Comparison of Statistical Methods to Graphical Methods in Rainfall Trend Analysis: Case Studies from Tropical Catchments

Time series analyses for climatic factors are important in climate predictions. Rainfall is being one of the most important climatic factors in today’s concern for future predictions; thus, many researchers analyze the data series for identifying potential rainfall trends. The literature shows sever...

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Main Author: Upaka Rathnayake
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2019-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/8603586
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author Upaka Rathnayake
author_facet Upaka Rathnayake
author_sort Upaka Rathnayake
collection DOAJ
description Time series analyses for climatic factors are important in climate predictions. Rainfall is being one of the most important climatic factors in today’s concern for future predictions; thus, many researchers analyze the data series for identifying potential rainfall trends. The literature shows several methods in identifying rainfall trends. However, statistical trend analysis using Mann–Kendall equation and graphical trend analysis are the two widely used and simplest tests in trend analysis. Nevertheless, there are few studies in comparing various methods in the trend analysis to suggest the simplest methods in analyzing rainfall trends. Therefore, this paper presents a comparison analysis of statistical and graphical trend analysis techniques for two tropical catchments in Sri Lanka. Results reveal that, in general, both trend analysis techniques produce comparable results in identifying rainfall trends for different time steps including annual, seasonal, and monthly rainfalls.
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institution Kabale University
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spelling doaj-art-3e027bfbc7254fc4a96f361753ef4b162025-02-03T01:00:00ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172019-01-01201910.1155/2019/86035868603586Comparison of Statistical Methods to Graphical Methods in Rainfall Trend Analysis: Case Studies from Tropical CatchmentsUpaka Rathnayake0Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Sri Lanka Institute of Information Technology, New Kandy Road, Malabe, Colombo, Sri LankaTime series analyses for climatic factors are important in climate predictions. Rainfall is being one of the most important climatic factors in today’s concern for future predictions; thus, many researchers analyze the data series for identifying potential rainfall trends. The literature shows several methods in identifying rainfall trends. However, statistical trend analysis using Mann–Kendall equation and graphical trend analysis are the two widely used and simplest tests in trend analysis. Nevertheless, there are few studies in comparing various methods in the trend analysis to suggest the simplest methods in analyzing rainfall trends. Therefore, this paper presents a comparison analysis of statistical and graphical trend analysis techniques for two tropical catchments in Sri Lanka. Results reveal that, in general, both trend analysis techniques produce comparable results in identifying rainfall trends for different time steps including annual, seasonal, and monthly rainfalls.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/8603586
spellingShingle Upaka Rathnayake
Comparison of Statistical Methods to Graphical Methods in Rainfall Trend Analysis: Case Studies from Tropical Catchments
Advances in Meteorology
title Comparison of Statistical Methods to Graphical Methods in Rainfall Trend Analysis: Case Studies from Tropical Catchments
title_full Comparison of Statistical Methods to Graphical Methods in Rainfall Trend Analysis: Case Studies from Tropical Catchments
title_fullStr Comparison of Statistical Methods to Graphical Methods in Rainfall Trend Analysis: Case Studies from Tropical Catchments
title_full_unstemmed Comparison of Statistical Methods to Graphical Methods in Rainfall Trend Analysis: Case Studies from Tropical Catchments
title_short Comparison of Statistical Methods to Graphical Methods in Rainfall Trend Analysis: Case Studies from Tropical Catchments
title_sort comparison of statistical methods to graphical methods in rainfall trend analysis case studies from tropical catchments
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/8603586
work_keys_str_mv AT upakarathnayake comparisonofstatisticalmethodstographicalmethodsinrainfalltrendanalysiscasestudiesfromtropicalcatchments