Physically based cold regions river flood prediction in data‐sparse regions: The Yukon River Basin flow forecasting system
Abstract The Yukon River Basin (YRB) is one of the most important river networks shared between Canada and The United States, and is one of the largest river basins in the subarctic region of North America. The Canadian part of the YRB is characterized by steeply sloped, partly glaciated mountain he...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2025-03-01
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| Series: | Journal of Flood Risk Management |
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| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12835 |
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| author | Mohamed Elshamy Youssef Loukili John W. Pomeroy Alain Pietroniro Dominique Richard Daniel Princz |
| author_facet | Mohamed Elshamy Youssef Loukili John W. Pomeroy Alain Pietroniro Dominique Richard Daniel Princz |
| author_sort | Mohamed Elshamy |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract The Yukon River Basin (YRB) is one of the most important river networks shared between Canada and The United States, and is one of the largest river basins in the subarctic region of North America. The Canadian part of the YRB is characterized by steeply sloped, partly glaciated mountain headwaters that generate considerable runoff during melt of glaciers and seasonal snowcover. Snow redistribution, snowmelt, glacier melt and freezing–thawing soil processes in winter and spring along with summertime rainfall‐runoff and evapotranspiration processes are thus key components of streamflow generation in the basin, making conceptual rainfall‐runoff models unsuitable for this cold region. Due to the remote high latitudes and high altitudes of the basin, there is a paucity of observational data, making heavily calibrated conceptual modeling approaches infeasible. At the request of the Yukon Government, this project developed and operationalized a streamflow forecasting system for the Yukon River and several of its tributary rivers using a distributed land surface modeling approach developed for large‐scale implementation in cold regions. This represents a substantial advance in bringing operational hydrological forecasting to the Canadian subarctic for the first time. This experience will inform future research to operation improvements as Canada develops a nationally coordinated flood forecast system. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-39555dcbf70e4af1824aa2bd776b161a |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1753-318X |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-03-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Flood Risk Management |
| spelling | doaj-art-39555dcbf70e4af1824aa2bd776b161a2025-08-20T01:49:58ZengWileyJournal of Flood Risk Management1753-318X2025-03-01181n/an/a10.1111/jfr3.12835Physically based cold regions river flood prediction in data‐sparse regions: The Yukon River Basin flow forecasting systemMohamed Elshamy0Youssef Loukili1John W. Pomeroy2Alain Pietroniro3Dominique Richard4Daniel Princz5Centre for Hydrology University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon Saskatchewan CanadaCentre for Hydrology University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon Saskatchewan CanadaCentre for Hydrology University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon Saskatchewan CanadaCentre for Hydrology University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon Saskatchewan CanadaCentre for Hydrology University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon Saskatchewan CanadaNational Hydrological Service Environment and Climate Change Canada Saskatoon Saskatchewan CanadaAbstract The Yukon River Basin (YRB) is one of the most important river networks shared between Canada and The United States, and is one of the largest river basins in the subarctic region of North America. The Canadian part of the YRB is characterized by steeply sloped, partly glaciated mountain headwaters that generate considerable runoff during melt of glaciers and seasonal snowcover. Snow redistribution, snowmelt, glacier melt and freezing–thawing soil processes in winter and spring along with summertime rainfall‐runoff and evapotranspiration processes are thus key components of streamflow generation in the basin, making conceptual rainfall‐runoff models unsuitable for this cold region. Due to the remote high latitudes and high altitudes of the basin, there is a paucity of observational data, making heavily calibrated conceptual modeling approaches infeasible. At the request of the Yukon Government, this project developed and operationalized a streamflow forecasting system for the Yukon River and several of its tributary rivers using a distributed land surface modeling approach developed for large‐scale implementation in cold regions. This represents a substantial advance in bringing operational hydrological forecasting to the Canadian subarctic for the first time. This experience will inform future research to operation improvements as Canada develops a nationally coordinated flood forecast system.https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12835flood generationforecasting and warninghydrological modeling |
| spellingShingle | Mohamed Elshamy Youssef Loukili John W. Pomeroy Alain Pietroniro Dominique Richard Daniel Princz Physically based cold regions river flood prediction in data‐sparse regions: The Yukon River Basin flow forecasting system Journal of Flood Risk Management flood generation forecasting and warning hydrological modeling |
| title | Physically based cold regions river flood prediction in data‐sparse regions: The Yukon River Basin flow forecasting system |
| title_full | Physically based cold regions river flood prediction in data‐sparse regions: The Yukon River Basin flow forecasting system |
| title_fullStr | Physically based cold regions river flood prediction in data‐sparse regions: The Yukon River Basin flow forecasting system |
| title_full_unstemmed | Physically based cold regions river flood prediction in data‐sparse regions: The Yukon River Basin flow forecasting system |
| title_short | Physically based cold regions river flood prediction in data‐sparse regions: The Yukon River Basin flow forecasting system |
| title_sort | physically based cold regions river flood prediction in data sparse regions the yukon river basin flow forecasting system |
| topic | flood generation forecasting and warning hydrological modeling |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12835 |
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