Toward Smart Condition Monitoring of Rotatory Machines: An Optimized Probabilistic Signal Reconstruction Methodology for Fault Prediction With Multisource Uncertainties

Faults in the critical components of a large rotatory machine often result in unplanned breakdowns, leading to a significant loss of property and life. Condition monitoring, as a key component in the smart maintenance of industrial equipment, has become a promising tool for providing automatic early...

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Main Authors: Xiaomo Jiang, Weijian Tang, Haixin Zhao, Xueyu Cheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2022-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
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Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9791218/
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author Xiaomo Jiang
Weijian Tang
Haixin Zhao
Xueyu Cheng
author_facet Xiaomo Jiang
Weijian Tang
Haixin Zhao
Xueyu Cheng
author_sort Xiaomo Jiang
collection DOAJ
description Faults in the critical components of a large rotatory machine often result in unplanned breakdowns, leading to a significant loss of property and life. Condition monitoring, as a key component in the smart maintenance of industrial equipment, has become a promising tool for providing automatic early alerting of potential damage to critical components, thus reducing potential outages and improving system safety and reliability while lowering maintenance costs. This is still a very challenging topic in various industrial fields because of data imperfection and multivariate correlation, as well as the variation in faults and components in different machines. This paper presents an optimized probabilistic signal reconstruction methodology to address these challenges in the fault prediction of rotatory machines using multivariate vibration signals. Three signal reconstruction methods, that is, Bayesian wavelet multiscale decomposition, probabilistic principal component analysis, and auto-associative kernel regression, were seamlessly integrated to address the noise, high dimensionality, and correlation in the sensed multivariate vibration data for accurate fault prediction. The bandwidth parameter in the auto-associative kernel regression approach was optimized to represent the health status of the rotatory machine. The obtained model was further utilized to predict the responses under unknown conditions. The alerting threshold, based on the squared mean errors of the predicted and measured time series, was automatically adjusted using a rolling window strategy and then employed to predict the possible fault. Finally, the validity, feasibility and generalization of the proposed methodology are illustrated by applying two cases of different rotating machines: centrifugal compressor and gas turbine.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2022-01-01
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spelling doaj-art-3c8baaeac61e4a128486a0b4655d2ad62025-08-20T03:31:52ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362022-01-0110608626087510.1109/ACCESS.2022.31808889791218Toward Smart Condition Monitoring of Rotatory Machines: An Optimized Probabilistic Signal Reconstruction Methodology for Fault Prediction With Multisource UncertaintiesXiaomo Jiang0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1172-3397Weijian Tang1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2774-0239Haixin Zhao2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8709-7885Xueyu Cheng3Provincial Key Laboratory of Digital Twin for Industrial Equipment, and the State Key Laboratory of Structural Analysis for Industrial Equipment, School of Energy and Power Engineering, Research Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaProvincial Key Laboratory of Digital Twin for Industrial Equipment, and the State Key Laboratory of Structural Analysis for Industrial Equipment, School of Energy and Power Engineering, Research Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaProvincial Key Laboratory of Digital Twin for Industrial Equipment, and the State Key Laboratory of Structural Analysis for Industrial Equipment, School of Energy and Power Engineering, Research Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaCollege of Arts and Sciences, Clayton State University, Morrow, GA, USAFaults in the critical components of a large rotatory machine often result in unplanned breakdowns, leading to a significant loss of property and life. Condition monitoring, as a key component in the smart maintenance of industrial equipment, has become a promising tool for providing automatic early alerting of potential damage to critical components, thus reducing potential outages and improving system safety and reliability while lowering maintenance costs. This is still a very challenging topic in various industrial fields because of data imperfection and multivariate correlation, as well as the variation in faults and components in different machines. This paper presents an optimized probabilistic signal reconstruction methodology to address these challenges in the fault prediction of rotatory machines using multivariate vibration signals. Three signal reconstruction methods, that is, Bayesian wavelet multiscale decomposition, probabilistic principal component analysis, and auto-associative kernel regression, were seamlessly integrated to address the noise, high dimensionality, and correlation in the sensed multivariate vibration data for accurate fault prediction. The bandwidth parameter in the auto-associative kernel regression approach was optimized to represent the health status of the rotatory machine. The obtained model was further utilized to predict the responses under unknown conditions. The alerting threshold, based on the squared mean errors of the predicted and measured time series, was automatically adjusted using a rolling window strategy and then employed to predict the possible fault. Finally, the validity, feasibility and generalization of the proposed methodology are illustrated by applying two cases of different rotating machines: centrifugal compressor and gas turbine.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9791218/Bayesian waveletssimilarity-based learningOAKRsignal reconstructionPPCAfault prediction
spellingShingle Xiaomo Jiang
Weijian Tang
Haixin Zhao
Xueyu Cheng
Toward Smart Condition Monitoring of Rotatory Machines: An Optimized Probabilistic Signal Reconstruction Methodology for Fault Prediction With Multisource Uncertainties
IEEE Access
Bayesian wavelets
similarity-based learning
OAKR
signal reconstruction
PPCA
fault prediction
title Toward Smart Condition Monitoring of Rotatory Machines: An Optimized Probabilistic Signal Reconstruction Methodology for Fault Prediction With Multisource Uncertainties
title_full Toward Smart Condition Monitoring of Rotatory Machines: An Optimized Probabilistic Signal Reconstruction Methodology for Fault Prediction With Multisource Uncertainties
title_fullStr Toward Smart Condition Monitoring of Rotatory Machines: An Optimized Probabilistic Signal Reconstruction Methodology for Fault Prediction With Multisource Uncertainties
title_full_unstemmed Toward Smart Condition Monitoring of Rotatory Machines: An Optimized Probabilistic Signal Reconstruction Methodology for Fault Prediction With Multisource Uncertainties
title_short Toward Smart Condition Monitoring of Rotatory Machines: An Optimized Probabilistic Signal Reconstruction Methodology for Fault Prediction With Multisource Uncertainties
title_sort toward smart condition monitoring of rotatory machines an optimized probabilistic signal reconstruction methodology for fault prediction with multisource uncertainties
topic Bayesian wavelets
similarity-based learning
OAKR
signal reconstruction
PPCA
fault prediction
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9791218/
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AT haixinzhao towardsmartconditionmonitoringofrotatorymachinesanoptimizedprobabilisticsignalreconstructionmethodologyforfaultpredictionwithmultisourceuncertainties
AT xueyucheng towardsmartconditionmonitoringofrotatorymachinesanoptimizedprobabilisticsignalreconstructionmethodologyforfaultpredictionwithmultisourceuncertainties