End-to-End Collaborative Optimization Method for Microgrid Power Prediction and Optimal Scheduling

Microgrids, as one of the effective methods for integrating new energy sources, play a crucial role in the new-type power systems. In microgrids with high renewable energy penetration, the objectives of renewable energy power forecasting and microgrid optimal scheduling may be misaligned. To address...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: ZHANG Li, WANG Bao, JIA Jianxiong, SONG Zhumeng, YE Yutong, YU Yue, LIN Jiaqing, XU Xiaoyuan
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Journal of Shanghai Jiao Tong University 2025-06-01
Series:Shanghai Jiaotong Daxue xuebao
Subjects:
Online Access:https://xuebao.sjtu.edu.cn/article/2025/1006-2467/1006-2467-59-6-720.shtml
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849421299556810752
author ZHANG Li, WANG Bao, JIA Jianxiong, SONG Zhumeng, YE Yutong, YU Yue, LIN Jiaqing, XU Xiaoyuan
author_facet ZHANG Li, WANG Bao, JIA Jianxiong, SONG Zhumeng, YE Yutong, YU Yue, LIN Jiaqing, XU Xiaoyuan
author_sort ZHANG Li, WANG Bao, JIA Jianxiong, SONG Zhumeng, YE Yutong, YU Yue, LIN Jiaqing, XU Xiaoyuan
collection DOAJ
description Microgrids, as one of the effective methods for integrating new energy sources, play a crucial role in the new-type power systems. In microgrids with high renewable energy penetration, the objectives of renewable energy power forecasting and microgrid optimal scheduling may be misaligned. To address this issue, this study proposes an end-to-end optimization model which combines power forecasting with day-ahead and intraday scheduling to maximize the operational benefits of the microgrid. It also provides a corresponding solution method. Initially, a bi-level optimization framework is established. The upper level focuses on training the power forecasting model, formulated as a combined forecasting problem, while the lower level aims to minimize microgrid operational costs. The result of the lower-level optimization is used as the loss function to optimize the forecasting weights in the upper level. Subsequently, a heuristic algorithm iteratively is employed to solve the upper and lower level problems, thereby obtaining forecasting results and scheduling schemes which minimize the operational costs. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method in enhancing microgrid operational benefits is validated by integrating real renewable energy data into a typical microgrid extended from the IEEE 33-node and IEEE 123-node systems.
format Article
id doaj-art-3c8ff1c2b7894c2aa034cfd6dbf08c29
institution Kabale University
issn 1006-2467
language zho
publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Editorial Office of Journal of Shanghai Jiao Tong University
record_format Article
series Shanghai Jiaotong Daxue xuebao
spelling doaj-art-3c8ff1c2b7894c2aa034cfd6dbf08c292025-08-20T03:31:30ZzhoEditorial Office of Journal of Shanghai Jiao Tong UniversityShanghai Jiaotong Daxue xuebao1006-24672025-06-0159672073110.16183/j.cnki.jsjtu.2024.224End-to-End Collaborative Optimization Method for Microgrid Power Prediction and Optimal SchedulingZHANG Li, WANG Bao, JIA Jianxiong, SONG Zhumeng, YE Yutong, YU Yue, LIN Jiaqing, XU Xiaoyuan01. Economic and Technological Research Institute, State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co., Ltd., Hefei 230000, China;2. Key Laboratory of Control of Power Transmission and Conversion of the Ministry of Education, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, ChinaMicrogrids, as one of the effective methods for integrating new energy sources, play a crucial role in the new-type power systems. In microgrids with high renewable energy penetration, the objectives of renewable energy power forecasting and microgrid optimal scheduling may be misaligned. To address this issue, this study proposes an end-to-end optimization model which combines power forecasting with day-ahead and intraday scheduling to maximize the operational benefits of the microgrid. It also provides a corresponding solution method. Initially, a bi-level optimization framework is established. The upper level focuses on training the power forecasting model, formulated as a combined forecasting problem, while the lower level aims to minimize microgrid operational costs. The result of the lower-level optimization is used as the loss function to optimize the forecasting weights in the upper level. Subsequently, a heuristic algorithm iteratively is employed to solve the upper and lower level problems, thereby obtaining forecasting results and scheduling schemes which minimize the operational costs. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method in enhancing microgrid operational benefits is validated by integrating real renewable energy data into a typical microgrid extended from the IEEE 33-node and IEEE 123-node systems.https://xuebao.sjtu.edu.cn/article/2025/1006-2467/1006-2467-59-6-720.shtmlmicrogrid schedulingnew energy predictioncomposite forecastingend-to-end optimization
spellingShingle ZHANG Li, WANG Bao, JIA Jianxiong, SONG Zhumeng, YE Yutong, YU Yue, LIN Jiaqing, XU Xiaoyuan
End-to-End Collaborative Optimization Method for Microgrid Power Prediction and Optimal Scheduling
Shanghai Jiaotong Daxue xuebao
microgrid scheduling
new energy prediction
composite forecasting
end-to-end optimization
title End-to-End Collaborative Optimization Method for Microgrid Power Prediction and Optimal Scheduling
title_full End-to-End Collaborative Optimization Method for Microgrid Power Prediction and Optimal Scheduling
title_fullStr End-to-End Collaborative Optimization Method for Microgrid Power Prediction and Optimal Scheduling
title_full_unstemmed End-to-End Collaborative Optimization Method for Microgrid Power Prediction and Optimal Scheduling
title_short End-to-End Collaborative Optimization Method for Microgrid Power Prediction and Optimal Scheduling
title_sort end to end collaborative optimization method for microgrid power prediction and optimal scheduling
topic microgrid scheduling
new energy prediction
composite forecasting
end-to-end optimization
url https://xuebao.sjtu.edu.cn/article/2025/1006-2467/1006-2467-59-6-720.shtml
work_keys_str_mv AT zhangliwangbaojiajianxiongsongzhumengyeyutongyuyuelinjiaqingxuxiaoyuan endtoendcollaborativeoptimizationmethodformicrogridpowerpredictionandoptimalscheduling