The opportunity cost of household transport expenditure in South Africa

Background: Transport affordability is a significant concern for South African households, who spend nearly a fifth of their budgets on transport. Contributing factors include a lack of affordable public transport options and spatial mismatch. Since 2015, stagnating national budgets and a declining...

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Main Authors: Mienke Knipe, Stephan Krygsman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AOSIS 2024-12-01
Series:Journal of Transport and Supply Chain Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jtscm.co.za/index.php/jtscm/article/view/1081
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author Mienke Knipe
Stephan Krygsman
author_facet Mienke Knipe
Stephan Krygsman
author_sort Mienke Knipe
collection DOAJ
description Background: Transport affordability is a significant concern for South African households, who spend nearly a fifth of their budgets on transport. Contributing factors include a lack of affordable public transport options and spatial mismatch. Since 2015, stagnating national budgets and a declining share allocated to the transport portfolio have exacerbated household transport expenses, limiting economic mobility. Objectives: This article examines how changes in household transport expenses impact other essential expenses such as food, housing, clothing, recreation and education. Understanding these expenditure trade-offs provides insights for policy, especially as the National Public Transport Subsidy Policy is being prepared. Method: Using data from the Living Conditions Survey of 2014/2015, the study applies fractional logit regression models to estimate the impact of varying household transport expenses on other expenditure categories across diverse household demographics. Results: Findings indicate that increased household transport expenses significantly reduces allocations to essential items, notably food and housing, with the effects varying by income level, settlement type, and household composition. Conclusion: A core recommendation is to reduce transport expenses for low-income households through government intervention as this will increase these, mostly previously disadvantaged households’, economic mobility. Contribution: Results show that if low-income households allocate no more than 10% of their expenditure budgets to transport, they could potentially increase their expenditure share on food (+1.30%) housing (+1.18%) clothing (+0.86%) recreation (+0.31%) and education (+0.08%).
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spelling doaj-art-375c4ef8b700417c94fb8e46eaae16392025-08-20T01:58:41ZengAOSISJournal of Transport and Supply Chain Management2310-87891995-52352024-12-01180e1e1010.4102/jtscm.v18i0.1081372The opportunity cost of household transport expenditure in South AfricaMienke Knipe0Stephan Krygsman1Department of Logistics, Faculty of Economic Management Sciences, Stellenbosch University, StellenboschDepartment of Logistics, Faculty of Economic Management Sciences, Stellenbosch University, StellenboschBackground: Transport affordability is a significant concern for South African households, who spend nearly a fifth of their budgets on transport. Contributing factors include a lack of affordable public transport options and spatial mismatch. Since 2015, stagnating national budgets and a declining share allocated to the transport portfolio have exacerbated household transport expenses, limiting economic mobility. Objectives: This article examines how changes in household transport expenses impact other essential expenses such as food, housing, clothing, recreation and education. Understanding these expenditure trade-offs provides insights for policy, especially as the National Public Transport Subsidy Policy is being prepared. Method: Using data from the Living Conditions Survey of 2014/2015, the study applies fractional logit regression models to estimate the impact of varying household transport expenses on other expenditure categories across diverse household demographics. Results: Findings indicate that increased household transport expenses significantly reduces allocations to essential items, notably food and housing, with the effects varying by income level, settlement type, and household composition. Conclusion: A core recommendation is to reduce transport expenses for low-income households through government intervention as this will increase these, mostly previously disadvantaged households’, economic mobility. Contribution: Results show that if low-income households allocate no more than 10% of their expenditure budgets to transport, they could potentially increase their expenditure share on food (+1.30%) housing (+1.18%) clothing (+0.86%) recreation (+0.31%) and education (+0.08%).https://jtscm.co.za/index.php/jtscm/article/view/1081transport expenditurehousehold expendituretransport subsidisationtransport justicemobility inequalitytransport poverty
spellingShingle Mienke Knipe
Stephan Krygsman
The opportunity cost of household transport expenditure in South Africa
Journal of Transport and Supply Chain Management
transport expenditure
household expenditure
transport subsidisation
transport justice
mobility inequality
transport poverty
title The opportunity cost of household transport expenditure in South Africa
title_full The opportunity cost of household transport expenditure in South Africa
title_fullStr The opportunity cost of household transport expenditure in South Africa
title_full_unstemmed The opportunity cost of household transport expenditure in South Africa
title_short The opportunity cost of household transport expenditure in South Africa
title_sort opportunity cost of household transport expenditure in south africa
topic transport expenditure
household expenditure
transport subsidisation
transport justice
mobility inequality
transport poverty
url https://jtscm.co.za/index.php/jtscm/article/view/1081
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