A novel way to use cross-validation to measure connectivity by machine learning allows epilepsy surgery outcome prediction

The rate of success of epilepsy surgery, ensuring seizure-freedom, is limited by the lack of epileptogenicity biomarkers. Previous evidence supports the critical role of functional connectivity during seizure generation to characterize the epileptogenic network (EN). However, EN dynamics is highly v...

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Main Authors: Karla Ivankovic, Alessandro Principe, Justo Montoya-Gálvez, Linus Manubens-Gil, Riccardo Zucca, Pablo Villoslada, Mara Dierssen, Rodrigo Rocamora
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:NeuroImage
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1053811924004877
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author Karla Ivankovic
Alessandro Principe
Justo Montoya-Gálvez
Linus Manubens-Gil
Riccardo Zucca
Pablo Villoslada
Mara Dierssen
Rodrigo Rocamora
author_facet Karla Ivankovic
Alessandro Principe
Justo Montoya-Gálvez
Linus Manubens-Gil
Riccardo Zucca
Pablo Villoslada
Mara Dierssen
Rodrigo Rocamora
author_sort Karla Ivankovic
collection DOAJ
description The rate of success of epilepsy surgery, ensuring seizure-freedom, is limited by the lack of epileptogenicity biomarkers. Previous evidence supports the critical role of functional connectivity during seizure generation to characterize the epileptogenic network (EN). However, EN dynamics is highly variable across patients, hindering the development of diagnostic biomarkers. Without relying on specific connectivity variables, we focused on a general hypothesis that the EN undergoes the greatest magnitude of connectivity change during seizure generation, compared to other brain networks. To test this hypothesis, we developed a novel method for quantifying connectivity change between network states and applied it to identify surgical resection areas.A network state was represented by random snapshots of connectivity within a defined time interval of an intracranial EEG recording. A binary classifier was applied to classify two network states. The classifier generalization performance estimated by cross-validation was employed as a continuous measure of connectivity change. The algorithm generated a network by iteratively adding nodes until the connectivity change magnitude decreased. The resulting network was compared to the surgical resection, and the overlap score was used to predict post-surgical outcomes. The framework was evaluated in a consecutive cohort of 21 patients with a post-surgical follow-up of minimum 3 years.The best overlap between connectivity change networks and resections was obtained at the transition from pre-seizure to seizure (surgical outcome prediction ROC-AUC=90.3 %). However, all patients except one were correctly classified when considering the most informative time intervals. Time intervals proportional to seizure length were more informative than the almost universally used fixed intervals.This study demonstrates that connectivity can be successfully classified with a machine learning analysis and provide information for distinguishing a separate epileptogenic functional network. In summary, the connectivity change analysis could accurately identify epileptogenic networks validated by surgery outcome classification. Connectivity change magnitude at seizure transition could potentially serve as an EN biomarker. The tool provided by this study may aid surgical decision-making.
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spelling doaj-art-3e60a98642e041d782f39f51d8a6af672025-01-23T05:26:19ZengElsevierNeuroImage1095-95722025-02-01306120990A novel way to use cross-validation to measure connectivity by machine learning allows epilepsy surgery outcome predictionKarla Ivankovic0Alessandro Principe1Justo Montoya-Gálvez2Linus Manubens-Gil3Riccardo Zucca4Pablo Villoslada5Mara Dierssen6Rodrigo Rocamora7Hospital del Mar Research Institute, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08003 Barcelona, SpainHospital del Mar Research Institute, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Epilepsy Unit - Neurology Dept. Hospital del Mar, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Corresponding author at: Hospital del Mar, Passeig Marítim 25-29, 08003 Barcelona, Spain.Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08003 Barcelona, SpainNew Cornerstone Science Laboratory, SEU-ALLEN Joint Center, State Key Laboratory of Digital Medical Engineering, Institute for Brain and Intelligence, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210096, ChinaHospital del Mar Research Institute, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Radboud University, Nijmegen, the NetherlandsHospital del Mar Research Institute, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08003 Barcelona, SpainHospital del Mar Research Institute, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Centre for Genomic Regulation (CRG), The Barcelona Institute for Science and Technology (BIST) 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Biomedical Research Networking Center on Rare Diseases (CIBERER), Barcelona, SpainHospital del Mar Research Institute, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08003 Barcelona, Spain; Epilepsy Unit - Neurology Dept. Hospital del Mar, 08003 Barcelona, SpainThe rate of success of epilepsy surgery, ensuring seizure-freedom, is limited by the lack of epileptogenicity biomarkers. Previous evidence supports the critical role of functional connectivity during seizure generation to characterize the epileptogenic network (EN). However, EN dynamics is highly variable across patients, hindering the development of diagnostic biomarkers. Without relying on specific connectivity variables, we focused on a general hypothesis that the EN undergoes the greatest magnitude of connectivity change during seizure generation, compared to other brain networks. To test this hypothesis, we developed a novel method for quantifying connectivity change between network states and applied it to identify surgical resection areas.A network state was represented by random snapshots of connectivity within a defined time interval of an intracranial EEG recording. A binary classifier was applied to classify two network states. The classifier generalization performance estimated by cross-validation was employed as a continuous measure of connectivity change. The algorithm generated a network by iteratively adding nodes until the connectivity change magnitude decreased. The resulting network was compared to the surgical resection, and the overlap score was used to predict post-surgical outcomes. The framework was evaluated in a consecutive cohort of 21 patients with a post-surgical follow-up of minimum 3 years.The best overlap between connectivity change networks and resections was obtained at the transition from pre-seizure to seizure (surgical outcome prediction ROC-AUC=90.3 %). However, all patients except one were correctly classified when considering the most informative time intervals. Time intervals proportional to seizure length were more informative than the almost universally used fixed intervals.This study demonstrates that connectivity can be successfully classified with a machine learning analysis and provide information for distinguishing a separate epileptogenic functional network. In summary, the connectivity change analysis could accurately identify epileptogenic networks validated by surgery outcome classification. Connectivity change magnitude at seizure transition could potentially serve as an EN biomarker. The tool provided by this study may aid surgical decision-making.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1053811924004877Machine learningFunctional connectivitySeizure generationEpileptogenic networkEpilepsy surgeryOutcome prediction
spellingShingle Karla Ivankovic
Alessandro Principe
Justo Montoya-Gálvez
Linus Manubens-Gil
Riccardo Zucca
Pablo Villoslada
Mara Dierssen
Rodrigo Rocamora
A novel way to use cross-validation to measure connectivity by machine learning allows epilepsy surgery outcome prediction
NeuroImage
Machine learning
Functional connectivity
Seizure generation
Epileptogenic network
Epilepsy surgery
Outcome prediction
title A novel way to use cross-validation to measure connectivity by machine learning allows epilepsy surgery outcome prediction
title_full A novel way to use cross-validation to measure connectivity by machine learning allows epilepsy surgery outcome prediction
title_fullStr A novel way to use cross-validation to measure connectivity by machine learning allows epilepsy surgery outcome prediction
title_full_unstemmed A novel way to use cross-validation to measure connectivity by machine learning allows epilepsy surgery outcome prediction
title_short A novel way to use cross-validation to measure connectivity by machine learning allows epilepsy surgery outcome prediction
title_sort novel way to use cross validation to measure connectivity by machine learning allows epilepsy surgery outcome prediction
topic Machine learning
Functional connectivity
Seizure generation
Epileptogenic network
Epilepsy surgery
Outcome prediction
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1053811924004877
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