TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS

Recent studies have shown the classification and prediction power of the Neural Networks. It has been demonstrated that a NN can approximate any continuous function. Neural networks have been successfully used for forecasting of financial data series. The classical methods used for time series predi...

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Main Authors: BOGDAN OANCEA, ŞTEFAN CRISTIAN CIUCU
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nicolae Titulescu University Publishing House 2013-05-01
Series:Challenges of the Knowledge Society
Subjects:
Online Access:http://cks.univnt.ro/uploads/cks_2013_articles/index.php?dir=4_IT_in_Social_Sciences%2F&download=cks_2013_it_002.pdf
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author BOGDAN OANCEA
ŞTEFAN CRISTIAN CIUCU
author_facet BOGDAN OANCEA
ŞTEFAN CRISTIAN CIUCU
author_sort BOGDAN OANCEA
collection DOAJ
description Recent studies have shown the classification and prediction power of the Neural Networks. It has been demonstrated that a NN can approximate any continuous function. Neural networks have been successfully used for forecasting of financial data series. The classical methods used for time series prediction like Box-Jenkins or ARIMA assumes that there is a linear relationship between inputs and outputs. Neural Networks have the advantage that can approximate nonlinear functions. In this paper we compared the performances of different feed forward and recurrent neural networks and training algorithms for predicting the exchange rate EUR/RON and USD/RON. We used data series with daily exchange rates starting from 2005 until 2013.
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spelling doaj-art-3e58e7ca71fa4369ae13367ab3e98e972025-01-02T18:49:14ZengNicolae Titulescu University Publishing HouseChallenges of the Knowledge Society2068-77962068-77962013-05-013-14021408TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKSBOGDAN OANCEA0ŞTEFAN CRISTIAN CIUCU1Professor, PhD, “Nicolae Titulescu” University of Bucharest (email: bogdan.oancea@gmail.com).IT Director, “Nicolae Titulescu” University (email: stefanciucu@yahoo.com).Recent studies have shown the classification and prediction power of the Neural Networks. It has been demonstrated that a NN can approximate any continuous function. Neural networks have been successfully used for forecasting of financial data series. The classical methods used for time series prediction like Box-Jenkins or ARIMA assumes that there is a linear relationship between inputs and outputs. Neural Networks have the advantage that can approximate nonlinear functions. In this paper we compared the performances of different feed forward and recurrent neural networks and training algorithms for predicting the exchange rate EUR/RON and USD/RON. We used data series with daily exchange rates starting from 2005 until 2013.http://cks.univnt.ro/uploads/cks_2013_articles/index.php?dir=4_IT_in_Social_Sciences%2F&download=cks_2013_it_002.pdfneural networkstime seriesforecastingexchange ratepredicting
spellingShingle BOGDAN OANCEA
ŞTEFAN CRISTIAN CIUCU
TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS
Challenges of the Knowledge Society
neural networks
time series
forecasting
exchange rate
predicting
title TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS
title_full TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS
title_fullStr TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS
title_full_unstemmed TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS
title_short TIME SERIES FORECASTING USING NEURAL NETWORKS
title_sort time series forecasting using neural networks
topic neural networks
time series
forecasting
exchange rate
predicting
url http://cks.univnt.ro/uploads/cks_2013_articles/index.php?dir=4_IT_in_Social_Sciences%2F&download=cks_2013_it_002.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT bogdanoancea timeseriesforecastingusingneuralnetworks
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