Influence of Altitude on the Spatiotemporal Variations of Meteorological Droughts in Mountain Regions of the Free State Province, South Africa (1960–2013)

The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was computed for October to December (OND) and January to March (JFM) summer subseasons for Free State Province, South Africa, to assess the influence of altitude on drought severity and frequency. The observed spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the SPI variab...

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Main Authors: M. Mbiriri, G. Mukwada, D. Manatsa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/5206151
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author M. Mbiriri
G. Mukwada
D. Manatsa
author_facet M. Mbiriri
G. Mukwada
D. Manatsa
author_sort M. Mbiriri
collection DOAJ
description The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was computed for October to December (OND) and January to March (JFM) summer subseasons for Free State Province, South Africa, to assess the influence of altitude on drought severity and frequency. The observed spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the SPI variability revealed that factors governing drought interannual variability varied markedly within the region for the two subseasons. Strong correlations between r=0.76 and 0.93 across the clusters in both subseasons were observed. Significant shift in average SPI, towards the high during the OND subseason, was detected for the far western low-lying and central regions of the province around the 1990s. An ANOVA test revealed a significant relationship between drought severity and altitude during the OND subseason only. The impact of altitude is partly manifested in the strong relationship between meridional winds and SPI extremes. When the winds are largely northerly, Free State lies predominantly in the windward side of the Drakensberg Mountains but lies in the rain shadow when the winds are mostly southerly. The relationship between ENSO and SPI indicates stronger correlations for the early summer subseason than for the late summer subseason while overall presenting a diminishing intensity with height over the province.
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spelling doaj-art-3a13cc49a011481da93ba4fe5705b6f52025-02-03T01:03:49ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172018-01-01201810.1155/2018/52061515206151Influence of Altitude on the Spatiotemporal Variations of Meteorological Droughts in Mountain Regions of the Free State Province, South Africa (1960–2013)M. Mbiriri0G. Mukwada1D. Manatsa2Department of Geography, University of the Free State, QwaQwa Campus, P. Bag X13, Phuthaditjhaba, South AfricaDepartment of Geography, University of the Free State, QwaQwa Campus, P. Bag X13, Phuthaditjhaba, South AfricaDepartment of Geography, University of the Free State, QwaQwa Campus, P. Bag X13, Phuthaditjhaba, South AfricaThe Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was computed for October to December (OND) and January to March (JFM) summer subseasons for Free State Province, South Africa, to assess the influence of altitude on drought severity and frequency. The observed spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the SPI variability revealed that factors governing drought interannual variability varied markedly within the region for the two subseasons. Strong correlations between r=0.76 and 0.93 across the clusters in both subseasons were observed. Significant shift in average SPI, towards the high during the OND subseason, was detected for the far western low-lying and central regions of the province around the 1990s. An ANOVA test revealed a significant relationship between drought severity and altitude during the OND subseason only. The impact of altitude is partly manifested in the strong relationship between meridional winds and SPI extremes. When the winds are largely northerly, Free State lies predominantly in the windward side of the Drakensberg Mountains but lies in the rain shadow when the winds are mostly southerly. The relationship between ENSO and SPI indicates stronger correlations for the early summer subseason than for the late summer subseason while overall presenting a diminishing intensity with height over the province.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/5206151
spellingShingle M. Mbiriri
G. Mukwada
D. Manatsa
Influence of Altitude on the Spatiotemporal Variations of Meteorological Droughts in Mountain Regions of the Free State Province, South Africa (1960–2013)
Advances in Meteorology
title Influence of Altitude on the Spatiotemporal Variations of Meteorological Droughts in Mountain Regions of the Free State Province, South Africa (1960–2013)
title_full Influence of Altitude on the Spatiotemporal Variations of Meteorological Droughts in Mountain Regions of the Free State Province, South Africa (1960–2013)
title_fullStr Influence of Altitude on the Spatiotemporal Variations of Meteorological Droughts in Mountain Regions of the Free State Province, South Africa (1960–2013)
title_full_unstemmed Influence of Altitude on the Spatiotemporal Variations of Meteorological Droughts in Mountain Regions of the Free State Province, South Africa (1960–2013)
title_short Influence of Altitude on the Spatiotemporal Variations of Meteorological Droughts in Mountain Regions of the Free State Province, South Africa (1960–2013)
title_sort influence of altitude on the spatiotemporal variations of meteorological droughts in mountain regions of the free state province south africa 1960 2013
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/5206151
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AT dmanatsa influenceofaltitudeonthespatiotemporalvariationsofmeteorologicaldroughtsinmountainregionsofthefreestateprovincesouthafrica19602013