Assessment of the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty

The study covers the assessment of the possibilities of expanding the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of geopolitical tension and sanction restrictions. The relevance of the work is caused by the need to form sources of financial resources to ensure long-term sustainability of regiona...

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Main Author: Svetlana E. Demidova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Togliatti State University 2025-03-01
Series:Цифровая экономика и инновации
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vektornaukieconomika.ru/jour/article/view/856/792
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author Svetlana E. Demidova
author_facet Svetlana E. Demidova
author_sort Svetlana E. Demidova
collection DOAJ
description The study covers the assessment of the possibilities of expanding the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of geopolitical tension and sanction restrictions. The relevance of the work is caused by the need to form sources of financial resources to ensure long-term sustainability of regional budgets and maintain economic growth, taking into account the increase in the period for achieving national development goals, ensuring financial and technological sovereignty. The purpose of the work is to identify reserves for expanding the fiscal space of regions based on the analysis of the dynamics of public debt and to develop proposals for expanding the fiscal space, subject to ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty. The paper analyzes the dynamics of the public debt of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation for the period 2020–2022, its structure and relationship with the gross regional product. The methodological base includes statistical analysis of the dynamics of public debt and gross regional product (GRP), regression analysis using the integrated least-squares model, fixed-effects and random-effects models, which allows identifying the impact of public debt on the economic development of the regions. The author notes a positive relationship between the growth of public debt and the increase in real GRP (elasticity of 1.125 %), which confirms the potential of debt financing to stimulate economic growth with certain limitations. The structure of debt obligations has shifted towards budget loans, which indicates the priority of non-market financing instruments. Excessive debt growth creates risks for long-term financial sustainability, especially in the context of increasing costs of it’s servicing. The paper suggests areas for expanding the fiscal space, including optimizing the debt structure, increasing the efficiency of budgetary processes and stimulating innovation and investment processes, prioritizing expenses, financial stimulation of industries related to technology development, and introducing digital technologies into the management of fiscal and economic processes.
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spelling doaj-art-38aef0bdc03d434f94ad8bd55a1ecf8d2025-08-20T03:04:35ZengTogliatti State UniversityЦифровая экономика и инновации3034-20743034-42042025-03-01-151710.18323/3034-2074-2025-1-60-1Assessment of the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereigntySvetlana E. Demidova0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2169-4190Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow (Russia)The study covers the assessment of the possibilities of expanding the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of geopolitical tension and sanction restrictions. The relevance of the work is caused by the need to form sources of financial resources to ensure long-term sustainability of regional budgets and maintain economic growth, taking into account the increase in the period for achieving national development goals, ensuring financial and technological sovereignty. The purpose of the work is to identify reserves for expanding the fiscal space of regions based on the analysis of the dynamics of public debt and to develop proposals for expanding the fiscal space, subject to ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty. The paper analyzes the dynamics of the public debt of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation for the period 2020–2022, its structure and relationship with the gross regional product. The methodological base includes statistical analysis of the dynamics of public debt and gross regional product (GRP), regression analysis using the integrated least-squares model, fixed-effects and random-effects models, which allows identifying the impact of public debt on the economic development of the regions. The author notes a positive relationship between the growth of public debt and the increase in real GRP (elasticity of 1.125 %), which confirms the potential of debt financing to stimulate economic growth with certain limitations. The structure of debt obligations has shifted towards budget loans, which indicates the priority of non-market financing instruments. Excessive debt growth creates risks for long-term financial sustainability, especially in the context of increasing costs of it’s servicing. The paper suggests areas for expanding the fiscal space, including optimizing the debt structure, increasing the efficiency of budgetary processes and stimulating innovation and investment processes, prioritizing expenses, financial stimulation of industries related to technology development, and introducing digital technologies into the management of fiscal and economic processes.https://vektornaukieconomika.ru/jour/article/view/856/792fiscal spacepublic debt managementdebt sustainabilityfiscal policysustainable developmenttechnological sovereignty
spellingShingle Svetlana E. Demidova
Assessment of the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty
Цифровая экономика и инновации
fiscal space
public debt management
debt sustainability
fiscal policy
sustainable development
technological sovereignty
title Assessment of the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty
title_full Assessment of the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty
title_fullStr Assessment of the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty
title_short Assessment of the fiscal space of Russian regions in the context of ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty
title_sort assessment of the fiscal space of russian regions in the context of ensuring sustainable development and achieving technological sovereignty
topic fiscal space
public debt management
debt sustainability
fiscal policy
sustainable development
technological sovereignty
url https://vektornaukieconomika.ru/jour/article/view/856/792
work_keys_str_mv AT svetlanaedemidova assessmentofthefiscalspaceofrussianregionsinthecontextofensuringsustainabledevelopmentandachievingtechnologicalsovereignty