Future of Mathematical Modelling: A Review of COVID-19 Infected Cases Using S-I-R Model
The spread of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has resulted in chaos around the globe. The infected cases are still increasing, with many countries still showing a trend of growing daily cases. To forecast the trend of active cases, a mathematical model, namely the SIR model was used, to visuali...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
University of Baghdad, College of Science for Women
2021-03-01
|
| Series: | مجلة بغداد للعلوم |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://bsj.uobaghdad.edu.iq/index.php/BSJ/article/view/5909 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1849253761952776192 |
|---|---|
| author | Azrul Azim Mohd Yunus Arif Asraf Mohd Yunus Muhammad Safwan Ibrahim Shahrina Ismail |
| author_facet | Azrul Azim Mohd Yunus Arif Asraf Mohd Yunus Muhammad Safwan Ibrahim Shahrina Ismail |
| author_sort | Azrul Azim Mohd Yunus |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The spread of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has resulted in chaos around the globe. The infected cases are still increasing, with many countries still showing a trend of growing daily cases. To forecast the trend of active cases, a mathematical model, namely the SIR model was used, to visualize the spread of COVID-19. For this article, the forecast of the spread of the virus in Malaysia has been made, assuming that all Malaysian will eventually be susceptible. With no vaccine and antiviral drug currently developed, the visualization of how the peak of infection (namely flattening the curve) can be reduced to minimize the effect of COVID-19 disease. For Malaysians, let’s ensure to follow the rules and obey the SOP to lower the R0 value from time to time, hoping that the virus will vanish one day. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-378d14cbc6a84abd80d0e583bbbe02f1 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2078-8665 2411-7986 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2021-03-01 |
| publisher | University of Baghdad, College of Science for Women |
| record_format | Article |
| series | مجلة بغداد للعلوم |
| spelling | doaj-art-378d14cbc6a84abd80d0e583bbbe02f12025-08-20T03:56:13ZengUniversity of Baghdad, College of Science for Womenمجلة بغداد للعلوم2078-86652411-79862021-03-01181(Suppl.)10.21123/bsj.2021.18.1(Suppl.).0824Future of Mathematical Modelling: A Review of COVID-19 Infected Cases Using S-I-R ModelAzrul Azim Mohd Yunus0Arif Asraf Mohd Yunus1Muhammad Safwan Ibrahim2Shahrina Ismail3Department of Financial Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, University Sains Islam Malaysia, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia.Department of Financial Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, University Sains Islam Malaysia, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia.Department of Financial Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, University Sains Islam Malaysia, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia.Department of Financial Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Technology, University Sains Islam Malaysia, Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia.The spread of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has resulted in chaos around the globe. The infected cases are still increasing, with many countries still showing a trend of growing daily cases. To forecast the trend of active cases, a mathematical model, namely the SIR model was used, to visualize the spread of COVID-19. For this article, the forecast of the spread of the virus in Malaysia has been made, assuming that all Malaysian will eventually be susceptible. With no vaccine and antiviral drug currently developed, the visualization of how the peak of infection (namely flattening the curve) can be reduced to minimize the effect of COVID-19 disease. For Malaysians, let’s ensure to follow the rules and obey the SOP to lower the R0 value from time to time, hoping that the virus will vanish one day.https://bsj.uobaghdad.edu.iq/index.php/BSJ/article/view/5909SIR epidemic modelmathematical modellingCOVID-19 |
| spellingShingle | Azrul Azim Mohd Yunus Arif Asraf Mohd Yunus Muhammad Safwan Ibrahim Shahrina Ismail Future of Mathematical Modelling: A Review of COVID-19 Infected Cases Using S-I-R Model مجلة بغداد للعلوم SIR epidemic model mathematical modelling COVID-19 |
| title | Future of Mathematical Modelling: A Review of COVID-19 Infected Cases Using S-I-R Model |
| title_full | Future of Mathematical Modelling: A Review of COVID-19 Infected Cases Using S-I-R Model |
| title_fullStr | Future of Mathematical Modelling: A Review of COVID-19 Infected Cases Using S-I-R Model |
| title_full_unstemmed | Future of Mathematical Modelling: A Review of COVID-19 Infected Cases Using S-I-R Model |
| title_short | Future of Mathematical Modelling: A Review of COVID-19 Infected Cases Using S-I-R Model |
| title_sort | future of mathematical modelling a review of covid 19 infected cases using s i r model |
| topic | SIR epidemic model mathematical modelling COVID-19 |
| url | https://bsj.uobaghdad.edu.iq/index.php/BSJ/article/view/5909 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT azrulazimmohdyunus futureofmathematicalmodellingareviewofcovid19infectedcasesusingsirmodel AT arifasrafmohdyunus futureofmathematicalmodellingareviewofcovid19infectedcasesusingsirmodel AT muhammadsafwanibrahim futureofmathematicalmodellingareviewofcovid19infectedcasesusingsirmodel AT shahrinaismail futureofmathematicalmodellingareviewofcovid19infectedcasesusingsirmodel |