A Modification of Multiple Discrete-Continuous (MDC) Choice Model to Consider Nonmonotonic Preference in Episode-Level Time-Use Behaviors

The multiple discrete-continuous extreme value model with ordered preferences (MDCEV-OP) has broad prospects in activity-based modeling (ABM) since it can model episode-level time-use decisions and ensure a logical prediction across different episodes of an activity. However, the current MDCEV-OP fr...

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Main Authors: Mengyi Wang, Xin Ye, Ke Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/atr/7114605
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author Mengyi Wang
Xin Ye
Ke Wang
author_facet Mengyi Wang
Xin Ye
Ke Wang
author_sort Mengyi Wang
collection DOAJ
description The multiple discrete-continuous extreme value model with ordered preferences (MDCEV-OP) has broad prospects in activity-based modeling (ABM) since it can model episode-level time-use decisions and ensure a logical prediction across different episodes of an activity. However, the current MDCEV-OP framework assumes a monotonically increasing utility function for each episode alternative, which fails to accommodate potential nonmonotonic preference in episode-level time consumption. In this paper, we modify the traditional MDCEV-OP model by adding a baseline marginal utility parameter, making the model more flexible to reflect the potential nonmonotonic preference in episode-level time-use behaviors, as well as ensuring the logically consistent prediction as in the traditional model. To our knowledge, it is the first time to develop an episode-level MDCEV model that considers nonmonotonic preference. The new MDCEV-OP model was applied to analyze the episode-level time-use pattern of noncommuters in Shanghai, China. The empirical results show that the new model provides plausible explanations for nonmonotonic preference in episode-level time-use behaviors and outperforms the traditional model both in data fitting and forecasting performance.
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spelling doaj-art-3c4569c1a8384be08931b2e0741d60bb2025-08-20T02:29:29ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation2042-31952025-01-01202510.1155/atr/7114605A Modification of Multiple Discrete-Continuous (MDC) Choice Model to Consider Nonmonotonic Preference in Episode-Level Time-Use BehaviorsMengyi Wang0Xin Ye1Ke Wang2Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of Ministry of EducationKey Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of Ministry of EducationBusiness SchoolThe multiple discrete-continuous extreme value model with ordered preferences (MDCEV-OP) has broad prospects in activity-based modeling (ABM) since it can model episode-level time-use decisions and ensure a logical prediction across different episodes of an activity. However, the current MDCEV-OP framework assumes a monotonically increasing utility function for each episode alternative, which fails to accommodate potential nonmonotonic preference in episode-level time consumption. In this paper, we modify the traditional MDCEV-OP model by adding a baseline marginal utility parameter, making the model more flexible to reflect the potential nonmonotonic preference in episode-level time-use behaviors, as well as ensuring the logically consistent prediction as in the traditional model. To our knowledge, it is the first time to develop an episode-level MDCEV model that considers nonmonotonic preference. The new MDCEV-OP model was applied to analyze the episode-level time-use pattern of noncommuters in Shanghai, China. The empirical results show that the new model provides plausible explanations for nonmonotonic preference in episode-level time-use behaviors and outperforms the traditional model both in data fitting and forecasting performance.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/atr/7114605
spellingShingle Mengyi Wang
Xin Ye
Ke Wang
A Modification of Multiple Discrete-Continuous (MDC) Choice Model to Consider Nonmonotonic Preference in Episode-Level Time-Use Behaviors
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title A Modification of Multiple Discrete-Continuous (MDC) Choice Model to Consider Nonmonotonic Preference in Episode-Level Time-Use Behaviors
title_full A Modification of Multiple Discrete-Continuous (MDC) Choice Model to Consider Nonmonotonic Preference in Episode-Level Time-Use Behaviors
title_fullStr A Modification of Multiple Discrete-Continuous (MDC) Choice Model to Consider Nonmonotonic Preference in Episode-Level Time-Use Behaviors
title_full_unstemmed A Modification of Multiple Discrete-Continuous (MDC) Choice Model to Consider Nonmonotonic Preference in Episode-Level Time-Use Behaviors
title_short A Modification of Multiple Discrete-Continuous (MDC) Choice Model to Consider Nonmonotonic Preference in Episode-Level Time-Use Behaviors
title_sort modification of multiple discrete continuous mdc choice model to consider nonmonotonic preference in episode level time use behaviors
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/atr/7114605
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