Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in China

It is crucial to elucidate the impact of climate change on wheat production in China. This article provides a review of the current climate change scenario and its effects on wheat cultivation in China, along with an examination of potential future impacts and possible response strategies. Against t...

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Main Authors: Yu-chen Fan, Ya-qi Yuan, Ya-chao Yuan, Wen-jing Duan, Zhi-qiang Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: PeerJ Inc. 2025-01-01
Series:PeerJ
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Online Access:https://peerj.com/articles/18569.pdf
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author Yu-chen Fan
Ya-qi Yuan
Ya-chao Yuan
Wen-jing Duan
Zhi-qiang Gao
author_facet Yu-chen Fan
Ya-qi Yuan
Ya-chao Yuan
Wen-jing Duan
Zhi-qiang Gao
author_sort Yu-chen Fan
collection DOAJ
description It is crucial to elucidate the impact of climate change on wheat production in China. This article provides a review of the current climate change scenario and its effects on wheat cultivation in China, along with an examination of potential future impacts and possible response strategies. Against the backdrop of climate change, several key trends emerge: increasing temperature during the wheat growing season, raising precipitation, elevated CO2 concentration, and diminished radiation. Agricultural disasters primarily stem from oscillations in temperature and precipitation, with the northern wheat region being mostly affected. The impact on wheat production is manifested in a reduction in the area under cultivation, with the most rapid reduction in spring wheat, and a shift in the center of cultivation to the west. Furthermore, climate change accelerates the nutritional stage and shortens phenology. Climate change has also led to an increase in yields in the Northeast spring wheat region, the Northern spring wheat region, the Northwest spring wheat region, and the North China winter wheat region, and a decrease in yields in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River winter wheat region, the Southwest winter wheat region, and the South China winter wheat region. To cope with climate change, Chinese wheat can adopt adaptation strategies and measures such as breeding different wheat varieties for different wheat-growing regions, implementing differentiated farmland management measures, promoting regional ecological farmland construction, and establishing scientific monitoring and early warning systems. While future climate change may stimulate wheat yield potential, it could cause climate-induced issues such as weeds, diseases, and pests worsen, thereby posing challenges to the sustainability of farmland. Moreover, it is essential to conduct comprehensive research on pivotal areas such as the microscopic mechanism of climate change and wheat growth, the comprehensive influence of multiple climate factors, and the application of new monitoring and simulation technologies. This will facilitate the advancement of related research and provide invaluable insights.
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spelling doaj-art-3c2e81cc9d974f558920efc817ef30372025-01-08T15:05:21ZengPeerJ Inc.PeerJ2167-83592025-01-0113e1856910.7717/peerj.18569Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in ChinaYu-chen Fan0Ya-qi Yuan1Ya-chao Yuan2Wen-jing Duan3Zhi-qiang Gao4College of Agriculture, Shanxi Agricultural University, Shanxi, Jinzhong, ChinaCollege of Agriculture, Shanxi Agricultural University, Shanxi, Jinzhong, ChinaCollege of Agriculture, Shanxi Agricultural University, Shanxi, Jinzhong, ChinaDepartment of Biological and Technology, Jinzhong University, Shanxi, Jinzhong, ChinaCollege of Agriculture, Shanxi Agricultural University, Shanxi, Jinzhong, ChinaIt is crucial to elucidate the impact of climate change on wheat production in China. This article provides a review of the current climate change scenario and its effects on wheat cultivation in China, along with an examination of potential future impacts and possible response strategies. Against the backdrop of climate change, several key trends emerge: increasing temperature during the wheat growing season, raising precipitation, elevated CO2 concentration, and diminished radiation. Agricultural disasters primarily stem from oscillations in temperature and precipitation, with the northern wheat region being mostly affected. The impact on wheat production is manifested in a reduction in the area under cultivation, with the most rapid reduction in spring wheat, and a shift in the center of cultivation to the west. Furthermore, climate change accelerates the nutritional stage and shortens phenology. Climate change has also led to an increase in yields in the Northeast spring wheat region, the Northern spring wheat region, the Northwest spring wheat region, and the North China winter wheat region, and a decrease in yields in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River winter wheat region, the Southwest winter wheat region, and the South China winter wheat region. To cope with climate change, Chinese wheat can adopt adaptation strategies and measures such as breeding different wheat varieties for different wheat-growing regions, implementing differentiated farmland management measures, promoting regional ecological farmland construction, and establishing scientific monitoring and early warning systems. While future climate change may stimulate wheat yield potential, it could cause climate-induced issues such as weeds, diseases, and pests worsen, thereby posing challenges to the sustainability of farmland. Moreover, it is essential to conduct comprehensive research on pivotal areas such as the microscopic mechanism of climate change and wheat growth, the comprehensive influence of multiple climate factors, and the application of new monitoring and simulation technologies. This will facilitate the advancement of related research and provide invaluable insights.https://peerj.com/articles/18569.pdfClimate changeYieldNutritional stagePlanting area
spellingShingle Yu-chen Fan
Ya-qi Yuan
Ya-chao Yuan
Wen-jing Duan
Zhi-qiang Gao
Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in China
PeerJ
Climate change
Yield
Nutritional stage
Planting area
title Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in China
title_full Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in China
title_fullStr Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in China
title_full_unstemmed Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in China
title_short Research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in China
title_sort research progress on the impact of climate change on wheat production in china
topic Climate change
Yield
Nutritional stage
Planting area
url https://peerj.com/articles/18569.pdf
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