Runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi-source data collaboration analysis on historical cases

ABSTRACT: Long runout landslides involve a massive amount of energy and can be extremely hazardous owing to their long movement distance, high mobility and strong destructive power. Numerical methods have been widely used to predict the landslide runout but a fundamental problem remained is how to d...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jun Sun, Yu Zhuang, Ai-guo Xing
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2024-04-01
Series:China Geology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2096519224001083
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850092759432560640
author Jun Sun
Yu Zhuang
Ai-guo Xing
author_facet Jun Sun
Yu Zhuang
Ai-guo Xing
author_sort Jun Sun
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT: Long runout landslides involve a massive amount of energy and can be extremely hazardous owing to their long movement distance, high mobility and strong destructive power. Numerical methods have been widely used to predict the landslide runout but a fundamental problem remained is how to determine the reliable numerical parameters. This study proposes a framework to predict the runout of potential landslides through multi-source data collaboration and numerical analysis of historical landslide events. Specifically, for the historical landslide cases, the landslide-induced seismic signal, geophysical surveys, and possible in-situ drone/phone videos (multi-source data collaboration) can validate the numerical results in terms of landslide dynamics and deposit features and help calibrate the numerical (rheological) parameters. Subsequently, the calibrated numerical parameters can be used to numerically predict the runout of potential landslides in the region with a similar geological setting to the recorded events. Application of the runout prediction approach to the 2020 Jiashanying landslide in Guizhou, China gives reasonable results in comparison to the field observations. The numerical parameters are determined from the multi-source data collaboration analysis of a historical case in the region (2019 Shuicheng landslide). The proposed framework for landslide runout prediction can be of great utility for landslide risk assessment and disaster reduction in mountainous regions worldwide.
format Article
id doaj-art-395a344d151745d9879b3a8e06f2a2cc
institution DOAJ
issn 2589-9430
language English
publishDate 2024-04-01
publisher KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
record_format Article
series China Geology
spelling doaj-art-395a344d151745d9879b3a8e06f2a2cc2025-08-20T02:42:04ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.China Geology2589-94302024-04-017226427610.31035/cg2023138Runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi-source data collaboration analysis on historical casesJun Sun0Yu Zhuang1Ai-guo Xing2Guizhou Geology and Mineral Engineering Construction Co., Ltd, Guiyang 550000, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Ocean Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Ocean Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China; Corresponding author:ABSTRACT: Long runout landslides involve a massive amount of energy and can be extremely hazardous owing to their long movement distance, high mobility and strong destructive power. Numerical methods have been widely used to predict the landslide runout but a fundamental problem remained is how to determine the reliable numerical parameters. This study proposes a framework to predict the runout of potential landslides through multi-source data collaboration and numerical analysis of historical landslide events. Specifically, for the historical landslide cases, the landslide-induced seismic signal, geophysical surveys, and possible in-situ drone/phone videos (multi-source data collaboration) can validate the numerical results in terms of landslide dynamics and deposit features and help calibrate the numerical (rheological) parameters. Subsequently, the calibrated numerical parameters can be used to numerically predict the runout of potential landslides in the region with a similar geological setting to the recorded events. Application of the runout prediction approach to the 2020 Jiashanying landslide in Guizhou, China gives reasonable results in comparison to the field observations. The numerical parameters are determined from the multi-source data collaboration analysis of a historical case in the region (2019 Shuicheng landslide). The proposed framework for landslide runout prediction can be of great utility for landslide risk assessment and disaster reduction in mountainous regions worldwide.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2096519224001083Landslide runout predictionDrone surveyMulti-source data collaborationDAN3D numerical modelingJianshanying landslideGuizhou Province
spellingShingle Jun Sun
Yu Zhuang
Ai-guo Xing
Runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi-source data collaboration analysis on historical cases
China Geology
Landslide runout prediction
Drone survey
Multi-source data collaboration
DAN3D numerical modeling
Jianshanying landslide
Guizhou Province
title Runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi-source data collaboration analysis on historical cases
title_full Runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi-source data collaboration analysis on historical cases
title_fullStr Runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi-source data collaboration analysis on historical cases
title_full_unstemmed Runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi-source data collaboration analysis on historical cases
title_short Runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi-source data collaboration analysis on historical cases
title_sort runout prediction of potential landslides based on the multi source data collaboration analysis on historical cases
topic Landslide runout prediction
Drone survey
Multi-source data collaboration
DAN3D numerical modeling
Jianshanying landslide
Guizhou Province
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2096519224001083
work_keys_str_mv AT junsun runoutpredictionofpotentiallandslidesbasedonthemultisourcedatacollaborationanalysisonhistoricalcases
AT yuzhuang runoutpredictionofpotentiallandslidesbasedonthemultisourcedatacollaborationanalysisonhistoricalcases
AT aiguoxing runoutpredictionofpotentiallandslidesbasedonthemultisourcedatacollaborationanalysisonhistoricalcases