Water constraint mitigation and agricultural productivity: Evidence from the China’s South-to-North Water Diversion Project

Water scarcity is a critical constraint on agricultural productivity, particularly in northern China. The South-to-North Water Diversion (SNWD) project, launched in 2014, aims to alleviate this constraint by reallocating water resources across regions. This study evaluates the long-term impact of th...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Zehui Wang, Jianhui Xie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Agricultural Water Management
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377425002252
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849716083541409792
author Zehui Wang
Jianhui Xie
author_facet Zehui Wang
Jianhui Xie
author_sort Zehui Wang
collection DOAJ
description Water scarcity is a critical constraint on agricultural productivity, particularly in northern China. The South-to-North Water Diversion (SNWD) project, launched in 2014, aims to alleviate this constraint by reallocating water resources across regions. This study evaluates the long-term impact of the SNWD project on regional Agricultural Total Factor Productivity (ATFP) by employing a two-step approach based on Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and a Difference-in-Differences (DID) framework. First, we construct a comprehensive efficiency indicator based on DEA methodology to measure ATFP. Second, we exploit the opening of the middle route of the SNWD project as a quasi-natural experiment and estimate its impact on ATFP through a DID model. The results show that the SNWD project has increased the ATFP in the traversed counties by 0.412 (13.55 %). Moreover, the SNWD project has a stronger effect on enhancing ATFP in counties with lower precipitation and non-rice-producing counties, which indicates that the SNWD project can significantly improve ATFP by mitigating water scarcity. Additionally, the SNWD project has a more significant impact on improving ATFP in regions with a higher proportion of grain crops, revealing the crucial role of structural adjustments in enhancing agricultural productivity.
format Article
id doaj-art-3c84ba0842df4d7c85d711bd9ff2e5b9
institution DOAJ
issn 1873-2283
language English
publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Agricultural Water Management
spelling doaj-art-3c84ba0842df4d7c85d711bd9ff2e5b92025-08-20T03:13:08ZengElsevierAgricultural Water Management1873-22832025-06-0131410951110.1016/j.agwat.2025.109511Water constraint mitigation and agricultural productivity: Evidence from the China’s South-to-North Water Diversion ProjectZehui Wang0Jianhui Xie1Business School, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Center for Innovation and Development Studies (Zhuhai), Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai 519087, ChinaInternational School of Business & Finance, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai 519082, China; Corresponding author.Water scarcity is a critical constraint on agricultural productivity, particularly in northern China. The South-to-North Water Diversion (SNWD) project, launched in 2014, aims to alleviate this constraint by reallocating water resources across regions. This study evaluates the long-term impact of the SNWD project on regional Agricultural Total Factor Productivity (ATFP) by employing a two-step approach based on Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and a Difference-in-Differences (DID) framework. First, we construct a comprehensive efficiency indicator based on DEA methodology to measure ATFP. Second, we exploit the opening of the middle route of the SNWD project as a quasi-natural experiment and estimate its impact on ATFP through a DID model. The results show that the SNWD project has increased the ATFP in the traversed counties by 0.412 (13.55 %). Moreover, the SNWD project has a stronger effect on enhancing ATFP in counties with lower precipitation and non-rice-producing counties, which indicates that the SNWD project can significantly improve ATFP by mitigating water scarcity. Additionally, the SNWD project has a more significant impact on improving ATFP in regions with a higher proportion of grain crops, revealing the crucial role of structural adjustments in enhancing agricultural productivity.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377425002252South-to-North Water Diversion ProjectData envelopment analysisAgricultural total factors productivityDifference-in-differences model
spellingShingle Zehui Wang
Jianhui Xie
Water constraint mitigation and agricultural productivity: Evidence from the China’s South-to-North Water Diversion Project
Agricultural Water Management
South-to-North Water Diversion Project
Data envelopment analysis
Agricultural total factors productivity
Difference-in-differences model
title Water constraint mitigation and agricultural productivity: Evidence from the China’s South-to-North Water Diversion Project
title_full Water constraint mitigation and agricultural productivity: Evidence from the China’s South-to-North Water Diversion Project
title_fullStr Water constraint mitigation and agricultural productivity: Evidence from the China’s South-to-North Water Diversion Project
title_full_unstemmed Water constraint mitigation and agricultural productivity: Evidence from the China’s South-to-North Water Diversion Project
title_short Water constraint mitigation and agricultural productivity: Evidence from the China’s South-to-North Water Diversion Project
title_sort water constraint mitigation and agricultural productivity evidence from the china s south to north water diversion project
topic South-to-North Water Diversion Project
Data envelopment analysis
Agricultural total factors productivity
Difference-in-differences model
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377425002252
work_keys_str_mv AT zehuiwang waterconstraintmitigationandagriculturalproductivityevidencefromthechinassouthtonorthwaterdiversionproject
AT jianhuixie waterconstraintmitigationandagriculturalproductivityevidencefromthechinassouthtonorthwaterdiversionproject