Risk identification and prevention of multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills
Amid increasing extreme weather events driven by global climate change, pre-emptive emergency drills are vital for strengthening disaster resilience. This paper focuses on risk identification and prevention in multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills, aiming to achieve effective ris...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-12-01
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| Series: | Progress in Disaster Science |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061725000559 |
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| author | Feifeng Cao Changhui Chen Conglin Zhang Jianwu Xing |
| author_facet | Feifeng Cao Changhui Chen Conglin Zhang Jianwu Xing |
| author_sort | Feifeng Cao |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Amid increasing extreme weather events driven by global climate change, pre-emptive emergency drills are vital for strengthening disaster resilience. This paper focuses on risk identification and prevention in multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills, aiming to achieve effective risk management across administrative levels. Through literature review and expert consultation, 24 risk factors were hierarchically identified. A quantitative risk assessment model was developed by integrating the risk matrix and cloud model eigenvalues. The results show that risks are the most serious at municipal-level drills, with 20 risk factors (79.17 % of the total) at Level-III and above, decreasing at lower administrative levels (where risk level are categorized into Level-I (Major), Level-II (Large), Level-III (General), and Level-IV (Low) based on the risk matrix integrating likelihood and consequence levels, and Level-III and above risks may trigger resource wastage, drill failure, or even personnel casualties). Temporally, 39 risk factors at Level-III and above were concentrated in preparation stages across all administrative levels, declining to 3 such risk factors during rectification stage. Spatially, the number of risk factors peaked during the municipal-level and county-level preparation stages (11 risk factors respectively at Level-III and above), with their quantity gradually decreasing as the administrative level decreases and drill stages advance. Based on these findings, a systematic risk prevention matrix is proposed to offer targeted guidance for multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills in addressing climate change-induced disaster challenges. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-3ab53893dcee4fb898ab722c8b339a66 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2590-0617 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-12-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Progress in Disaster Science |
| spelling | doaj-art-3ab53893dcee4fb898ab722c8b339a662025-08-20T05:07:31ZengElsevierProgress in Disaster Science2590-06172025-12-012810045810.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100458Risk identification and prevention of multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drillsFeifeng Cao0Changhui Chen1Conglin Zhang2Jianwu Xing3College of Civil Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, 288 Liu xia Road, Hangzhou 310012, ChinaCollege of Civil Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, 288 Liu xia Road, Hangzhou 310012, ChinaInstitutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, School of Public Policy and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Zhong guan cun bei yi tiao Alley NO. 15 Haidian District, Beijing 100190, China; Corresponding author.Aviation Rescue Center, Zhejiang Province Department of Emergency Management, No. 140 Wensan Road, Xihu District, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province 310007, ChinaAmid increasing extreme weather events driven by global climate change, pre-emptive emergency drills are vital for strengthening disaster resilience. This paper focuses on risk identification and prevention in multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills, aiming to achieve effective risk management across administrative levels. Through literature review and expert consultation, 24 risk factors were hierarchically identified. A quantitative risk assessment model was developed by integrating the risk matrix and cloud model eigenvalues. The results show that risks are the most serious at municipal-level drills, with 20 risk factors (79.17 % of the total) at Level-III and above, decreasing at lower administrative levels (where risk level are categorized into Level-I (Major), Level-II (Large), Level-III (General), and Level-IV (Low) based on the risk matrix integrating likelihood and consequence levels, and Level-III and above risks may trigger resource wastage, drill failure, or even personnel casualties). Temporally, 39 risk factors at Level-III and above were concentrated in preparation stages across all administrative levels, declining to 3 such risk factors during rectification stage. Spatially, the number of risk factors peaked during the municipal-level and county-level preparation stages (11 risk factors respectively at Level-III and above), with their quantity gradually decreasing as the administrative level decreases and drill stages advance. Based on these findings, a systematic risk prevention matrix is proposed to offer targeted guidance for multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills in addressing climate change-induced disaster challenges.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061725000559Emergency drillsRisk identificationAdministrative levelsRisk assessmentStagesRisk prevention |
| spellingShingle | Feifeng Cao Changhui Chen Conglin Zhang Jianwu Xing Risk identification and prevention of multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills Progress in Disaster Science Emergency drills Risk identification Administrative levels Risk assessment Stages Risk prevention |
| title | Risk identification and prevention of multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills |
| title_full | Risk identification and prevention of multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills |
| title_fullStr | Risk identification and prevention of multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills |
| title_full_unstemmed | Risk identification and prevention of multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills |
| title_short | Risk identification and prevention of multi-level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills |
| title_sort | risk identification and prevention of multi level flood and typhoon prevention emergency drills |
| topic | Emergency drills Risk identification Administrative levels Risk assessment Stages Risk prevention |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590061725000559 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT feifengcao riskidentificationandpreventionofmultilevelfloodandtyphoonpreventionemergencydrills AT changhuichen riskidentificationandpreventionofmultilevelfloodandtyphoonpreventionemergencydrills AT conglinzhang riskidentificationandpreventionofmultilevelfloodandtyphoonpreventionemergencydrills AT jianwuxing riskidentificationandpreventionofmultilevelfloodandtyphoonpreventionemergencydrills |