldistributionpredictionoftherelictandendangeredplanttetraenamongolicaininnermongoliachinaunderclimatechange AT zezuanzhao spatiotemporaldistributionpredictionoftherelictandendangeredplanttetraenamongolicaininnermongoliachinaunderclimatechange AT ranwang spatiotemporaldistributionpredictionoftherelictandendangeredplanttetraenamongolicaininnermongoliachinaunderclimatechange AT minhuili spatiotemporaldistributionpredictionoftherelictandendangeredplanttetraenamongolicaininnermongoliachinaunderclimatechange |